Valencia face Villarreal in the La Liga Round 10 on 24 October 2026. Kick-off is at 17:30 BST (16:30 UTC) at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia are 19th in the league with 6 points from 9 matches. Villarreal sit 12th in the league, having accumulated 9 points over the same number of games. For more insights, our predictions cover this and other fixtures.
Valencia vs Villarreal Team News
Valencia have no absences for this match.
Villarreal have no absences for this match.
Valencia vs Villarreal Match Preview
Valencia find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 19th in the league with 6 points. They are just 1 point behind Elche in 18th, making this match crucial for their survival hopes. Villarreal, in 12th with 9 points, are level with Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano, making a win vital to climb the table.
The tactical battle will be intriguing as Valencia, under Javier Aguirre, might opt for a 4-2-3-1 formation to control the midfield. Villarreal, managed by Iñigo Pérez, have predominantly used a 4-4-2, which could see them sit deeper and look to counter. The game is likely to be decided in midfield, where possession will be key.
The match will settle whether Valencia can break their poor home form in the league. Fans will debate if Villarreal’s away struggles will continue. Football betting tips provide insights into the rest of the round, offering more context for this crucial clash.
Valencia Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia vs Athletic Club | 2026-10-17 | La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Racing Santander vs Valencia | 2026-10-11 | La Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Valencia vs Real Sociedad | 2026-09-20 | La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Alaves vs Valencia | 2026-09-15 | La Liga | 0-1 | W |
| Sevilla vs Valencia | 2026-09-11 | La Liga | 1-0 | L |
Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. At home in the league, they have not won any of their 5 matches, drawing 2 and losing 3, with 2 goals scored and 9 conceded. They have drawn each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 0-0 draw at home to Athletic Club on 17 October.
Villarreal Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool vs Villarreal | 2026-10-20 | UEFA Champions League | 4-3 | L |
| Villarreal vs Elche | 2026-10-17 | La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Villarreal vs Napoli | 2026-10-13 | UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 2026-10-10 | La Liga | 1-0 | L |
| Villarreal vs Levante | 2026-09-20 | La Liga | 3-1 | W |
Villarreal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Away in the league, they have played 5 matches, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2, with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded. Their most recent result: a 4-3 defeat at Liverpool on 20 October.
Valencia vs Villarreal Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal vs Valencia | 2026-02-22 | La Liga | 2-1 | Villarreal |
| Valencia vs Villarreal | 2025-10-25 | La Liga | 0-2 | Villarreal |
| Villarreal vs Valencia | 2025-02-15 | La Liga | 1-1 | Draw |
| Valencia vs Villarreal | 2024-08-31 | La Liga | 1-1 | Draw |
| Villarreal vs Valencia | 2024-03-17 | La Liga | 1-0 | Villarreal |
In their last 10 meetings, Valencia have won 2 matches while Villarreal have claimed victory in 5, with 3 matches ending in draws. Goals have been relatively scarce, with only 3 of these encounters going over 2.5 goals. Villarreal’s 2-1 home win on 22 February 2026 highlights their recent dominance. The data points to an average of 2.3 goals per match in this fixture.
Predicted Lineups
Valencia Predicted Lineup
Dimitrievski; Gaya, De Haas, Tarrega, Maffeo; Rodriguez, Pepelu; Danjuma, Guerra, Raba; Duro.
Valencia have used 4-2-3-1 in 2 of their 9 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Villarreal Predicted Lineup
Gulácsi; Sergi Cardona, Renato Veiga, Pau Navarro, Mouriño; Gueye, Saliba; Alberto Moleiro, Santi Comesaña, Buchanan; Mikautadze.
Villarreal have used 4-2-3-1 in 1 of their 9 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Valencia vs Villarreal Match Analysis
Valencia have been scoring below their expected goals across all competitions. With an xG_for_avg of 1.1 over 5 matches, they have only scored 5 goals, indicating inefficiency in converting chances. Similarly, they have conceded 6 goals against an xG_against_avg of 1.3, showing a slight vulnerability. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Valencia tend to concede heavily late in matches, with 7 goals conceded between the 76th and 90th minute. Villarreal, however, have scored 3 times in the same period, suggesting potential late drama. Given these patterns, both teams to score is a viable market to consider.
Villarreal show dominance in possession and shooting across all competitions, averaging 54.6% possession and 17.2 shots per match. Their ability to maintain high shot volume suggests they can break down defensive setups. This points to the goals markets, as they are likely to create and convert scoring opportunities.
Valencia’s defensive discipline in the league, with only 20 yellow cards and no red cards, suggests they can maintain composure and potentially disrupt Villarreal’s attacking flow.
Key Factors
Valencia’s home struggles could be decisive against Villarreal’s attacking prowess.
- Both teams have no absences for this match.
- Valencia have not won any of their 5 home matches in the league.
- Villarreal have scored 7 goals in their 5 away league matches.
- Villarreal have won 5 of their last 10 meetings with Valencia.
- Valencia have conceded 7 goals between the 76th and 90th minute in the league.
Free Tips
7 of the last 10 meetings had 2 or fewer goals, and 2 of Villarreal's 5 away league games did too.
4 of Valencia's 5 home league games saw at least one side fail to score, and 4 of the last 10 meetings did too.
$ 0.00
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Our Verdict
I lean towards Villarreal edging this encounter. Their recent head-to-head advantage over Valencia, with more wins in their last ten meetings, suggests they have the upper hand. However, the odds on Villarreal to win are not tempting enough, given they have won only half of these encounters. I make this call with reservations.
The scenario that could change my mind is Valencia breaking their poor home form in the league. If they manage to control possession effectively, it could shift the balance. I’m least sure about Villarreal’s ability to maintain their scoring rate away from home. For live updates, the BC.Game sports betting app is invaluable.
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Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction
The data points to a narrow victory for Villarreal, with a low-scoring affair on the cards. Expect a tight contest where both teams may struggle to find the net. Consult the table below for the selections and the prices available at the time of writing.
Our Prediction: Valencia 0-1 Villarreal
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Villarreal Win | 2.12 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.12 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 2.24 |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | 8.82 |
Predicted score: Valencia 0-1 Villarreal, available at 8.82. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Valencia vs Villarreal FAQ
Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?
The data points to Villarreal edging it. The odds of 8.82 for a 0-1 scoreline suggest it’s a tight call. Villarreal’s away form in the league has been inconsistent, so it’s not a certainty.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Villarreal?
The predicted score is 0-1 to Villarreal. This aligns with the under 2.5 goals market, which has occurred in 7 of their last 10 meetings. It suggests a tight, low-scoring affair.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Valencia’s home form is a risk. They’ve conceded 9 goals at home in the league. If they tighten up defensively, Villarreal might find it difficult to score and secure a win.
What has changed since Valencia and Villarreal last met?
Villarreal’s recent 4-3 defeat at Liverpool highlights defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, they’ve maintained a head-to-head advantage over Valencia. This could influence their approach to the match, possibly focusing on tightening their defence.
