Pafos vs Apollon (4:2): Cyprus Cup 30/04/2025

April 30, 2025
Status: Finished
4-2
Cyprus Cup
Pafos
Apollon
match decor

Hey, football fans! Get ready for a cracking clash in the Cyprus Cup as Pafos take on Apollon Limassol. This semi-final first leg is a chance for Pafos to keep their double dreams alive, while Apollon are desperate to salvage their season with a shot at European football.

The match kicks off at 16:00 GMT+0 on Wednesday, 30 April 2025, at the Stelios Kyriakides Stadium in Paphos, which holds 9,394 fans. It’s the semi-final first leg of the Cyprus Cup, and while referee details are not yet confirmed, the atmosphere will be electric as Pafos aim to leverage their home advantage against a struggling Apollon side.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Want to know what to expect when Pafos face Apollon? Our Pafos vs Apollon prediction today dives into the nitty-gritty of recent form and head-to-head battles. Both teams have had their ups and downs, but the stats tell a compelling story. Pafos have been nearly untouchable at home, while Apollon are scraping for points. Let’s break down the numbers to see why this match could be a defining moment for both sides.

Pafos Results

Pafos have been the team to beat this season, clinching the league title with 75 points. Their home form is a fortress, but recent matches show a slight dip as they eased up after securing the championship. Let’s check their last five games to see how they’re shaping up.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
26/04/20251. DivisionAC Omonia vs Pafos3:0L
22/04/20251. DivisionPafos vs Apollon2:0W
13/04/20251. DivisionAEK Larnaca vs Pafos2:2D
06/04/20251. DivisionPafos vs APOPillows APOEL FC0:1L
02/04/20251. DivisionAris vs Pafos0:1W

Pafos’ recent form shows a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their home win against Apollon just days ago proves they can dominate this opponent. However, losses to Omonia and APOEL suggest they’re not invincible, especially when their focus shifts. The draw against AEK Larnaca shows resilience, but their home record remains a massive strength. This inconsistency could be a factor if Apollon find their spark.

Apollon Results

Apollon have had a tough season, slipping to sixth in the Championship Group. Their recent form is shaky, with only one win in nine games. Let’s look at their last five matches to gauge their chances.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
26/04/20251. DivisionApollon vs APOEL0:0D
22/04/20251. DivisionPafos vs Apollon2:0L
13/04/20251. DivisionAris vs Apollon2:1L
06/04/20251. DivisionApollon vs AEK Larnaca1:1D
01/04/20251. DivisionApollon vs AC Omonia3:1W

Apollon’s form is a cause for concern, with just one win in their last five. Their only victory came against Omonia, showing they can pull off a result when it clicks. However, back-to-back losses and draws highlight their struggle for consistency. The 2:0 defeat to Pafos recently exposed defensive frailties. They’ll need a miracle to turn things around in Paphos.

Who will win Wednesday’s Cyprus Cup clash between Pafos and Apollon?
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Pafos
54%
Draw
26%
Apollon
20%
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Pafos vs Apollon Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

When Pafos and Apollon clash, it’s rarely dull. Pafos have had the upper hand lately, and their recent encounters tell a clear story. Let’s look at the last five head-to-heads to see the trend.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
22/04/20251. DivisionPafos vs Apollon2:0
16/03/20251. DivisionApollon vs Pafos1:2
16/02/20251. DivisionPafos vs Apollon1:0
10/11/20241. DivisionApollon vs Pafos0:1
17/04/2024Cyprus CupApollon vs Pafos1:1

Pafos are unbeaten in their last 14 games against Apollon, winning four of the last five. The most recent 2:0 victory underlines their dominance, especially at home. Apollon’s only draw in this run shows they can hang on, but they rarely threaten Pafos’ goal.

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Predicted Lineups for Pafos vs Apollon Football Match

Get ready for the Cyprus Cup semi-final first leg on 30 April 2025, as Pafos host Apollon Limassol at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium. Below, we’ve outlined the expected starting lineups for both teams, factoring in recent performances, injuries, and tactical preferences. These are our best predictions based on available squad news and current form.

