Dunkerque and Guingamp’s much awaited Ligue 1 promotion play-off encounter will enthrall French football supporters. Aim to land a historic promotion to Ligue 1, coming off their Coupe de France semi-final run; Guingamp, a former top-flight team, seeks to retake her place among the elite.
Starting at 18:30 PM GMT+0 on May 14, 2025, Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium in Kawasaki will host the game with 26,232 capacity. Although the referee for this match is yet unknown, the Ligue 1 stage promises fierce rivalry; the winner advances to meet Metz for a shot at a two-leg tie against the 16th-ranked Ligue 1 side.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction today focuses on critical factors that could sway the outcome of this play-off clash. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance but struggle with consistency, making recent form and head-to-head records pivotal. Dunkerque’s home advantage could play a significant role, while Guingamp’s experience in high-stakes matches adds intrigue. The following sections break down their recent performances and historical encounters. These insights will guide fans and bettors in assessing the Dunkerque vs Guingamp betting tips.
Ligue 1 Standings for Dunkerque vs Guingamp May 14, 2025
As the Ligue 1 play-off kicks off, Dunkerque and Guingamp are set to battle for a chance at promotion to Ligue 1, with Dunkerque holding the advantage of a fourth-place finish and home support. This crucial match at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium will determine who advances to face Metz in the next stage of the promotion race.
Dunkerque Results
Though their current form raises questions, Dunkerque’s path to the Ligue 1 has been one of resilience. Although their fourth-place finish guaranteed home advantage for this tie, just two of their last ten league game wins point to weaknesses. Still, the Coupe de France semi-final run shows they can meet the challenge.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 10/05/25 | Ligue 2 | Red Star vs Dunkerque | 1:1 | D |
| 02/05/25 | Ligue 2 | Dunkerque vs Laval | 0:0 | D |
| 25/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Troyes vs Dunkerque | 1:0 | L |
| 18/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Dunkerque vs Grenoble | 2:0 | W |
| 11/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Amiens vs Dunkerque | 1:0 | L |
Dunkerque’s home form offers some optimism, with both of their recent wins coming at home. However, their inability to score in three of their last five matches suggests struggles in attack. The two draws against Red Star and Laval show defensive solidity, but losses to Troyes and Amiens expose fragility on the road. Yacine Bammou’s goal-scoring prowess at home will be crucial. Overall, Dunkerque’s mixed results underline the importance of capitalizing on home advantage.
Guingamp Results
Guingamp, a former Ligue 1 side, have had an inconsistent season but showed enough quality to reach the play-offs. Their away form, however, has been a concern, with four losses in their last six road games. The experience of playing in high-pressure matches could give them an edge in this tie.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 10/05/25 | Ligue 2 | Pau FC vs Guingamp | 1:3 | W |
| 02/05/25 | Ligue 2 | Guingamp vs Bastia | 2:2 | D |
| 25/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Guingamp vs Martigues | 2:1 | W |
| 18/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Amiens vs Guingamp | 3:2 | L |
| 12/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Guingamp vs Lorient | 1:2 | L |
Guingamp’s recent victory over Pau FC highlights their attacking potential, with three goals scored. However, their defensive lapses, conceding in four of their last five games, are a concern. The draw against Bastia and loss to Lorient at home suggest struggles against stronger opponents. Their away loss to Amiens mirrors Dunkerque’s result, indicating shared vulnerabilities. Jacques Siwe’s late scoring threat could be a factor in breaking deadlocks.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The historical encounters between Dunkerque and Guingamp provide valuable context for this play-off clash. Dunkerque have had the upper hand in recent meetings, particularly at home. These results shape expectations for the Dunkerque vs Guingamp match prediction.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 07/04/25 | Ligue 2 | Dunkerque vs Guingamp | 3:1 |
| 04/01/25 | Ligue 2 | Guingamp vs Dunkerque | 1:1 |
| 13/04/24 | Ligue 2 | Dunkerque vs Guingamp | 0:1 |
| 12/08/23 | Ligue 2 | Guingamp vs Dunkerque | 0:1 |
| 07/05/22 | Ligue 2 | Dunkerque vs Guingamp | 1:3 |
Dunkerque’s 3:1 home win in April 2025 stands out, showcasing their ability to dominate Guingamp. However, Guingamp’s victories in 2024 and 2022 suggest they can exploit Dunkerque’s defense. The 1:1 draw in January 2025 indicates closely fought battles. Overall, Dunkerque’s home record gives them a slight edge, but Guingamp’s resilience cannot be underestimated.
