Monza face Napoli in the Serie A, Round 9, on 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 19:45 GMT in Monza. Monza sit 14th in the league with 7 points from 7 matches. Napoli hold 9th position, having accumulated 10 points across 7 games. Our predictions for the round start here.
Monza vs Napoli Team News
Monza have no absences to report.
Buongiorno, a defender, is out with Jumpers Knee. This absence leaves Napoli short in their defensive options.
Monza vs Napoli Match Preview
Monza, positioned 14th in the league with 7 points, are just 1 point behind Sassuolo. Meanwhile, Napoli sit 9th with 10 points, trailing Juventus by 1 point. Both teams are eager to climb the table, with Monza looking to distance themselves from Bologna and Napoli aiming to close the gap on the top eight.
Monza, under Ivan Juric, are likely to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation, favouring a strong home approach. Napoli, managed by Massimiliano Allegri, might mirror this formation but struggle away. Expect Monza to control possession, forcing Napoli to defend deeper. The midfield battle will be crucial in determining the outcome.
This match will settle whether Monza can leverage their home strength against a Napoli side struggling away. Fans will debate if Juric’s tactics can outsmart Allegri’s adjustments. Football betting tips provide insights on this clash. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.
Monza Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza vs Cagliari | 2026-10-19 | Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| Lazio vs Monza | 2026-10-11 | Serie A | 3-1 | L |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs Monza | 2026-10-03 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 | D |
| Monza vs Cremonese | 2026-09-26 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 | L |
| Monza vs Sassuolo | 2026-09-18 | Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Monza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 11 and conceding 9. At home in the league, they have played 3, won 2 and lost 1, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their most recent result: a 4-0 win at home to Cagliari on 19 October, highlights their scoring potential.
Napoli Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt | 2026-10-20 | UEFA Champions League | 4-3 | W |
| Venezia vs Napoli | 2026-10-17 | Serie A | 1-0 | L |
| Villarreal vs Napoli | 2026-10-13 | UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | L |
| Napoli vs Frosinone | 2026-10-10 | Serie A | 3-0 | W |
| Fiorentina vs Napoli | 2026-09-20 | Serie A | 1-1 | D |
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Away in the league, they have played 4, won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2, scoring and conceding 5. Their recent form shows 2 straight defeats before the 4-3 win at home to Bodo/Glimt on 20 October.
Monza vs Napoli Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza vs Napoli | 2025-04-19 | Serie A | 0-1 | Napoli |
| Napoli vs Monza | 2024-09-29 | Serie A | 2-0 | Napoli |
| Monza vs Napoli | 2024-04-07 | Serie A | 2-4 | Napoli |
| Napoli vs Monza | 2023-12-29 | Serie A | 0-0 | Draw |
| Monza vs Napoli | 2023-05-14 | Serie A | 2-0 | Monza |
In their 6 league meetings, Napoli have won 4 times, Monza once, with 1 match ending in a draw. Goals have often been limited: 4 of these meetings have seen under 2.5 goals. Napoli’s home win on 21 August 2022, part of their record in this fixture, highlights their defensive strength with 4 clean sheets. The data points to an average of 2.5 total goals per match.
Predicted Lineups
Monza Predicted Lineup
Törnqvist; Carboni, Goglichidze, Kouadio; Ricardo Mangas, Akinsanmiro, Ondoa, Birindelli; Jay Robinson, Dany Mota; Gustavo Varela.
Monza have used 3-4-2-1 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Napoli Predicted Lineup
Meret; Rafa Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo; Spinazzola, McTominay, Zambo Anguissa, Politano; Lang, De Bruyne; Højlund.
Napoli have used 3-4-2-1 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Monza vs Napoli Match Analysis
Monza’s expected goals (xG) figures in their last 3 matches across all competitions show a total xG of 5.37, with 7 actual goals scored. This indicates they are scoring above their xG, suggesting efficiency in front of goal. Conversely, they have an xG against total of 5.42 but conceded only 4, hinting at a resilient defence. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Monza tend to concede early, with 4 goals conceded in the first 15 minutes. However, they have been more effective offensively between the 31st and 75th minute, scoring 9 goals in this period. Napoli, on the other hand, are more potent later, scoring 3 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. This timing pattern suggests opportunities in the both teams to score market.
Napoli’s average possession of 54.2% in their last 5 matches across all competitions suggests they dominate the ball. They also average 17.8 shots per match, indicating a high volume of attacking play. Monza, with only 38.3% possession, may struggle to maintain control against Napoli’s pressing game. This points towards Napoli’s advantage in the possession markets.
Monza have shown defensive frailties, conceding 4 goals in the first 15 minutes of league matches, which may undermine their scoring efficiency.
Key Factors
Monza’s scoring efficiency faces Napoli’s possession dominance.
- Buongiorno’s absence leaves Napoli short in defensive options.
- Monza scored 8 goals at home in the league.
- Napoli scored and conceded 5 goals away in the league.
- Napoli kept 4 clean sheets in this fixture.
- Monza conceded 4 goals in the first 15 minutes in the league.
Free Tips
5 of Monza's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals, but only 1 of Napoli's 4 away league games did.
Monza won or drew 3 of their last 5 matches, and the two misses came away from home.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards Monza or draw, double chance, given Monza’s strong home scoring record and Napoli’s defensive challenges without Buongiorno. Monza’s efficiency in front of goal and Napoli’s away struggles suggest a close contest. I back this selection with reservations, considering Monza’s tendency to concede early in league matches.
If Napoli manage to dominate possession and exploit Monza’s early defensive frailties, my view could shift. Monza’s ability to maintain their scoring efficiency against Napoli’s pressing game is uncertain. Using the BC.Game sports betting app, I would watch for any late team news that might affect the dynamics.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Monza vs Napoli Prediction
The data points to a Monza victory with both teams finding the net and a high-scoring affair. Expect goals and excitement in this Serie A clash. Check the table below for the selections and the prices available at the time of writing.
Our Prediction: Monza 2-1 Napoli
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Monza Win | 3.80 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.70 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.62 |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 12.00 |
Predicted score: Monza 2-1 Napoli, available at 12.00. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Monza vs Napoli FAQ
Who will win Monza vs Napoli?
The data points to a Monza win at 12.00 odds. It’s a risky call, but Napoli’s away struggles and Monza’s home form suggest an upset. I’d consider the odds before betting on this outcome.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Napoli?
The predicted score is 2-1 to Monza. This reflects Monza’s recent scoring efficiency and Napoli’s defensive issues without Buongiorno. It’s a close call, but Monza’s home advantage could be decisive.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Napoli’s ability to dominate possession poses a risk. With 54.2% average possession in their last five matches, they can control the game. If Monza’s defence doesn’t hold, the main pick could falter.
Does the venue matter in Monza vs Napoli?
Yes, Monza’s home form is strong with 8 goals scored in 3 league matches. Napoli have struggled away, making Monza’s home advantage significant. If Monza leverage this, it could sway the match in their favour.
