Monaco vs Lille Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – Ligue 1 Round 8 25/10/2026

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Monaco vs Lille
Sun, 25 October 2026 – 14:00
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2.10
Home
3.35
Draw
3.50
Away

Monaco face Lille in the Ligue 1, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. The match kicks off at 14:00 GMT at Stade Louis II. Monaco hold the 5th position in the league with 14 points from 7 matches. Lille are in 4th place, also with 14 points from 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.

Monaco vs Lille Team News

Monaco have no absences to report for this match.

Lille have no absences to report for this match.

Monaco vs Lille Match Preview

Monaco and Lille are both eyeing a chance to climb the Ligue 1 table as they enter Round 8 with identical points totals. Monaco sit in 5th place, trailing Lille by goal difference alone. A victory for either side could see them leapfrog Paris FC into 3rd place, provided results elsewhere favour them.

With both teams favouring the 4-2-3-1 formation, the midfield battle will be crucial at Stade Louis II. Monaco, strong at home in the league, will likely control possession and dictate play. Lille, strong away in the league, may sit deeper, relying on quick transitions to exploit spaces left by Monaco’s attacking intent.

The central question is whether Monaco’s home advantage can outmatch Lille’s away prowess. Fans will debate if Luis Filipe’s tactics can outsmart Davide Ancelotti’s approach. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round, offering insights into this and other intriguing matchups.

Monaco Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Lorient vs Monaco2026-10-18Ligue 11-0L
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco2026-10-15UEFA Europa Conference League1-2W
Monaco vs Toulouse2026-10-10Ligue 12-2D
Monaco vs Pisa2026-10-03Friendlies Clubs2-0W
Monaco vs Lens2026-09-18Ligue 12-1W
3Win
1Draw
1Lost

Monaco have secured 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across all competitions in their last five, scoring 8 and conceding 5. At home in the league, Monaco have played 3, winning 2 and drawing 1, scoring 6 and conceding 3. The most recent result: a 1-0 defeat at Lorient on 18 October, is the only blemish in this run.

Lille Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Lille vs Stade Brestois 292026-10-17Ligue 11-1D
Arsenal vs Lille2026-10-13UEFA Champions League3-0L
Lille vs Le Havre2026-10-10Ligue 11-0W
Lille vs Zulte Waregem2026-10-02Friendlies Clubs2-1W
Nice vs Lille2026-09-20Ligue 12-1L
2Win
1Draw
2Lost

Lille have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. In the league, their away record stands at 2 wins and 1 loss, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. The most recent result: a 1-1 draw at home to Stade Brestois 29 on 17 October, suggests resilience.

Ligue 1
Monaco
Lille
Who will win Sunday’s Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille?
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Monaco
45%
Draw
28%
Lille
27%
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Monaco vs Lille Head-to-Head

2Monaco3Draw5Lille
Last five meetings, most recent first. Across the last 10: Monaco 2, Lille 5, 3 drawn.
MatchDateCompetitionResultWinner
Monaco vs Lille2026-05-10Ligue 10-1Lille
Lille vs Monaco2025-08-24Ligue 11-0Lille
Lille vs Monaco2025-02-22Ligue 12-1Lille
Monaco vs Lille2024-10-18Ligue 10-0Draw
Monaco vs Lille2024-04-24Ligue 11-0Monaco
Average total2.2 goals
Both teams scored4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals4 of 10

Monaco and Lille have met 10 times in the league, with Lille winning 5 matches, Monaco 2 and 3 ending in draws. Lille’s 2-1 victory on 22 February 2025 at home highlights their attacking edge. Across these encounters, 22 goals have been scored, averaging 2.2 per game. Both teams scored in 4 of these meetings, pointing to occasional defensive lapses.

Predicted Lineups

Monaco Predicted Lineup

Hradecky; Nazinho, Salisu, Sane, Vanderson; Zakaria, Camara; Golovin, Fati, Minamino; Abline.

Monaco have used 4-2-3-1 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Monaco predicted lineup against Lille in the Ligue 1

Lille Predicted Lineup

Gill; Perraud, Nianzou, Ngoy, Goffi; Andre, Mukau; Bakwa, Haraldsson, Mbappe; Giroud.