Pafos Predicted Lineup

Pafos will likely field a strong side, despite the absence of suspended defender Derrick Luckassen, with Sarlija and Goldar stepping up in defense.

Ivusic (GK), Silva (DF), Sarlija (DF), Goldar (DF), Sema (DF), Pepe (MF), Dragomir (MF), Sunjic (MF), Correia (FW), Jairo (FW), Quina (FW)

Apollon Predicted Lineup

Apollon, desperate for a spark, should stick with their core players, leaning on experience to counter Pafos’ home dominance.

Leeuwenburgh (GK), Santos (DF), de Marco (DF), Kvida (DF), Zmrhal (DF), Kyriakou (MF), Weissbeck (MF), Boisgard (MF), Sagal (FW), Dorregaray (FW), Wouter (FW)

Key Factors to Watch

To nail your Pafos vs Apollon betting tips, you need to know what’s driving this match. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but a few critical elements could tip the scales. Here’s what matters most.

  • Pafos’ home dominance: They’ve won 18 of 24 home games this season, a 75% win rate;
  • Apollon’s poor form: Only one win in nine games shows they’re struggling to find rhythm;
  • Derrick Luckassen’s absence: Pafos’ key defender is suspended, potentially weakening their backline;
  • Recent head-to-head trend: Pafos have won the last four meetings, including a 2:0 just days ago;
  • Apollon’s motivation: A Cup win could secure European football, their last hope for the season;
  • Pafos’ title mentality: Having clinched the league, they’re hungry for the double;
  • Apollon’s attacking woes: They’ve scored just once in their last four games;
  • Home crowd boost: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium will be buzzing, giving Pafos an edge.
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Free Tips on Pafos vs Apollon

Looking to make a smart bet on the Pafos vs Apollon clash? This Cyprus Cup semi-final first leg on 30 April 2025 is packed with opportunities if you know where to look. Here are five key tips, drawn from stats and trends, to help you navigate the Pafos vs Apollon match prediction with confidence.

  • Check historical dominance: Pafos have won four of the last five head-to-heads, including a 2:0 victory just days ago, suggesting they know how to exploit Apollon’s weaknesses.
  • Focus on player scoring trends: Pafos’ forwards like Jairo are in fine form, while Apollon’s attack, led by Diego Dorregaray, has managed just one goal in four games, hinting at a low-scoring output from the visitors.
  • Consider pitch and weather impact: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium’s natural grass pitch could slow down if rain hits, potentially favoring Pafos’ controlled possession style over Apollon’s struggling counter-attacks.
  • Account for fatigue from schedules: Apollon’s recent congested fixtures may leave them drained, while Pafos, with the league title secured, have rotated players, keeping their squad fresher.
  • Evaluate referee tendencies: If a strict referee is assigned, expect more cards, as both teams have shown discipline issues in heated moments, especially Apollon in recent losses.
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Pafos vs Apollon Match Prediction 2025

For our Pafos vs Apollon prediction 2025, we’re backing Pafos to take a comfortable win in this first leg. Their home record is a brick wall, 18 wins from 24 games, including scalps like CSKA Sofia and Djurgaarden. Apollon, meanwhile, are limping, with just one win in nine and a 2:0 loss to Pafos last week. The Pafos vs Apollon odds reflect this, with Pafos as heavy favorites. Yes, Pafos are missing defender Derrick Luckassen, but their depth, with players like Jairo and Domingos Quina, should cover the gap. Apollon’s attack, led by Diego Dorregaray, has been toothless, and their defense leaks goals against stronger sides. Pafos’ motivation to chase the double outweighs Apollon’s faint hope of European qualification. The head-to-head stats are brutal for Apollon, four straight losses to Pafos, all by narrow margins. We expect Pafos to control possession, exploit Apollon’s shaky backline, and secure a lead to take into the second leg. A 2:0 or 2:1 scoreline feels right, keeping the tie alive but firmly in Pafos’ grip.

Our Prediction: Pafos 2-0 Apollon

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultPafos to win1.74
Total GoalsOver 1.51.34
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.75

Don’t miss out on this one! Bet on match Pafos vs Apollon you can make at bc.game. It’s the perfect spot to back Pafos and cash in on their home strength. Get in on the action now!

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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