Genoa face Venezia in the Serie A, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is at 14:00 GMT at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa are 17th in the league with 4 points from 7 matches. Venezia sit at the bottom, 20th in the league, with 3 points from 7 matches. Explore our predictions to see what the data points to.
Genoa vs Venezia Team News
Genoa will be without L. Venturino due to Jumpers Knee. His absence leaves them short in the squad depth.
Venezia have M. Šverko out with a hip injury. This absence affects their squad depth.
Genoa vs Venezia Match Preview
Genoa find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the league with 4 points, level with Udinese above them. A win could lift them out of the relegation zone. Venezia, at the bottom in 20th with 3 points, are desperate to close the 1-point gap to Parma, who are just above them.
The tactical battle will revolve around Genoa’s 3-4-2-1 formation against Venezia’s 3-5-2. Daniele De Rossi’s side may look to control possession, exploiting the wider areas. Meanwhile, Davide Nicola’s Venezia are likely to sit deeper, aiming to counter-attack. The midfield will be the key battleground, where both formations cluster their players.
The burning question is whether Genoa can leverage their home advantage to climb the table, or if Venezia will find the resilience to escape the bottom. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round. This match could redefine the momentum for both teams as they fight relegation.
Genoa Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma vs Genoa | 2026-10-17 | Serie A | 2-0 | L |
| Genoa vs Fiorentina | 2026-10-10 | Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Rapid vs Genoa | 2026-10-02 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 | L |
| Parma vs Genoa | 2026-09-20 | Serie A | 2-1 | L |
| Genoa vs Sudtirol | 2026-09-15 | Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
Genoa have won 2 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 4 and conceding 7. At home in the league, they have played 4, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. The most recent result: a 2-0 defeat at AS Roma on 17 October.
Venezia Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia vs Napoli | 2026-10-17 | Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Atalanta vs Venezia | 2026-10-12 | Serie A | 3-1 | L |
| Venezia vs Lazio | 2026-09-19 | Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Venezia vs Fiorentina | 2026-09-11 | Serie A | 2-4 | L |
| Frosinone vs Venezia | 2026-09-06 | Serie A | 3-2 | L |
Venezia have struggled across all competitions, losing 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 6 goals while conceding 12. In the league, their away record shows 3 losses, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. They ended a 4-match losing streak with a 1-0 victory at home to Napoli, providing a much-needed boost ahead of this fixture.
Genoa vs Venezia Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa vs Venezia | 2025-02-17 | Serie A | 2-0 | Genoa |
| Venezia vs Genoa | 2024-09-21 | Serie A | 2-0 | Venezia |
| Venezia vs Genoa | 2024-07-20 | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 | Genoa |
| Genoa vs Venezia | 2023-07-22 | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 | Venezia |
| Genoa vs Venezia | 2023-01-16 | Serie B | 1-0 | Genoa |
In their last 8 meetings, Genoa have secured 4 victories, Venezia have triumphed twice, and 2 matches ended in draws. Goals have been modest, with only 3 matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Genoa’s home win on 17 February 2025 in the league highlighted their defensive strength. The average goals per game in this fixture is 2.4.
Predicted Lineups
Genoa Predicted Lineup
Bijlow; Vasquez, Ostigard, Marcandalli; Puczka, Frendrup, Wiafe, Ellertsson; El Shaarawy, Junior Messias; Osmajic.
Genoa have used 3-4-2-1 in 4 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Venezia Predicted Lineup
Stankovic; Juan Jesus, Moreno, Halhal; Haps, Basic, Sohm, Perez, Hainaut; Adams, Yeboah.
Venezia have used 3-5-2 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Genoa vs Venezia Match Analysis
Genoa’s performance in terms of expected goals (xG) is telling. In their last 3 matches with xG data, they have averaged 0.88 xG but scored 3 goals, indicating they are slightly overperforming. Conversely, they have conceded 5 goals against an average xG of 0.89, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
Examining goal timings in the league, Genoa score most of their goals early, with 2 goals in the first 15 minutes. However, they struggle later, conceding 4 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. Venezia, meanwhile, score late, with 2 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. This timing disparity suggests potential for late drama in the goals markets.
In their last 5 matches across all competitions, Genoa average 14.5 shots per game but manage only 4 on target, reflecting inefficiency. Venezia, despite 14 shots per game, face an average of 19 shots against them, highlighting defensive frailties. Both teams’ shot metrics suggest both teams to score is a viable market.
Genoa’s discipline in the league, with 20 yellow cards and 1 red card, averaging 3 cards per match, could disrupt their rhythm and affect their performance.
Key Factors
The match turns on Genoa’s inefficiency in front of goal.
- Genoa miss L. Venturino, affecting their squad depth.
- At home in the league, Genoa have conceded 8 goals in 4 matches.
- Venezia’s away record in the league shows 3 losses with 3 goals scored.
- In this fixture, only 3 matches have exceeded 2.5 goals.
- Genoa average 14.5 shots per game across all competitions but manage only 4 on target.
Free Tips
3 of Venezia's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals, and the weaker set shows 3 of the last 8 meetings.
$ 0.00
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Our Verdict
The data points to a competitive match, with both sides struggling defensively and in front of goal. Genoa’s slight home advantage could be decisive, but I lean towards a narrow outcome. Their inefficiency in converting chances remains a concern, making it difficult to back them comfortably.
My perspective could change if Venezia’s recent victory over Napoli translates into improved away performances. I’m least sure about Genoa’s ability to handle pressure without disciplinary issues. To explore more betting options, the BC.Game sports betting app offers a range of markets to consider.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Genoa vs Venezia Prediction
The data points to a Genoa victory with goals expected from both sides. A closely contested match is anticipated, with over two goals likely. For detailed selections and available prices, refer to the table below.
Our Prediction: Genoa 2-1 Venezia
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Genoa Win | 2.08 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.89 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.69 |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 8.33 |
Predicted score: Genoa 2-1 Venezia, available at 8.33. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Genoa vs Venezia FAQ
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
The data points to a Genoa win. They’ve won 4 of 8 past meetings. Still, Venezia’s recent win over Napoli adds a twist.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Venezia?
The predicted score is 2-1 to Genoa. This fits the over 2.5 goals tip, seen in 3 of Venezia’s last 5 matches.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Venezia’s win over Napoli is a risk. Ending a 4-match losing streak suggests they might challenge expectations against Genoa.
What time is kick-off for Genoa vs Venezia?
Kick-off is at 14:00 GMT. It’s set for a Sunday afternoon, a convenient time for many to watch.
