Almería’s Estadio UD Almería will host an interesting football match on Monday, 28 April 2025, at 18:30 GMT between Almeria and Ferrol in the 37th round of Spain’s La Liga 2. Under direction Lax S., this high-stakes match in the Spanish second tier sees promotion hopes Almeria take on a Ferrol team fighting to avoid relegation.
Almeria, who sits seventh and just two points shy of the playoff zone, is strong in their 17,400-capacity facility since they have not lost any last 15 home games. Ferrol, on the other hand, are in terrible shape; 15 points from safety with only five games remaining; their poor away performance adds to their difficulties in this pivotal La Liga 2 game.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This section provides key insights to guide your Almeria vs Ferrol prediction today. Examining current team chemistry, previous matches, and recent results helps us to create the scene for a thorough analysis of what to expect. Almeria’s great home record stands in sharp contrast to Ferrol’s continuous difficulties, especially on the road. Providing insightful background, the head-to-head history tilts the balances in Almeria’s advantage. Let’s explore the facts to find the trends influencing this La Liga 2 game.
Almeria Results
Almeria’s recent performances reflect a team strong at home but inconsistent away. Under coach Rubi, they’ve secured three consecutive home wins, boosting their playoff hopes. However, their away form has been a weak point, with only one point from seven road games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18/04/25 | LL2 | Castellon vs Almeria | 4:1 | L |
| 13/04/25 | LL2 | Almeria vs FC Cartagena SAD | 2:1 | W |
| 05/04/25 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Almeria | 3:1 | L |
| 29/03/25 | LL2 | Almeria vs Levante | 1:0 | W |
| 21/03/25 | LL2 | Burgos CF vs Almeria | 3:1 | L |
Their best asset is Almeria’s home form; their dominance at Estadio UD Almería shows over Cartagena and Levante. Their 15 home game perfect run emphasises their fortitude. But hefty away losses to Castellon and Granada expose weaknesses away from home ground. This difference implies Almeria will rely mostly on their home advantage versus Ferrol. This game looks great since the 2:1 victory against Cartagena shows they can grind out results against mid-table sides.
Ferrol Results
Ferrol’s season has been difficult; their current performance points to a team in freefall. The squad of Alejandro Menéndez has lost ten of their last twelve games; their road record is especially poor. Given relegation hanging over them, their morale seems to be at rock bottom.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 19/04/25 | LL2 | Ferrol vs Eldense | 1:0 | W |
| 12/04/25 | LL2 | R. Oviedo vs Ferrol | 3:0 | L |
| 07/04/25 | LL2 | Elche vs Ferrol | 1:0 | L |
| 29/03/25 | LL2 | Ferrol vs Dep. La Coruna | 0:1 | L |
| 22/03/25 | LL2 | Malaga vs Ferrol | 2:0 | L |
Ferrol’s solitary win against Eldense is a rare bright spot in an otherwise bleak run. Their six consecutive away losses, including shutouts against Oviedo, Elche, and Malaga, expose their inability to compete on the road. The 1:0 home loss to Deportivo La Coruna shows even their home form offers little respite. With only five games left, their 15-point gap to safety seems insurmountable. Facing Almeria’s home juggernaut, Ferrol’s prospects look grim.
Almeria vs Ferrol Head-to-Head Results
The head-to-head record between Almeria and Ferrol gives this game important background. Almeria has dominated most recent meetings, having four of the last six victories. Their 4:1 hammering of Ferrol earlier this season sets a good standard.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 18/12/24 | LL2 | Ferrol vs Almeria | 1:4 |
| 16/04/06 | LL2 | Ferrol vs Almeria | 1:1 |
| 13/11/05 | LL2 | Almeria vs Ferrol | 2:1 |
| 06/02/05 | LL2 | Almeria vs Ferrol | 1:6 |
| 05/09/04 | LL2 | Ferrol vs Almeria | 0:1 |
Almeria’s recent dominance, particularly the 4:1 away win in December 2024, underscores their superiority. The 2:1 home victory in 2005 shows their historical edge at Estadio UD Almería. Ferrol’s only notable success was a 6:1 thrashing in 2005, but that feels like an anomaly given current form. The 1:1 draw in 2006 suggests Ferrol can occasionally hold their own, but Almeria’s recent form makes a repeat unlikely. Overall, the data heavily favors Almeria.
Predicted Football Lineups for Almeria vs Ferrol
The projected lineups for this La Liga 2 football match reflect the tactical approaches of both teams, despite injury concerns. Below are the expected starting XIs, considering the latest team news and formations.
Almeria Lineup
Almeria’s Rubi is likely to field a strong side, leveraging their home advantage: Luis Maximiano (GK), Marc Pubill (DF), Edgar Gonzalez (DF), A. Radovanovic (DF), Alex Centelles (DF), Gonzalo Melero (MF), Lazaro (MF), Leo Baptistao (MF), Sergio Arribas (MF), Nico Ribaudo (MF), Luis Suarez (FW).
