Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – Serie A Round 8 24/10/2026

Serie A
Serie A
Napoli vs AS Roma
Sat, 24 October 2026 – 16:00
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2.78
Home
3.30
Draw
2.48
Away

Napoli face AS Roma in the Serie A, Round 8, on 24 October 2026. Kick-off is at 17:00 BST (16:00 UTC) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli, in the league, are in 9th position with 10 points from 7 matches. AS Roma, in the league, hold 3rd position with 17 points from 7 matches. Discover our predictions for this exciting clash.

Napoli vs AS Roma Team News

Napoli will be without Buongiorno, a defender, due to a knee injury. His absence leaves the defensive line short.

AS Roma will miss Bah, a midfielder, who is out with a knee injury. This absence affects their midfield options.

Napoli vs AS Roma Match Preview

Napoli, sitting 9th in the league with 10 points, aim to close the 1-point gap on 8th-placed Juventus. Roma, in 3rd place with 17 points, look to overtake Lazio, who are 2 points ahead. A win for either side could significantly impact their standings in the Serie A table.

Napoli, under M. Allegri, have recently favoured a 3-4-2-1 formation, which might see them sitting deeper and aiming to exploit their home strength. G. Gasperini’s Roma, also deploying a 3-4-2-1, could dominate possession and look to impose their strong away form. The midfield battle will be crucial in determining the game’s flow.

Can Napoli’s home strength counter Roma’s away prowess? This match will test whether Napoli can climb the table or if Roma can challenge for the top spots. Football betting tips explore these dynamics. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.

Napoli Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt2026-10-20UEFA Champions League4-3W
Venezia vs Napoli2026-10-17Serie A1-0L
Villarreal vs Napoli2026-10-13UEFA Champions League3-1L
Napoli vs Frosinone2026-10-10Serie A3-0W
Fiorentina vs Napoli2026-09-20Serie A1-1D
2Win
1Draw
2Lost

Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. At home in the league, they have played 3, winning 2 and losing 1, with 2 clean sheets. After 2 straight defeats, they bounced back with a thrilling 4-3 win at home to Bodo/Glimt on 20 October.

AS Roma Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava2026-10-20UEFA Champions League4-0W
AS Roma vs Genoa2026-10-17Serie A2-0W
AS Roma vs Real Madrid2026-10-14UEFA Champions League3-4L
Como vs AS Roma2026-10-11Serie A0-0D
AS Roma vs Inter2026-09-19Serie A2-2D
2Win
2Draw
1Lost

AS Roma have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. In the league, they have played 3 away games, winning 2 and drawing 1, scoring 6 without conceding. They have won each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 4-0 win at home to Slovan Bratislava on 20 October.

Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
Who will win Saturday’s Serie A clash between Napoli and AS Roma?
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Napoli
34%
Draw
28%
AS Roma
38%
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Napoli vs AS Roma Head-to-Head

4Napoli5Draw1AS Roma
Last five meetings, most recent first. Across the last 10: Napoli 4, AS Roma 1, 5 drawn.
MatchDateCompetitionResultWinner
Napoli vs AS Roma2026-02-15Serie A2-2Draw
AS Roma vs Napoli2025-11-30Serie A0-1Napoli
AS Roma vs Napoli2025-02-02Serie A1-1Draw
Napoli vs AS Roma2024-11-24Serie A1-0Napoli
Napoli vs AS Roma2024-04-28Serie A2-2Draw
Average total2.0 goals
Both teams scored5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals3 of 10

In the league, Napoli have won 4 of the 10 meetings against AS Roma, with 5 draws and 1 win for Roma. Goals have averaged 2.0 per match in this fixture, with both teams scoring in 5 of the 10 encounters. Notably, on 29 January 2023, Napoli defeated Roma 2-1 at home, highlighting their edge. The data points to a balanced goal-scoring pattern.

Predicted Lineups

Napoli Predicted Lineup

Meret; Rafa Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo; Spinazzola, McTominay, Zambo Anguissa, Politano; Lang, De Bruyne; Højlund.

Napoli have used 3-4-2-1 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Napoli predicted lineup against AS Roma in the Serie A

AS Roma Predicted Lineup

Gollini; Hermoso, Balerdi, Ghilardi; Wesley, Pisilli, de Roon, Molina; Pellegrini, Rodrigo Mora; Malen.

