With a capacity of 75,024, the Allianz Arena in Munich will host the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League final at 19:00 GMT+0 on June 8, 2025. Portuguese and Spanish football giants will play in the first all-Iberian final under Swiss referee Sandro Scharer.
Portugal, the 2019 victors, wants to win again, while Spain wants to defend its Nations League and European championship. This football match promises excitement after Spain’s 5-4 win over France and Portugal’s 2-1 win over Germany in the semis.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
The Portugal vs Spain prediction today is shaped by a detailed look at recent performances and historical encounters. Spain remains unblemished and Portugal beats strong opponents. This part prepares you to analyze their recent results and matches. Cristiano Ronaldo and Lamine Yamal will influence a close match. Betting requires knowledge of their form and past matches.
Portugal Results
Portugal survived a difficult UEFA Nations League campaign to reach the final. Their semi-final win over Germany showed their comeback capabilities, with Cristiano Ronaldo heroic. Experience and attacking flair have helped the team succeed.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 04/06/25 | UNL | Germany vs Portugal | 1-2 | W |
| 23/03/25 | UNL | Portugal vs Denmark | 5-2 | W |
| 20/03/25 | UNL | Denmark vs Portugal | 1-0 | L |
| 18/11/24 | UNL | Croatia vs Portugal | 1-1 | D |
| 15/11/24 | UNL | Portugal vs Poland | 5-1 | W |
Portugal had a tremendous comeback after losing early versus Denmark. High-scoring wins over Denmark and Poland have highlighted their home form. They performed well under duress in their first semi-final win over Germany in 25 years. The away setback to Denmark shows road vulnerabilities. Ronaldo’s goal-scoring ability is valuable.
Spain Results
Spain has been unblemished in the UEFA Nations League since their first draw. Their rollercoaster semi-final versus France showed their attacking depth and persistence. Lamine Yamal’s rise has strengthened their lineup.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 05/06/25 | UNL | Spain vs France | 5-4 | W |
| 23/03/25 | UNL | Spain vs Netherlands | 4-3 | D/W (after penalties) |
| 20/03/25 | UNL | Netherlands vs Spain | 2-2 | D |
| 18/11/24 | UNL | Spain vs Switzerland | 3-2 | W |
| 15/11/24 | UNL | Denmark vs Spain | 1-2 | W |
Spain scores frequently in most matches, demonstrating their consistency and attacking power. They show mental tenacity by winning close games like the 5-4 thriller against France. Draw vs Netherlands demonstrates they may be tested, but 19-match unbeaten record underlines their superiority. Yamal’s efforts boosted their attack. However, their defensive mistakes against France are concerning.
Portugal vs Spain Head-to-Head Results
In recent years, Portugal and Spain have had close encounters. Unbeaten in six matches, Spain has the edge. These head-to-head matches have important context for the final.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 27/09/22 | UNL | Portugal vs Spain | 0-1 |
| 02/06/22 | UNL | Spain vs Portugal | 1-1 |
| 04/06/21 | FI | Spain vs Portugal | 0-0 |
| 07/10/20 | FI | Portugal vs Spain | 0-0 |
| 15/06/18 | WC | Portugal vs Spain | 3-3 |
Portugal has failed to score in three of the last four matches, demonstrating Spain’s dominance. At their best, both teams can score, as shown by the 2018 World Cup 3-3 tie. Portugal’s difficulty in breaking Spain’s defense presents a tactical problem for Roberto Martínez.
Predicted Football Lineups for Portugal vs Spain
The starting lineups for this football final should reflect both clubs’ strengths, with few changes from their semi-final wins. Portugal and Spain will likely field their best players, depending on youth and experience to win.
Portugal Predicted Lineup: D. Costa (GK), J. Neves (DF), R. Dias (DF), G. Inácio (DF), N. Mendes (DF), B. Silva (MF), Vitinha (MF), B. Fernandes (MF), F. Conceição (FW), C. Ronaldo (FW), P. Neto (FW)
Spain Predicted Lineup: U. Simón (GK), P. Porro (DF), R. Le Normand (DF), D. Huijsen (DF), M. Cucurella (DF), Pedri (MF), M. Zubimendi (MF), F. Ruiz (MF), L. Yamal (FW), M. Oyarzabal (FW), N. Williams (FW)
Unavailable Players
The teams appear to be about full with no big absences. This lets Portugal and Spain field their best teams. However, last-minute injuries could change the equation. Both sides have deep benches, reducing risk. Follow team news before the game.
