Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – Premier League Round 8 25/10/2026

Premier League
Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton
Sun, 25 October 2026 – 14:00
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2.12
Home
3.75
Draw
3.05
Away

Liverpool face Brighton in the Premier League, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is at 14:00 GMT at Anfield. Liverpool are 5th in the league with 12 points from 7 matches. Brighton sit 3rd, having accumulated 16 points across their 7 games. Our predictions for the round start here.

Liverpool vs Brighton Team News

Liverpool have no absences, with all players available for selection.

Brighton have no absences, with all players available for selection.

Liverpool vs Brighton Match Preview

Liverpool, sitting 5th in the league with 12 points, aim to close the 1-point gap to 4th-placed Chelsea. Meanwhile, Brighton, in 3rd with 16 points, look to reduce their 2-point deficit to 2nd-placed Arsenal. Both teams are eager to solidify their positions in the top four, making this a pivotal clash.

Both sides have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 formation this season. Liverpool have struggled at home in the league, often being outscored, while Brighton excel away, frequently outscoring their hosts. This dynamic suggests that Andoni Iraola’s Liverpool may adopt a more cautious approach, allowing Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton to control possession.

The key question is whether Liverpool can overcome their poor home form against Brighton’s strong away performances. This clash will test Liverpool’s resilience and Brighton’s attacking prowess. Football betting tips cover the rest of the round, offering insights into how the Premier League landscape may shift after this encounter.

Liverpool Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Liverpool vs Villarreal2026-10-20UEFA Champions League4-3W
Brentford vs Liverpool2026-10-17Premier League1-2W
Lask Linz vs Liverpool2026-10-14UEFA Champions League3-6W
Liverpool vs Manchester City2026-10-11Premier League0-3L
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Premier League0-1W
4Win
0Draw
1Lost

Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 13 goals and conceding 10. Their only defeat was a 0-3 loss to Manchester City at home. In the league, Liverpool have played 3 home matches, drawing 2 and losing 1, scoring 2 goals and conceding 5. They have won each of their last 3 matches, the latest a 4-3 win at home to Villarreal on 20 October.

Brighton Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Brighton vs Crystal Palace2026-10-18Premier League5-0W
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris2026-10-15UEFA Europa Conference League4-0W
Sunderland vs Brighton2026-10-10Premier League0-2W
Brighton vs Arsenal2026-09-19Premier League3-0W
Manchester United vs Brighton2026-09-16League Cup2-3W
5Win
0Draw
0Lost

Brighton have won each of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 2. In the league, Brighton’s away record shows 2 wins from 3 matches, with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. They have won each of their last 5 matches, the latest a 5-0 win at home to Crystal Palace on 18 October.

Premier League
Liverpool
Brighton
Who will win Sunday’s Premier League clash between Liverpool and Brighton?
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Liverpool
44%
Draw
25%
Brighton
31%
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Liverpool vs Brighton Head-to-Head

5Liverpool1Draw4Brighton
Last five meetings, most recent first. Across the last 10: Liverpool 5, Brighton 4, 1 drawn.
MatchDateCompetitionResultWinner
Brighton vs Liverpool2026-03-21Premier League2-1Brighton
Liverpool vs Brighton2026-02-14FA Cup3-0Liverpool
Liverpool vs Brighton2025-12-13Premier League2-0Liverpool
Brighton vs Liverpool2025-05-19Premier League3-2Brighton
Liverpool vs Brighton2024-11-02Premier League2-1Liverpool
Average total3.4 goals
Both teams scored7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals9 of 10

Liverpool lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Brighton’s 4, and 1 draw in their last 10 meetings. Goals have been plentiful, averaging 3.4 per game, with both teams scoring in 7 encounters. Brighton’s 3-0 home victory on 14 January 2023 highlighted their defensive strength. The data points to high-scoring games, with 9 of the 10 matches featuring over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Lineups

Liverpool Predicted Lineup

Alisson Becker; Tsimikas, van Dijk, Jacquet, Araújo; Nyoni, Mac Allister; Gakpo, Gravenberch, Ngumoha; Koumas.