AS Roma have used 3-4-2-1 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

AS Roma predicted lineup against Napoli in the Serie A

Napoli vs AS Roma Match Analysis

Napoli’s expected goals (xG) data from their last five matches across all competitions shows a slight underperformance. They have an xG_for_total of 10.15 but have scored only 9 goals. Meanwhile, their xG_against_total is 7.06, yet they have conceded 8 goals. This indicates inefficiency in both attack and defence, pointing to the goals markets rather than the result.

In the league, Napoli often score between the 16th and 30th minute, with 3 goals in this period. They concede most between the 46th and 60th minute, with 3 goals against. AS Roma score frequently in the last 15 minutes, with 4 goals, and have a tighter defence. This timing pattern suggests both teams to score as a viable market.

Napoli average 17.8 shots per match in their last five across all competitions, with 6.8 on target, and maintain 54.2% possession. AS Roma average 16.4 shots, with 5.6 on target, and hold a slightly higher possession at 55.2%. Both teams’ offensive metrics suggest they can break down a deep block, supporting the goals markets.

Napoli’s discipline in the league is notable, with only 6 yellow cards and no reds, averaging 0.9 cards per match.

Key Factors

Napoli’s defensive gaps could influence the match outcome.

  • Napoli will be without Buongiorno, affecting their defensive line.
  • At home in the league, Napoli have kept 2 clean sheets.
  • In the league, AS Roma have scored 6 away goals without conceding.
  • In this fixture, goals have averaged 2.0 per match.
  • Napoli average 17.8 shots per match across all competitions.

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Free Tips

Value Betodds 1.81 to 2.30
Both teams to score, No

3 of AS Roma's 3 away league games saw at least one side fail to score. 2 of Napoli's last 5 matches differ as they include other competitions.

2.12ODDS
100%3 of AS Roma's 3 away league games
Over 2.5 goals

3 of Napoli's last 5 matches across all competitions had 3 or more goals, and 3 of the last 10 meetings differ as they include other teams.

1.84ODDS
60%3 of Napoli's last 5 matches
Speculativeodds 2.31 and above
Napoli to win

Napoli won 2 of their 3 home league games this season, while 4 of the last 10 meetings differ as they include other teams.

2.78ODDS
67%2 of Napoli's 3 home league games
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Our Verdict

I lean towards a narrow victory for Napoli. Their home record is a decisive factor, despite Roma’s strong away form. Napoli’s ability to recover from recent setbacks gives them an edge. My confidence is with reservations due to Napoli’s defensive concerns.

A change in my view could come from AS Roma’s late goal-scoring ability, which might exploit Napoli’s defensive lapses. If Roma score in the final stages, it could shift the game’s balance. For those interested in the dynamics of this clash, the BC.Game sports betting app offers a comprehensive platform to explore various markets.

Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.

Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game

Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction

The data points to a comfortable Napoli victory, with a strong likelihood of a convincing scoreline. The analysis suggests a match where one team dominates the scoring. For detailed selections and prices available at the time of writing, please refer to the table below.

Our Prediction: Napoli 3-0 AS Roma

PredictionPickOdds
Match ResultNapoli Win2.78
Total GoalsOver 2.51.84
Both Teams to ScoreNo2.12
Correct Score3-030.07

Predicted score: Napoli 3-0 AS Roma, available at 30.07. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.

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Napoli vs AS Roma FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?

Napoli are favoured to win. They’ve won 2 of their 3 home league games. At 2.78 odds, it’s a tempting bet. However, Roma’s strong away form could still challenge them.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs AS Roma?

The predicted score is 3-0 to Napoli. This reflects their attacking edge at home. It’s bold, considering Roma’s recent away clean sheets. You might see a different dynamic if Roma score early.

What is the biggest risk to the main pick?

Roma’s late goal-scoring is a risk. They’ve netted 4 goals in the last 15 minutes in the league. This could exploit Napoli’s defensive lapses, especially if the game is tight.

What has changed since Napoli and AS Roma last met?

Napoli have a new manager, M. Allegri. His tactics might influence their approach. Roma’s strong league start shows they’re more competitive now. Both teams have tactical shifts to consider.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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