Key Factors to Watch
This final between Portugal and Spain depends on numerous key factors. Both sides have strengths, but external and internal factors will matter. To understand match dynamics, bettors and viewers should consider the following.
- Spain’s 19-match unbeaten streak across all competitions shows their steadiness and confidence;
- Cristiano Ronaldo’s Form: Seven goals in this Nations League, including the winner against Germany, make him a continuous threat;
- Yamal’s Impact: At 17, Lamine Yamal’s two goals against France show his potential to shine in important times;
- Portuguese Late Goals: Portugal has scored six goals after 60 minutes in their last two matches, demonstrating perseverance;
- Conceding four goals against France reveals defensive weaknesses in Spain;
- Nuno Mendes has assisted in all six of Portugal’s UNL triumphs, frequently in the second half;
- Tactical Battle: Spain’s possession-based strategy and Portugal’s counter-attacking threat produce a fascinating matchup;
- Motivation: Spain wants a historic double while Portugal wants redemption in the Nations League.
Free Tips on Portugal vs Spain
Data-driven betting tips for the Portugal vs. Spain final are in this area. Team form, player performances, and historical trends inform these match tips. Guide your betting strategy with them.
- Consider Both Teams Scoring: Spain has scored 2+ goals in seven of their previous eight games and Portugal in six of nine. Their striking depth, led by Ronaldo and Yamal, makes this likely.
- Bet on Second-Half Goals: Portugal’s tendency to score late, combined with Spain’s high-scoring second halves, suggests the majority of goals may come after the break. This trend has been consistent in their recent matches.
- Look at Under 10.5 Corners: Given the tactical nature of this final, both teams may prioritize control over relentless attacking, leading to fewer corners. Recent head-to-heads have been low corner counts.
- Focus on Player Props for Ronaldo: Ronaldo’s seven goals in this campaign make him a strong candidate to score or assist. His role as Portugal’s penalty taker adds further value to this bet.
- Explore Double Chance (Spain or Draw): Spain’s unbeaten run against Portugal in six meetings and their overall form make them slight favorites to avoid defeat. This offers a safer betting angle.
- Check for Cards Markets: Referee Sandro Scharer’s involvement could lead to a high-intensity match with potential for bookings, especially if the game becomes heated. Monitor early fouls for over 2.5 cards bets.
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Portugal vs Spain Prediction 2025
Spain enter the final as slight favorites, given their unbeaten run and historical edge in Portugal vs Spain odds. Their 19-match unbeaten streak, including victories over France and the Netherlands, underscores their ability to handle high-caliber opponents. Lamine Yamal’s emergence as a big-game performer, scoring twice against France, adds dynamism to their attack. Spain’s possession-based style and midfield control, led by Pedri and Zubimendi, are likely to dictate the tempo. However, their defensive lapses, conceding four goals to France, could give Portugal opportunities.
Portugal, however, are far from underdogs. Cristiano Ronaldo’s seven goals in this campaign, including the decisive strike against Germany, prove he remains a game-changer. Their ability to score late, with six goals after the 60th minute in their last matches, keeps them dangerous. Nuno Mendes’ consistent assists and the creativity of Fernandes and Silva and Vitinha provide a balanced squad. Yet, their struggles against Spain, scoring just once in their last four meetings, suggest a tactical discipline will be crucial.
Spain’s expertise in high-stakes finals winning the Euros and Nations League gives them an edge at the neutral Allianz Arena. Portugal’s counterattacking style could target Spain’s defensive vulnerabilities, but Spain’s depth and form should win by a tight margin. Portugal vs Spain odds show Spain as 1.92 favorites. We expect a gripping match with Spain winning the title.
Our Prediction: Spain 2-1 Portugal
| Prediction Type | Description | Odds |
| Match Result | Spain to Win | 1.92 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.58 |
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