Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – Ligue 1 Round 8 25/10/2026

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Le Mans
Sun, 25 October 2026 – 16:15
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2.10
Home
3.55
Draw
3.30
Away

Auxerre face Le Mans in Ligue 1 Round 8 on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is at 16:15 GMT at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre are 12th in the league with 9 points from 7 matches. Le Mans sit 16th in the league, securing 6 points from their 7 matches. For more insights, our predictions offer further analysis.

Auxerre vs Le Mans Team News

Auxerre have no absences for this match, ensuring a full squad is available for selection.

Le Mans have no absences for this match, which means they can field their strongest side.

Auxerre vs Le Mans Match Preview

Auxerre, positioned 12th in the league with 9 points, aim to climb above Toulouse, who are level on points but ahead on goal difference. A win could also create a buffer from Nice, who trail by just 1 point. Le Mans, sitting 16th with 6 points, are eager to surpass Angers, who are just a point ahead.

Auxerre, under Christophe Pelissier, are likely to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation, leveraging their strong home form in the league. Le Mans, managed by Patrick Videira, may continue with their 3-1-4-2 setup, focusing on counter-attacks due to their poor away record. The battle in midfield will be crucial, with Auxerre expected to control possession.

The pressing question for fans is whether Auxerre can maintain their home strength against a struggling Le Mans side. Football betting tips may offer insights into this intriguing clash. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.

Auxerre Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Le Havre vs Auxerre2026-10-18Ligue 11-3W
Rennes vs Auxerre2026-10-11Ligue 14-1L
Auxerre vs Clermont Foot2026-10-02Friendlies Clubs4-3W
Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 292026-09-20Ligue 12-1W
Auxerre vs Nice2026-09-12Ligue 11-0W
4Win
0Draw
1Lost

Auxerre have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 11 goals and conceding 9. In the league, their home record shows 2 wins and 1 loss from 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Most recent result: a 3-1 win at Le Havre on 18 October. This victory highlights their ability to perform well away from home, complementing their solid home form.

Le Mans Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Le Mans vs Toulouse2026-10-16Ligue 10-3L
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans2026-10-10Ligue 13-1L
Guingamp vs Le Mans2026-10-02Friendlies Clubs2-1L
Le Mans vs Lorient2026-09-19Ligue 12-1W
Le Mans vs Lens2026-09-13Ligue 12-2D
1Win
1Draw
3Lost

Le Mans have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 6 goals and conceding 11. In the league, their away record shows 1 draw and 2 losses from 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. They have lost each of their last 3 matches, the latest a 3-0 defeat at home to Toulouse on 16 October.

Ligue 1
Auxerre
Le Mans
Who will win Sunday’s Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Le Mans?
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Auxerre
44%
Draw
27%
Le Mans
29%
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Auxerre vs Le Mans Head-to-Head

3Auxerre1Draw1Le Mans
Last five meetings, most recent first. Across the last 5: Auxerre 3, Le Mans 1, 1 drawn.
MatchDateCompetitionResultWinner
Auxerre vs Le Mans2020-08-01Friendlies Clubs3-2Auxerre
Le Mans vs Auxerre2020-01-10Ligue 20-1Auxerre
Auxerre vs Le Mans2019-08-02Ligue 22-0Auxerre
Auxerre vs Le Mans2013-01-25Ligue 21-1Draw
Le Mans vs Auxerre2012-08-20Ligue 23-1Le Mans
Average total2.8 goals
Both teams scored3 of 5
Over 2.5 goals2 of 5

Auxerre have the edge in their last 5 meetings with Le Mans, securing 3 wins, while Le Mans have managed just 1. The goals pattern shows 3 matches with both teams scoring. A notable result was Auxerre’s 2-0 home win on 2 August 2019, highlighting their defensive strength. For bettors, the average of 2.8 goals per match in this fixture is significant.

Predicted Lineups

Auxerre Predicted Lineup

Nardi; Akpa, Tuanzebe, Makosso; Oppegard, Danois, Ahamada, Sy; Namaso, Faivre; Archer.

