AC Milan face Bologna in the Serie A Round 9 on 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 17:30 GMT in Milan. AC Milan are 4th in the league with 15 points from 7 matches. Bologna sit 15th in the league, having collected 5 points from their 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
AC Milan vs Bologna Team News
AC Milan have no absences to report for this match.
Bologna have no absences to report for this match.
AC Milan vs Bologna Match Preview
AC Milan, positioned 4th in the league with 15 points, aim to close the 2-point gap to 3rd-placed AS Roma. A victory could propel them up the table, depending on other results. Bologna, in 15th with 5 points, seek to widen their 1-point lead over Udinese below them and climb the standings.
Ruben Amorim’s AC Milan, likely using a 3-4-3 formation, will aim to control possession and apply pressure. Bologna, under Raffaele Palladino, may adopt a 3-4-2-1 setup, sitting deeper to absorb Milan’s attacks. The battle in midfield could be decisive, with Milan’s strong home form tested against Bologna’s mixed away performances.
The match will determine if Milan can reinforce their status as title challengers or if Bologna can thwart their progress. Fans will debate whether Milan’s tactical adaptability can overcome Bologna’s defensive approach. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.
AC Milan Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2026-10-18 | Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan | 2026-10-15 | UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | W |
| Sassuolo vs AC Milan | 2026-10-11 | Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| AC Milan vs Lecce | 2026-09-20 | Serie A | 3-0 | W |
| AC Milan vs Benfica | 2026-09-16 | UEFA Europa League | 0-2 | L |
AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, drawing 1 and losing 1, scoring 11 goals and conceding 5. At home in the league, they have won all 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They have won each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 3-2 win at home to Atalanta on 18 October.
Bologna Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna vs Inter | 2026-10-17 | Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| Lecce vs Bologna | 2026-10-11 | Serie A | 1-2 | W |
| Bologna vs Torino | 2026-09-19 | Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Napoli vs Bologna | 2026-09-13 | Serie A | 1-0 | L |
| Bologna vs Sassuolo | 2026-09-06 | Serie A | 2-2 | D |
Bologna have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 6 and conceding 8. In the league, their away record shows 1 win and 2 losses, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. The most recent result: a 3-1 defeat at home to Inter on 17 October. They have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
AC Milan vs Bologna Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna vs AC Milan | 2026-02-03 | Serie A | 0-3 | AC Milan |
| AC Milan vs Bologna | 2025-09-14 | Serie A | 1-0 | AC Milan |
| AC Milan vs Bologna | 2025-05-14 | Coppa Italia | 0-1 | Bologna |
| AC Milan vs Bologna | 2025-05-09 | Serie A | 3-1 | AC Milan |
| Bologna vs AC Milan | 2025-02-27 | Serie A | 2-1 | Bologna |
In their last 10 meetings, AC Milan have won 5 times, Bologna have secured 2 victories and 3 matches ended in draws. Goals have flowed with an average of 2.2 per match. A notable encounter was on 27 January 2024, when AC Milan drew 2-2 at home, showcasing both teams’ attacking capabilities. Bettors might focus on the 4 matches where both teams scored.
Predicted Lineups
AC Milan Predicted Lineup
Maignan; Pavlovic, De Winter, Gila; Moreira, Modric, Musah, Chukwueze; Pulisic, Ramos, Rabiot.
AC Milan have used 3-4-3 in 1 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Bologna Predicted Lineup
Skorupski; Theate, Casale, Darmian; Miranda, Pobega, Ferguson, Zortea; Cambiaghi, Bernardeschi; Piccoli.
Bologna have used 3-4-2-1 in 2 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
AC Milan vs Bologna Match Analysis
AC Milan’s performance across their last 5 matches in all competitions shows they have scored 11 goals from an xG of 2.07 per match. This indicates efficiency in converting chances. Conversely, they have conceded 5 goals from an xG against of 0.93 per match. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, AC Milan score heavily between the 61st and 75th minute, with 9 goals, while Bologna concede frequently in that period, with 3 goals. Bologna also struggle defensively late on, conceding 3 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. This suggests an opportunity in the goals markets during these windows.
AC Milan average 58.4% possession in their last 5 matches across all competitions, indicating a tendency to control play. Bologna, with 44.4% possession, may find it challenging to contain Milan’s possession-based approach. This possession disparity suggests AC Milan can break down Bologna’s defence, pointing towards both teams to score as a viable market.
Bologna have shown resilience away from home in the league, securing a 2-1 victory against Lecce, which suggests they can be competitive despite their overall struggles.
Key Factors
AC Milan’s attacking efficiency could be decisive against Bologna’s defence.
- AC Milan have no absences to report for this match.
- AC Milan have won all 3 home matches in the league, scoring 8 goals.
- Bologna have conceded 3 goals in their 3 away matches in the league.
- AC Milan have won 5 of their last 10 meetings with Bologna.
- AC Milan score heavily between the 61st and 75th minute in the league.
Free Tips
AC Milan won 3 of their 3 home league games, and the latest miss came away from home.
6 of the last 10 meetings had 2 or fewer goals, but only 1 of AC Milan's 3 home league games did.
AC Milan won by 2 or more in 2 of their 3 home league games, but only 4 of 10 meetings did.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards AC Milan to win this match. Their perfect home record in the league, with three victories and a strong goal-scoring record, gives them the edge. Bologna’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in the latter stages, further support this. I feel comfortably confident in this choice.
A change of mind would come if Bologna manage to disrupt Milan’s possession game, as their resilience away from home has shown potential. The midfield battle is crucial, and if Bologna can control it, the outcome may shift. Keep an eye on this through the BC.Game sports betting app for live updates.
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Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction
The data points to an AC Milan victory over Bologna, with fewer than three goals expected and a clean sheet for the home side. The table below outlines the selections and the prices available at the time of writing.
Our Prediction: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AC Milan Win | 1.60 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.99 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.92 |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | 7.34 |
Predicted score: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna, available at 7.34. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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AC Milan vs Bologna FAQ
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
The data points to AC Milan. They’re priced at 1.60 to win at home in the league. That reflects their strong home form, with 3 wins in 3 matches. I’d back them at that price.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Bologna?
2-0 to AC Milan is the predicted score. It fits their home defensive record, with 2 clean sheets in the league. Bologna’s struggles away suggest they might not score.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Bologna’s resilience away is a risk. They’ve secured a 2-1 win at Lecce in the league. If they disrupt Milan’s possession game, it could change the match’s outcome.
What time does AC Milan vs Bologna start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 GMT. It’s a midweek match, so make sure you don’t miss it. Both teams are at full strength, promising an engaging contest.
