Bayern München face Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League, matchday 3 of the league phase, on 21 October 2026. Kick-off is at 20:00 BST (19:00 UTC) at Allianz Arena. Bayern München are in 10th position in the Champions League with 4 points from 2 matches. Arsenal have secured 7th place, accumulating 6 points over 2 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
Bayern München vs Arsenal Team News
Bayern München face several absences. Buchmann is out due to a knee injury. Musiala, a midfielder, is sidelined with a muscle injury. Olise, also a midfielder, serves a suspension following a red card. These absences leave Bayern München short in midfield, missing key players who contribute to their creative play.
Arsenal have defensive concerns with Hincapie out due to an ankle injury and Saliba, a centre back, sidelined with a back injury. Tzolis, an attacker, is unavailable with a hamstring injury. These absences impact Arsenal’s defensive solidity and attacking options, with key players missing from both ends of the pitch.
Bayern München vs Arsenal Match Preview
Bayern München find themselves in 10th position, needing a win to leapfrog Real Betis, who sit 2 points above them in 9th. Arsenal, in 7th, are level on points with leaders Paris Saint Germain but trail on goal difference. A victory could propel them to the top, depending on other results.
Both teams favour a 4-2-3-1 formation, suggesting a tactical battle in midfield. Bayern, strong at home in the Champions League, will look to dominate possession. Arsenal, who excel away, might sit deeper and rely on counter-attacks. Managers Vincent Kompany and Mikel Arteta will need to organise their sides effectively.
The match will settle whether Bayern’s home advantage can withstand Arsenal’s away prowess. Fans will debate if possession or counter-attacking will prevail. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round, providing insights into this and other intriguing fixtures.
Bayern München Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München vs RB Leipzig | 2026-10-17 | Bundesliga | 6-1 | W |
| Viking vs Bayern München | 2026-10-13 | UEFA Champions League | 3-3 | D |
| FC Augsburg vs Bayern München | 2026-10-10 | Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Bayern München vs Union Berlin | 2026-09-18 | Bundesliga | 7-0 | W |
| SV Elversberg vs Bayern München | 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | 1-2 | W |
Bayern München have been strong across all competitions, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 20 goals and conceding 7. At home in the Champions League, they have played 1 match, winning it without conceding. Their recent form includes 2 straight draws before the 6-1 win at home to RB Leipzig on 17 October.
Arsenal Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 2026-10-18 | Premier League | 0-1 | W |
| Arsenal vs Lille | 2026-10-13 | UEFA Champions League | 3-0 | W |
| Arsenal vs Leeds | 2026-10-10 | Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Brighton vs Arsenal | 2026-09-19 | Premier League | 3-0 | L |
| Ipswich vs Arsenal | 2026-09-15 | League Cup | 2-4 | W |
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 10 goals and conceding 6. In the Champions League, they have played once away, winning 1-0 and keeping a clean sheet. They have won each of their last 3 matches, the latest a 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest on 18 October.
Bayern München vs Arsenal Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Bayern München | 2025-11-26 | UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | Arsenal |
| Bayern Munich vs Arsenal | 2024-04-17 | UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | Bayern Munich |
| Arsenal vs Bayern Munich | 2024-04-09 | UEFA Champions League | 2-2 | Draw |
| Arsenal vs Bayern Munich | 2019-07-18 | International Champions Cup | 2-1 | Arsenal |
| Bayern Munich vs Arsenal | 2017-07-19 | International Champions Cup | 1-1 | Draw |
In the Champions League meetings between Bayern München and Arsenal, Bayern have secured 4 wins, Arsenal have 3, and there have been 3 draws. Goals have flowed freely, with an average of 3.6 per match and both teams scoring in 8 of 10 encounters. Arsenal’s 3-1 victory at home on 26 November 2025 highlights their ability to compete. The data points to a high-scoring pattern.
Predicted Lineups
Bayern München Predicted Lineup
Urbig; Brown, Kim Min-Jae, Upamecano, Laimer; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Diaz, Saibari, Bischof; Kane.
Bayern München have used 4-2-3-1 in 2 of their 2 UEFA Champions League matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match. With Olise unavailable, Bischof comes in.
Arsenal Predicted Lineup
Raya; Calafiori, Gabriel, Konsa, White; Bruno Guimaraes, Rice; Eze, Odegaard, Saka; Havertz.
Arsenal have used 4-2-3-1 in 2 of their 2 UEFA Champions League matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Bayern München vs Arsenal Match Analysis
Bayern München’s performance in their last 5 matches across all competitions shows an impressive goalscoring efficiency. They have scored 20 goals with an xG_for_avg of 3.68 over 5 matches, indicating they are converting their chances effectively. This points to the goals markets being favourable for Bayern München.
Examining goal timing in the Champions League, Bayern München have been prolific between the 46th and 60th minute, scoring 3 goals. Arsenal, however, have scored 4 goals between the 61st and 75th minute, while conceding none across all windows. This suggests a potential for both teams to score in the latter stages of the match.
In their last 5 matches across all competitions, Bayern München average 27 shots per game with 67.4% possession, compared to Arsenal’s 12.2 shots and 61.6% possession. Bayern München’s ability to maintain high shot volume and possession suggests they can break down deep blocks, impacting the goals markets rather than the result.
Arsenal’s xG_against_avg of 0.79 in their last 4 matches across all competitions indicates a strong defensive performance, which could limit Bayern München’s scoring opportunities.
Key Factors
Midfield absences could shape the outcome of this encounter.
- Musiala’s absence leaves Bayern München short of creative playmakers.
- Bayern München scored 20 goals in their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- There have been 8 matches with both teams scoring in their 10 encounters.
- Bayern München average 27 shots per game in their last 5 matches across all competitions.
Free Tips
Bayern München's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals across all competitions, and the one miss came in the Premier League.
Arsenal won or drew 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, but the one miss came in the Premier League.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards Arsenal or a draw, with reservations. Arsenal’s recent form and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent, even away from home. Bayern München’s midfield absences, particularly Musiala’s, tip the scales slightly in Arsenal’s favour. The double chance market offers a reasonable balance of risk and reward.
If Bayern München’s home form in the Champions League holds strong, and they manage to break down Arsenal’s defence early, my view could shift. The midfield battle is crucial. Using the BC.Game sports betting app, I would keep an eye on line-ups and in-play dynamics to reassess as the match unfolds.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Bayern München vs Arsenal Prediction
The data points to a potential Arsenal victory with goals from both sides, suggesting an exciting match ahead. The predicted scoreline indicates Arsenal’s edge over Bayern München. Check the table below for the selections and the prices available at the time of writing.
Our Prediction: Bayern München 1-2 Arsenal
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Arsenal Win | 3.35 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.58 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.51 |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | 10.71 |
Predicted score: Bayern München 1-2 Arsenal, available at 10.71. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Bayern München vs Arsenal FAQ
Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
The data suggests Arsenal have a slight edge, but it’s not definitive. Bayern München’s home form is strong, winning their only match at home in the Champions League. Arsenal’s recent form keeps it close.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Arsenal?
The predicted score is 1-2 to Arsenal. This accounts for Bayern München’s midfield absences and Arsenal’s strong away form. Despite Bayern’s home strength, Arsenal’s recent performances suggest they can edge it.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Bayern München’s home strength is a risk. They’ve won their only home match in the Champions League without conceding. Arsenal’s defensive absences could be vulnerable against Bayern’s attacking prowess.
What has changed since Bayern München and Arsenal last met?
Arsenal have improved, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Bayern München face midfield absences, affecting their creativity. These shifts favour Arsenal slightly in this encounter.
