Toulouse face Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is 16:15 GMT at Stadium Municipal. Toulouse are positioned 11th in the league with 9 points from 7 matches. Estac Troyes hold 17th place, having accumulated 4 points from their 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Team News
Toulouse have no absences to report.
Estac Troyes have no absences to report.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Match Preview
Toulouse find themselves in 11th position with 9 points, equal with Stade Brestois 29 above them, but only ahead of Auxerre on goal difference. Meanwhile, Estac Troyes are languishing in 17th place with just 4 points, trailing Le Mans by 2 points. The stakes are high for both teams to climb the league table.
Toulouse, under Jens Askou, have recently deployed a 4-4-2 formation, suggesting a balanced approach at home in the league. Estac Troyes, managed by Stephane Dumont, might opt for a 4-3-3 setup, focusing on counter-attacks. Possession could be key, with Toulouse likely to control the midfield, while Troyes aim to exploit spaces on the break.
The match will answer whether Toulouse can break their mixed home form in the league. Or if Troyes can muster enough resilience to climb out of the relegation zone. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round, offering insights into all the key fixtures.
Toulouse Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans vs Toulouse | 2026-10-16 | Ligue 1 | 0-3 | W |
| Monaco vs Toulouse | 2026-10-10 | Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Toulouse vs PAU | 2026-10-03 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 | L |
| Toulouse vs Le Havre | 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Lorient vs Toulouse | 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Toulouse have shown resilience across all competitions with 2 wins, 2 draws and a single loss in their last 5 matches. At home in the league, their record is less impressive, with 1 win and 2 losses from 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their most recent result: a 3-0 win at Le Mans on 16 October.
Estac Troyes Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes vs Lens | 2026-10-17 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Estac Troyes vs Marseille | 2026-10-11 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Dijon vs Estac Troyes | 2026-10-02 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 | D |
| Angers vs Estac Troyes | 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 | L |
| Lille vs Estac Troyes | 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 | L |
Estac Troyes have struggled across all competitions, with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their away record in the league shows 1 win and 2 losses from 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 5. They have lost each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 3-1 defeat at home to Lens on 17 October.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse vs Estac Troyes | 2023-02-01 | Ligue 1 | 4-1 | Toulouse |
| Estac Troyes vs Toulouse | 2022-08-14 | Ligue 1 | 0-3 | Toulouse |
| Toulouse vs Estac Troyes | 2022-07-09 | Friendlies Clubs | 6-1 | Toulouse |
| Estac Troyes vs Toulouse | 2021-02-06 | Ligue 2 | 1-1 | Draw |
| Toulouse vs Estac Troyes | 2020-10-03 | Ligue 2 | 0-0 | Draw |
Toulouse have dominated the head-to-head record against Estac Troyes with 6 wins in 10 meetings, while Estac Troyes have not won any. The goals pattern shows 5 matches over 2.5 goals and 5 under. On 1 February 2023, Toulouse defeated Estac Troyes 4-1 at home, highlighting their attacking prowess. The data points to an average of 2.6 total goals per match in this fixture.
Predicted Lineups
Toulouse Predicted Lineup
Restes; Tape, Nicolaisen, McKenzie, Messali; Jorgensen, Sigur, Casseres, Donnum; Tengstedt, Russell-Rowe.
Toulouse have used 4-4-2 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Estac Troyes Predicted Lineup
Beach; Gozzi, Diaz, Monfray, Maronnier; Diop, Karim, Mille; Nkada, Ripart, Ifnaoui.
Estac Troyes have used 4-3-3 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Match Analysis
In their last five matches across all competitions, Toulouse have scored 10 goals from an xG_for_total of 6.82 over 4 matches. This suggests they are finishing above expectations, indicating a potential to convert chances into goals. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Toulouse are particularly effective between the 46th and 60th minute, scoring 7 goals, while Estac Troyes concede 5 in the same period. Estac Troyes, however, have scored 2 goals in the first 15 minutes. This timing pattern suggests opportunities in the goals markets, including both teams to score.
Toulouse average 12.0 shots per match in their last five across all competitions, maintaining 50.2% possession. Estac Troyes, with 13.5 shots per match, average only 38.5% possession. Toulouse’s ability to control possession and create chances might help them break down a deep block, favouring the goals markets.
Estac Troyes have managed only 1 goal from an xG_for_total of 3.7 in their last five matches across all competitions, suggesting inefficiency in converting chances.
Key Factors
The match turns on Toulouse’s ability to convert chances into goals.
- Both teams have no absences to report.
- Toulouse have 1 win and 2 losses at home in the league.
- Estac Troyes have 1 win and 2 losses away in the league.
- Toulouse have won 6 of 10 meetings against Estac Troyes.
- Toulouse have scored 7 goals between the 46th and 60th minute in the league.
Free Tips
4 of Toulouse's last 5 matches had 4 or more goals, and none of Estac Troyes's away league games did.
$ 0.00
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Our Verdict
The data points to a high-scoring encounter, with over three and a half goals being the standout selection. Toulouse’s ability to convert chances and Estac Troyes’ defensive vulnerabilities suggest an open game. I lean towards this outcome with reservations, as their home record reflects the potential for goals.
I would reconsider if Estac Troyes manage to tighten their defence significantly, reducing the likelihood of a goal-fest. Additionally, any unexpected tactical shifts could impact the flow of the match. For those keen on exploring more options, the BC.Game sports betting app offers a comprehensive guide to navigate the betting landscape.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction
The data points to a victory for Toulouse with both teams likely to score. Expect goals, with the total surpassing two. For detailed selections and the prices available at the time of writing, please refer to the table below.
Our Prediction: Toulouse 3-1 Estac Troyes
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toulouse Win | 1.62 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.59 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.60 |
| Correct Score | 3-1 | 11.35 |
Predicted score: Toulouse 3-1 Estac Troyes, available at 11.35. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Toulouse vs Estac Troyes FAQ
Who will win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
The data points to a Toulouse win. They’ve won 6 of 10 meetings in this fixture. That suggests a strong likelihood, but don’t count out surprises.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
The predicted score is 3-1 to Toulouse. This reflects their recent attacking form, with 12 goals in their last 5 matches across all competitions. Estac Troyes’ defensive struggles also play a part.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Estac Troyes tightening their defence. They’ve failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions. If they organise well, the match might not be as open.
What time is kick-off for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Kick-off is at 16:15 GMT. It’s a prime slot for an afternoon match. Make sure you’re ready for an exciting game.