Lille have used 4-2-3-1 in 7 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Lille predicted lineup against Monaco in the Ligue 1

Monaco vs Lille Match Analysis

Monaco’s expected goals (xG) in their last 5 matches across all competitions average 1.21 per match, resulting in 6 goals. This indicates they are scoring slightly above their xG, suggesting efficiency in front of goal. Conversely, they have conceded 5 goals against an xG against of 1.41 per match, pointing to defensive vulnerabilities. The data points to the goals markets rather than the result.

In the league, Monaco have shown a tendency to score early, with 2 goals in the first 15 minutes and 3 more between the 46th and 60th minute. Lille, however, are more potent later in matches, scoring 3 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. Both teams’ scoring patterns suggest both teams to score could be a favourable market.

Monaco average 12.5 shots per match in their last 5 matches across all competitions, with 4.8 on target. They maintain 54.0% possession, indicating a proactive approach. Lille, with 11.8 shots and 53.8% possession, show similar attacking intent. This suggests that both teams can create chances, making the goals market appealing.

Monaco’s defensive record in the league shows 3 goals conceded between the 46th and 60th minute, highlighting a potential weakness that Lille could exploit.

Key Factors

Monaco’s defensive vulnerabilities could be crucial against Lille’s late scoring prowess.

  • Monaco have no player absences affecting their squad depth.
  • Monaco have scored 6 goals at home in the league this season.
  • Lille have conceded 2 goals away in the league this season.
  • Lille have won 5 of 10 league meetings against Monaco.
  • Monaco have averaged 12.5 shots per match in their last five.

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Free Tips

High Probabilityodds 1.50 to 1.80
Lille or draw, double chance

Lille won or drew 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, and the one miss came in the UEFA Champions League.

1.67ODDS
80%8 of the last 10 meetings
Value Betodds 1.81 to 2.30
Under 2.5 goals

6 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings had 2 or fewer goals, with 1 of Monaco's 3 home league games missing.

1.98ODDS
60%6 of the last 10 meetings
Both teams to score, No

At least one side failed to score in 6 of the last 10 meetings, and 1 of Monaco's 3 home league games missed.

2.16ODDS
60%6 of the last 10 meetings
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Our Verdict

I lean towards Lille or draw, double chance, as their away form in the league suggests resilience. The key factor is Lille’s superior head-to-head record against Monaco, which gives them an edge. I make this call with reservations, given Monaco’s strong home performances in the league.

Should Monaco’s midfield dominate early possession and create sustained pressure, it could shift the balance. I’m least sure about Lille’s ability to exploit Monaco’s defensive lapses. Keeping an eye on the live odds through the BC.Game sports betting app could offer valuable insights.

Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.

Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game

Monaco vs Lille Prediction

The data points to a goalless draw as Monaco face Lille, with neither side likely to score. Expect a low-scoring encounter. Consult the table below for the specific selections and the prices available at the time of writing.

Our Prediction: Monaco 0-0 Lille

PredictionPickOdds
Match ResultDraw3.35
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.98
Both Teams to ScoreNo2.16
Correct Score0-010.20

Predicted score: Monaco 0-0 Lille, available at 10.20. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.

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Monaco vs Lille FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Lille?

The data points to a draw. Lille have won 5 of their last 10 meetings, but Monaco’s strong home form in the league balances that. It’s a tight call, and the odds don’t favour a clear winner.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Lille?

It’s 0-0. With 6 of their last 10 meetings under 2.5 goals, a low-scoring draw seems likely. Both teams have struggled to score consistently against each other.

What is the biggest risk to the main pick?

Monaco’s home form is the biggest risk. They’ve won 2 and drawn 1 at home in the league, which could challenge Lille’s resilience. Home advantage might tip it.

What has changed since Monaco and Lille last met?

Monaco’s recent defeat at Lorient is notable. They lost 1-0, which might affect their confidence. Lille, meanwhile, drew 1-1 with Stade Brestois 29, showing resilience. These results could influence their upcoming performance.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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