Auxerre have used 3-4-2-1 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Auxerre predicted lineup against Le Mans in the Ligue 1

Le Mans Predicted Lineup

Kocik; Voyer, Yohou, Sidibe; Bretelle; Larouci, Vercruysse, Traore, Buades; Gueye, Mafouta.

Le Mans have used 3-1-4-2 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Le Mans predicted lineup against Auxerre in the Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Le Mans Match Analysis

Auxerre’s expected goals in their last 5 matches across all competitions averaged 1.79, while they scored 7 goals. This suggests they are converting their chances effectively. Conversely, they conceded 6 goals against an expected 1.34 per match, indicating some defensive resilience. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.

In the league, Auxerre tend to score between the 61st and 75th minute, with 4 goals in this window. Le Mans are more vulnerable between the 76th and 90th minute, conceding 3 goals. This timing mismatch could lead to late drama, supporting the both teams to score market.

Auxerre’s shot volume in their last 5 matches, averaging 11.8 shots with 5.5 on target, pairs with 42.8% possession. Le Mans, with 11.5 shots and 4 on target, hold 46% possession. Both sides show capability to create chances, which could survive against a deep block, favouring the goals markets.

Le Mans have shown discipline issues in the league with 2.4 cards per match, which might disrupt their play.

Key Factors

The match turns on Auxerre’s ability to exploit Le Mans’ defensive weaknesses.

  • Auxerre have no players absent for this match.
  • Auxerre have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
  • Le Mans have lost each of their last 3 matches across all competitions.
  • Auxerre have won 3 of their last 5 meetings with Le Mans.
  • Auxerre’s expected goals averaged 1.79 in their last 5 matches across all competitions.

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Free Tips

High Probabilityodds 1.50 to 1.80
Both teams to score, Yes

Both teams scored in 4 of Auxerre's last 5 matches across all competitions, and the one miss came at home.

1.56ODDS
80%4 of Auxerre's last 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals

5 of Le Mans's last 5 matches across all competitions had 3 or more goals, but only 2 of 5 meetings did.

1.68ODDS
100%5 of Le Mans's last 5 matches
Value Betodds 1.81 to 2.30
Auxerre to win

Auxerre won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, and the one miss came away from home.

2.10ODDS
80%4 of Auxerre's last 5 matches
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Our Verdict

I lean towards Auxerre securing a win, given their strong recent form across all competitions and their advantage in head-to-head meetings. Their ability to convert chances effectively, especially at home, is a decisive factor. I have confidence in this outcome, though not without acknowledging the potential for a closely contested match.

A change of mind would come if Le Mans show unexpected resilience in midfield, disrupting Auxerre’s possession play. This is the area where Le Mans could surprise. I am least sure about the timing of goals, as both teams have shown variability. For more options, the BC.Game sports betting app provides a range of markets to explore.

Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.

Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game

Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction

The data points to an Auxerre victory in a match where both teams are expected to score, with more than two goals likely. Auxerre appear to have the edge according to the analysis. Refer to the table below for detailed selections and the prices available at the time of writing.

Our Prediction: Auxerre 2-1 Le Mans

PredictionPickOdds
Match ResultAuxerre Win2.10
Total GoalsOver 2.51.68
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.56
Correct Score2-18.45

Predicted score: Auxerre 2-1 Le Mans, available at 8.45. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.

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Auxerre vs Le Mans FAQ

Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Auxerre to win at odds of 2.10. They have the edge, given their recent performances. Le Mans’s struggles make Auxerre a reasonable choice.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

The predicted score is 2-1 to Auxerre. This reflects Auxerre’s recent form and Le Mans’s defensive issues. It’s a likely outcome.

What is the biggest risk to the main pick?

Le Mans disrupting Auxerre’s midfield is the biggest risk. Auxerre’s possession control is crucial. If Le Mans unsettle this, it could change the game.

Which market offers the best value in Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 offers value. Le Mans’s last 5 matches have seen this outcome. Their defensive issues support this market.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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