Ferrol Lineup
Ferrol, under Alejandro Menéndez, will aim to stay compact despite their struggles: Jesus Ruiz (GK), Aleksa Puric (DF), David Castro (DF), Brais Martinez (DF), Redrado (DF), Fran Manzanara (MF), Josep Sene (MF), Josue Dorrio (MF), Alvaro Sanz (MF), Heber Pena (MF), Alvaro Gimenez (FW).
Unavailable Players
Injuries and suspensions will impact both sides, with key absences potentially shaping the match’s outcome. The table below lists players ruled out for this La Liga 2 clash.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Almeria | Iddrisu Baba | Knee Injury |
| Almeria | Chumi | Muscle Injury |
| Almeria | Rachad Fettal | Knee Injury |
| Almeria | Dion Lopy | Yellow Cards |
| Ferrol | Aitor Buñuel | Injury |
| Ferrol | Luis Perea | Ankle Injury |
| Ferrol | Rober Correa | Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
To make an informed Almeria vs Ferrol prediction today, several critical elements must be considered. These factors, ranging from team form to external influences, will likely dictate the match’s outcome. Below are the pivotal aspects to monitor.
- Almeria is favourites since they have won their last three at Estadio UD Almería and have unbeaten records in 15 home games;
- Ferrol lost their last six away games and failed to score in four of them;
- Missing Dion Lopy, Chumi, and Iddrisu Baba could compromise Almeria’s defence and midfield;
- Absences of Aitor Buñuel, Luis Perea, and Rober Correa worsen Ferrol’s already difficult lineup;
- Almeria’s striker, Luis Suarez, has been essential in previous home games and most likely will take advantage of Ferrol’s weak defence;
- Ferrol’s low morale due to nearly certain relegation could have an impact on their effort;
- Lax S.’s officiating technique, including card frequency, could affect a possibly physical game;
- Natural grass on Estadio UD Almería prefers Almeria’s possession-based approach, if kept in good condition.
Free Tips on Almeria vs Ferrol
This section offers practical betting advice tailored to the Almeria vs Ferrol matchup, drawing on statistical trends and team dynamics. These tips aim to help you make informed decisions for this La Liga 2 clash. Consider the following carefully before placing your bets.
- Focus on Almeria’s Home Scoring Trend: Almeria have scored in every home game during their 15-match unbeaten streak, averaging over 1.5 goals per game, making a bet on them scoring at least once a safe option;
- Leverage Ferrol’s Away Defensive Frailty: Ferrol has lost in all six of their most recent away games, mostly by multiple goals, suggesting a bet on Almeria to score over 1.5 goals could be lucrative;
- Consider Low Goal Output from Ferrol: Ferrol have failed to score in four of their last six away games, so betting on Almeria to keep a clean sheet is worth exploring;
- Look at Historical Dominance: Almeria’s 4:1 win over Ferrol earlier this season and their strong head-to-head record support a bet on a comfortable Almeria victory, possibly by two or more goals;
- Account for Fan Influence: The 17,400-capacity Estadio UD Almería, packed with passionate home fans, often acts as a 12th man, boosting Almeria’s performance and making a home win bet appealing;
- Monitor Card Markets: Given both teams’ desperation Almeria for promotion, Ferrol to avoid embarrassment and Lax S.’s refereeing tendencies, betting on over 4.5 cards could offer value.
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Almeria vs Ferrol Match Prediction 2025
Almeria are poised to capitalize on their exceptional home form against a Ferrol side in disarray. The Almeria vs Ferrol odds reflect Almeria’s dominance, with their unbeaten run of 15 home games and three consecutive home wins making them clear favorites. Ferrol’s six straight away losses and ten defeats in twelve games expose their fragility, particularly given important players like Aitor Buñuel and Luis Perea sidelined. Almeria’s previous 4:1 hammering of Ferrol this season shows their capacity to take advantage of Ferrol’s defensive flaws, therefore tilting the balances. Almeria’s depth, under Luis Suarez, should overpower Ferrol’s inferior team even though Iddrisu Baba and Dion Lopy are missing. While Ferrol’s low morale and lack of scoring danger imply a one-sided contest, the fervent crowd and well-maintained ground favour Almería’s offensive style. As Almeria works for the playoffs, we project a comfortable victory probably by a two-goal margin.
Our Prediction: Almeria 2-0 Ferrol
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Almeria to Win | 1.29 |
| Total Goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.24 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.58 |
Place your bet on the match – Almeria vs Ferrol at bc.game. With Almeria’s formidable home record and Ferrol’s ongoing struggles, this La Liga 2 clash offers plenty of betting opportunities. Sign up with bc.game today to explore competitive odds and enhance your betting experience for this exciting football encounter.