Dunkerque Possible Starting Lineup
Dunkerque’s manager is expected to deploy a balanced 4-3-2-1 formation, emphasizing defensive stability while relying on Yacine Bammou’s goal-scoring prowess at home.
Kone (GK), Linguet (DF), Fernandez (DF), Kondo (DF), Fortuna (DF), Queiros (MF), Al Saad (MF), Sekongo (MF), Rivera (MF), Yassine (MF), Bammou (FW)
Guingamp Possible Starting Lineup
Guingamp is likely to opt for a 4-4-2 setup, aiming to exploit their counter-attacking strengths, with Jacques Siwe as a key threat in the final third.
Basilio (GK), Sissoko (DF), Gomis (DF), Nair (DF), Vallir (DF), Ghrieb (MF), Louiserre (MF), Hamia (MF), Picard (MF), Sidibe (FW), Siwe (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements will influence the outcome of this crucial play-off match. Both teams face challenges and opportunities that could tip the scales. Here are the critical aspects to consider for the Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction 2025:
- Dunkerque’s home form: Both of their recent wins came at home, boosting confidence for this match.
- Guingamp’s away struggles: Four losses in their last six away games highlight vulnerabilities on the road.
- Yacine Bammou’s impact: All six of his Ligue 1 goals this season were scored at home, making him a key threat.
- Jacques Siwe’s late goals: Six of his last seven club goals came after half-time, posing a danger in the second half.
- Injuries: No major injuries reported, but last-minute updates on key players like Bammou or Siwe could shift dynamics.
- Defensive frailties: Both teams have conceded in recent matches, suggesting a potentially open game.
- Motivation: Dunkerque chase historic Ligue 1 promotion, while Guingamp aim to return to the top flight after six years.
- Recent form: Dunkerque’s two wins in ten games contrast with Guingamp’s two wins in five, indicating fluctuating momentum.
Free Tips on Dunkerque vs Guingamp
The Dunkerque vs Guingamp play-off match on May 14, 2025, is a high-stakes encounter where every detail matters. This list provides essential betting tips derived from statistical insights and team dynamics to help you make informed decisions. By focusing on unique aspects not covered in prior sections, these tips offer a fresh perspective for the Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction 2025.
- Evaluate Historical Scoring Patterns: Study the goal-scoring trends in past Dunkerque vs Guingamp matches, where three of the last five head-to-heads saw at least one team fail to score, suggesting a tendency for low-scoring or one-sided games.
- Assess Referee Influence: Research the appointed referee’s tendencies, as some officials issue more cards or penalties, which could impact bets on disciplinary outcomes in this tightly contested play-off.
- Consider Pitch and Weather Effects: Check the Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium’s pitch type (likely artificial turf) and weather forecast, as rain could make the surface slick, favoring Guingamp’s counter-attacking style over Dunkerque’s build-up play.
- Monitor Fixture Congestion: Dunkerque and Guingamp have had busy schedules, so fatigue from recent matches could lead to cautious play or errors, influencing bets on total goals or corners.
- Factor in Fan Support: Dunkerque’s home crowd could act as a “12th man,” potentially boosting their performance, which is critical when assessing Dunkerque vs Guingamp betting tips for match result or goal markets.
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Dunkerque vs Guingamp Match Prediction 2025
The Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction 2025 leans slightly towards the hosts due to their strong home record and recent dominance in head-to-head clashes. Dunkerque’s 3:1 victory over Guingamp in April 2025 at this venue demonstrates their ability to capitalize on home advantage. Yacine Bammou’s consistent scoring at home, combined with Guingamp’s poor away form (four losses in six), tilts the balance in Dunkerque’s favor. However, Guingamp’s experience in high-stakes matches and Jacques Siwe’s knack for late goals make them a dangerous opponent. The Dunkerque vs Guingamp odds reflect a tight contest, with bookmakers likely favoring Dunkerque narrowly due to their home form. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Guingamp conceding in four of their last five games and Dunkerque struggling to score in recent outings. This suggests a low-scoring but competitive match, potentially decided by a single goal. We predict a 1:0 win for Dunkerque, driven by their home advantage and Bammou’s scoring threat, though Guingamp’s resilience could keep the game close until the final whistle.
Our Prediction: Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Dunkerque to win | 2.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.91 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.67 |
Place your bets with confidence, as this match promises to be a thrilling encounter. The stake on the match – Dunkerque vs Guingamp you can make on bc.game, where competitive odds and a seamless betting experience await.