Liverpool have used 4-2-3-1 in 7 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Liverpool predicted lineup against Brighton in the Premier League

Brighton Predicted Lineup

Verbruggen; Boscagli, Dunk, Vuskovic, Kadioglu; Andres, Gross; De Cuyper, Ayari, Gomez; Kostoulas.

Brighton have used 4-2-3-1 in 7 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Brighton predicted lineup against Liverpool in the Premier League

Liverpool vs Brighton Match Analysis

Liverpool have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches across all competitions, exceeding their xG of 9.9. This indicates clinical finishing, as they outperform their expected goals by a significant margin. Brighton’s 14 goals from an xG of 8.74 also show a similar trend. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.

In the league, Liverpool score frequently between the 46th and 60th minute, netting 3 goals, while Brighton are potent between the 31st and 45th minute with 5 goals. Both teams concede in various windows, making them vulnerable at different times. This timing analysis supports both teams to score.

Brighton average 20 shots per match in their last 5 across all competitions, with 6.4 on target, indicating a high volume of attempts. Liverpool average 18.8 shots with 6 on target, showing similar attacking intent. Both teams’ possession figures above 53% suggest they can maintain pressure, favouring the goals markets.

Liverpool’s 2.9 cards per match in the league suggest potential disciplinary issues, which could disrupt their attacking flow and impact the outcome.

Key Factors

This match hinges on the attacking prowess of both teams.

  • Liverpool have no absences affecting their squad.
  • Liverpool have scored 2 goals at home in the league.
  • Brighton have scored 10 goals away in the league.
  • Brighton won 3-0 at home on 14 January 2023.
  • Brighton average 20 shots per match in their last 5.

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Free Tips

High Probabilityodds 1.50 to 1.80
Over 2.5 goals

9 of the last 10 meetings had 3 or more goals, and the one miss came away from home.

1.53ODDS
90%9 of the last 10 meetings
Brighton or draw, double chance

Brighton won or drew all of their last 5 matches across all competitions, showing consistent form.

1.66ODDS
100%5 of Brighton's last 5 matches
Speculativeodds 2.31 and above
Both teams to score, No

4 of Brighton's last 5 matches saw at least one side fail to score, despite the weaker set.

2.52ODDS
80%4 of Brighton's last 5 matches
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Our Verdict

I’m leaning towards over two and a half goals at Anfield. Both Liverpool and Brighton have exceeded their expected goals in recent matches, demonstrating clinical finishing. Their head-to-head history often features high-scoring games, which is the deciding factor here. I feel comfortably confident in this prediction.

If Liverpool manage to tighten their defence at home, it could change the expected goal tally. Their discipline, evident in their high card count in the league, might disrupt their rhythm. Using the BC.Game sports betting app, I’d keep an eye on Liverpool’s defensive adjustments during the match.

Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.

Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game

Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction

The data points to a Brighton win with a convincing performance, as Liverpool are not expected to score. A high-scoring match is anticipated, with goals likely to exceed two. Check the table below for the selections and prices available at the time of writing.

Our Prediction: Liverpool 0-3 Brighton

PredictionPickOdds
Match ResultBrighton Win3.05
Total GoalsOver 2.51.53
Both Teams to ScoreNo2.52
Correct Score0-336.64

Predicted score: Liverpool 0-3 Brighton, available at 36.64. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.

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Liverpool vs Brighton FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?

The data points to Brighton. Liverpool have lost 2 of 3 at home in the league. Brighton’s strong away form suggests they might take advantage.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brighton?

It’s 0-3 to Brighton. Liverpool’s home defence is vulnerable, conceding 5 goals in 3 matches. Brighton’s attack is potent, scoring 17 in their last 5 matches. This combination suggests a decisive Brighton win.

Which market offers the best value in Liverpool vs Brighton?

Brighton or draw, double chance at 1.66. Brighton have won their last 5 matches, making this option appealing if you’re unsure about a clear winner.

What has changed since Liverpool and Brighton last met?

Brighton’s form has improved. They’ve won 5 straight in the league. Liverpool’s home struggles continue, which could influence the match outcome.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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