Paris Saint Germain face Lyon in the Ligue 1, Round 8, on 25 October 2026. Kick-off is at 19:45 GMT at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain are 2nd in the league with 14 points from 7 matches. Lyon are 1st in the league, also with 14 points from 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Team News
Paris Saint Germain have no absences to report ahead of their upcoming match.
Lyon have no absences to report ahead of their upcoming match.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Match Preview
As Paris Saint Germain host Lyon at the Parc des Princes, both teams are locked at the top of the Ligue 1 table with 14 points each. PSG sit in 2nd place, trailing Lyon only on goal difference. A win for either side could establish a crucial lead in the race for the top spot.
Luis Enrique’s PSG are likely to dominate possession with their 4-3-3 formation, especially at home where they tend to outscore opponents. Paulo Fonseca’s Lyon, utilising a 4-2-3-1 setup, may sit deeper and look to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. The battle in midfield will be pivotal in determining which team can impose their style.
This match will settle whether PSG can leverage their home advantage to overtake Lyon or if Lyon can maintain their lead at the top. Football betting tips suggest closely watching the tactical adjustments by both managers. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.
Paris Saint Germain Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona | 2026-10-20 | UEFA Champions League | 4-2 | W |
| Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain | 2026-10-17 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 | W |
| Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain | 2026-10-14 | UEFA Champions League | 2-4 | W |
| Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans | 2026-10-10 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain | 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 | W |
Paris Saint Germain have won all 5 of their last matches across all competitions, scoring 16 goals and conceding 7. At home in the league, they have played 2 matches, winning 1 and losing 1, scoring 4 and conceding 3. They have won each of their last 5 matches, the latest a 4-2 win at home to Barcelona on 20 October.
Lyon Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon vs Nice | 2026-10-18 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Lyon vs Crystal Palace | 2026-10-15 | UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| Lens vs Lyon | 2026-10-09 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 | L |
| Lyon vs Rennes | 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | 4-0 | W |
| Anderlecht vs Lyon | 2026-09-16 | UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | W |
Lyon have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 12 goals and conceding 6. In the league, their away record shows 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2. They have won each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 2-1 win at home to Nice on 18 October.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon | 2026-04-19 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 | Lyon |
| Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain | 2025-11-09 | Ligue 1 | 2-3 | Paris Saint Germain |
| Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain | 2025-02-23 | Ligue 1 | 2-3 | Paris Saint Germain |
| Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon | 2024-12-15 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain | 2024-05-25 | Coupe de France | 1-2 | Paris Saint Germain |
Across their last 10 meetings, Paris Saint Germain have claimed 7 wins, while Lyon have secured 2 victories and 1 match ended in a draw. Goals are a common feature, with both teams scoring in 8 of these encounters. On 9 November 2025, Paris Saint Germain triumphed 3-2 away, highlighting their attacking prowess. The data points to an average of 3.4 goals per game in this fixture.
Predicted Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Predicted Lineup
Safonov; Hernández, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Fabián Ruiz, Vitinha, João Neves; Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Doué.
Paris Saint Germain have used 4-3-3 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Lyon Predicted Lineup
Descamps; Abner Vinicius, Niakhate, Mata, Athekame; Bidstrup, Tessmann; Duranville, Nartey, Boudache; Sulc.
Lyon have used 4-2-3-1 in 4 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Match Analysis
Paris Saint Germain have scored 16 goals from an xG of 3.37 per match in their last five matches across all competitions. This indicates they are finishing better than expected. They conceded 7 goals against an xG of 1.92 per match. This clinical finishing points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Paris Saint Germain score frequently late in matches, with 6 goals between the 76th and 90th minute. Lyon also have a strong finish, netting 4 in the same window. Both teams concede fewer goals in this period, supporting both teams to score as a market.
Paris Saint Germain average 21.6 shots per match in their last five across all competitions, with 9.8 on target, and maintain 60% possession. This suggests they can break down a deep block effectively. Lyon’s 47.4% possession indicates they might struggle to control the game. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
Lyon have shown resilience by conceding only 6 goals in their last five matches across all competitions, which could limit Paris Saint Germain’s scoring opportunities.
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain’s finishing ability could be decisive against Lyon.
- Paris Saint Germain have no absences to report.
- Paris Saint Germain scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- Lyon have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- Paris Saint Germain have claimed 7 wins in their last 10 meetings with Lyon.
- Paris Saint Germain average 21.6 shots per match in their last five across all competitions.
Free Tips
Lyon won, drew or lost by no more than 1 in 5 of their last 5 matches, supporting the +1.5 Asian handicap.
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings, but only 1 of Lyon's 3 away league games saw both score.
Lyon won or drew 4 of their last 5 matches, and 3 of the last 10 meetings had them avoid defeat.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards Lyon getting a result here, possibly a draw or even a win. The deciding factor is Paris Saint Germain’s vulnerability in defence, highlighted by their goals conceded against a lower expected tally. I would back this with reservations as Lyon’s resilience could limit PSG’s scoring opportunities.
If Paris Saint Germain manage to dominate possession and convert their high shot count into goals, my view might change. The area of least certainty is Lyon’s ability to hold off PSG’s late scoring threat. The BC.Game sports betting app could be useful for live updates on this.
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Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction
The data points to a tightly contested match between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon, with a draw being the likely outcome. Expect a low-scoring affair with both teams finding the net. Refer to the table below for the selections and the prices available at the time of writing.
Our Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Lyon
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Draw | 5.00 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 3.00 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.50 |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | 10.19 |
Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Lyon, available at 10.19. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon FAQ
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
It’s tough to call. Both teams have 14 points in the league. Lyon +1.5 on the Asian handicap at 1.72 might be the safer play. PSG’s home advantage is notable, but Lyon’s form is strong.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
It’s 1-1. This prediction comes from both teams scoring in 8 of their last 10 meetings. The data points to a balanced match without clear dominance.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Lyon’s defensive strength is a risk. They’ve been solid, which might limit PSG’s scoring chances. This could affect the 1-1 prediction, making it less reliable.
Does the venue matter in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Yes, it matters. PSG have won 7 of their last 10 meetings with Lyon, including at home. Parc des Princes might offer them an edge, but Lyon’s current form keeps it balanced.
