Sunderland face Leeds in the Premier League, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is at 16:30 GMT at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland are positioned 20th in the league with 4 points from 7 matches. Leeds, meanwhile, sit 7th in the league, having accumulated 10 points from their 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
Sunderland vs Leeds Team News
Sunderland have no absences to report.
Leeds have no absences to report.
Sunderland vs Leeds Match Preview
Sunderland are rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table, sitting in 20th position with 4 points. They are 1 point behind Nottingham Forest, who are in 19th. Leeds, on the other hand, find themselves in 7th place with 10 points, level with both Brentford above and Everton below on points.
Sunderland, under Regis Le Bris, are likely to adopt their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation, which suggests they might sit deeper and look to counter-attack. Leeds, managed by Daniel Farke, have been using a 3-4-2-1 setup, indicating they may look to control possession and dictate the tempo. The match could be decided in midfield, where Leeds’ extra man might give them the edge.
Will Sunderland’s defensive approach manage to stifle Leeds’ attacking intent, or will Leeds break through and assert their position in the top half of the table? Football betting tips can provide further insights into this intriguing clash. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.
Sunderland Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | 2026-10-18 | Premier League | 2-0 | L |
| Torreense vs Sunderland | 2026-10-15 | UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | W |
| Sunderland vs Brighton | 2026-10-10 | Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Manchester City vs Sunderland | 2026-09-20 | Premier League | 5-3 | L |
| Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar | 2026-09-16 | UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
Sunderland have won 2 and lost 3 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. At home in the league, they have played 3, winning 1 and losing 2, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 4. The data points to their most recent result: a 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth on 18 October.
Leeds Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds vs Manchester United | 2026-10-18 | Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Arsenal vs Leeds | 2026-10-10 | Premier League | 2-1 | L |
| Leeds vs Crystal Palace | 2026-09-20 | Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Leeds vs Newcastle | 2026-09-14 | Premier League | 4-1 | W |
| Chelsea vs Leeds | 2026-09-09 | League Cup | 6-3 | L |
Leeds have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Away in the league, they have played 3, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. The data points to their most recent result: a 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United on 18 October.
Sunderland vs Leeds Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland vs Leeds | 2026-07-30 | Premier League – Summer Series | 0-1 | Leeds |
| Leeds vs Sunderland | 2026-03-03 | Premier League | 0-1 | Sunderland |
| Sunderland vs Leeds | 2025-12-28 | Premier League | 1-1 | Draw |
| Leeds vs Sunderland | 2025-02-17 | Championship | 2-1 | Leeds |
| Sunderland vs Leeds | 2024-10-04 | Championship | 2-2 | Draw |
In this fixture, Sunderland and Leeds each have 3 wins, with 4 draws from 10 meetings. Goals have been sparse, with an average of 1.7 per game. Their 2-2 draw on 4 October 2024 at Sunderland shows both teams can score. The data points to a trend of low scoring, with 8 of the 10 matches finishing under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Lineups
Sunderland Predicted Lineup
Roefs; Mandava, Alderete, Danso, Mukiele; Sadiki, Xhaka; Le Fee, Rigg, Hume; Tuterov.
Sunderland have used 4-2-3-1 in 7 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Leeds Predicted Lineup
Trafford; Muharemovic, Elvedi, Justin; Gudmundsson, Tanaka, Ampadu, Bogle; Okafor, Stach; Calvert-Lewin.
Leeds have used 3-4-2-1 in 4 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Sunderland vs Leeds Match Analysis
Sunderland’s xG for average in their last five matches across all competitions is 1.83, yet they have only scored 6 goals in this period. This suggests they are not capitalising on their chances, which could impact their ability to score consistently. Similarly, their xG against average of 2.04 aligns with the 10 goals conceded, pointing to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Sunderland have shown vulnerability between the 46th and 60th minute, conceding 5 goals during this period. Conversely, Leeds have scored 3 goals in the same timeframe. This pattern suggests a potential advantage for Leeds in the second half, making the both teams to score market appealing.
Sunderland average 14.8 shots per match in their last five across all competitions, with 4.4 on target. Despite this, their possession average of 49.6% indicates they struggle to control games. Leeds, with a higher possession average of 51.2% and 4.8 shots on target, might dominate possession, influencing the shots and possession markets.
Sunderland have managed to score only 1 goal at home in the league, highlighting their struggle to find the net on familiar turf.
Key Factors
Sunderland’s scoring struggles could determine the match’s outcome.
- Sunderland have no absences to report.
- Sunderland have scored just 1 goal at home in the league.
- Leeds have drawn 1 away in the league, scoring and conceding 3 goals.
- In this fixture, 8 of 10 matches have finished under 2.5 goals.
- Sunderland’s xG against average of 2.04 aligns with 10 goals conceded in their last five.
Free Tips
8 of the last 10 meetings had 2 or fewer goals, and the one miss came away from home.
Sunderland won 2 of their last 5 matches, and 3 of the last 10 meetings were misses.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards a low-scoring affair, with under two and a half goals the standout choice. The consistent trend of low-scoring matches in this fixture is the decisive factor. I am comfortably confident in this selection, as both teams have struggled to convert chances into goals recently.
If Sunderland manage to capitalise on their chances more effectively, this could change the dynamics. Their ability to break Leeds’ midfield control is uncertain. Using the BC.Game sports betting app would allow one to follow any shift in momentum during the match, which might influence the outcome.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
The data points to a Sunderland win with a low-scoring affair against Leeds. The prediction suggests that only one team is likely to find the net. For detailed selections and prices at the time of writing, please refer to the table below.
Our Prediction: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sunderland Win | 3.05 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.71 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.94 |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | 8.38 |
Predicted score: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds, available at 8.38. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Sunderland vs Leeds FAQ
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
It’s a tough call. Sunderland’s odds are 3.05, indicating they’re underdogs. Leeds are 7th in the league, showing stronger form. I’d be cautious picking a winner here.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?
The predicted score is 1-0 to Sunderland. This fits the pattern of low-scoring games, with 8 of their last 10 meetings finishing under 2.5 goals.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
It’s Leeds’ attacking potential. They’ve scored 9 goals in their last five matches across all competitions. If they find the net, it could disrupt the under 2.5 goals prediction.
What time is kick-off for Sunderland vs Leeds?
Kick-off is at 16:30 GMT. It’s on Sunday at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Make sure to tune in for this Premier League clash.
