The prediction for the Uruguay vs. Venezuela match is one of the most eagerly awaited analyzes for the South American World Championship Qualifiers. Both teams are fighting for important points to make sure they qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Uruguay is having trouble getting into a groove, while Venezuela is displaying strength, so this match should be a tactical battle.
The game is set for June 10, 2025, at 23:00 GMT+0. It will be held in the famous Estadio Centenario in Montevideo, which can hold 60,235 people. Brazilian referee Claus R. will be in charge of a key part of the qualifications, where Uruguay is in fifth place, tied on points with Colombia, and Venezuela is in the inter-confederation play-off berth, three points behind.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
The Uruguay vs Venezuela prediction today hinges on recent form, head-to-head records, and key player performances. Both teams have shown contrasting trajectories, with Uruguay struggling offensively and Venezuela gaining momentum from recent wins. Historical matchups provide critical context for what to expect. This section sets the stage for a deeper dive into their latest results and encounters. Stay tuned for actionable Uruguay vs Venezuela betting tips based on these insights.
Uruguay Results
Uruguay, under Marcelo Bielsa, have been inconsistent, managing only one win in their last ten games. Their lack of goals in 2025 is a glaring issue, raising questions about their attacking cohesion. The following table summarizes their recent performances.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 06/06/25 | WC | Paraguay vs Uruguay | 2-0 | L |
| 25/03/25 | WC | Bolivia vs Uruguay | 0-0 | D |
| 22/03/25 | WC | Uruguay vs Argentina | 0-1 | L |
| 20/11/24 | WC | Brazil vs Uruguay | 1-1 | D |
| 16/11/24 | WC | Uruguay vs Colombia | 3-2 | W |
Uruguay’s sole victory came against Colombia, highlighting their potential when firing on all cylinders. However, their inability to score in three straight 2025 matches points to a lack of sharpness in the final third. Defensively, they’ve been vulnerable, conceding in three of their last five games. The draw against Bolivia shows resilience, but their loss to Paraguay exposed weaknesses on the road. Home advantage at Estadio Centenario could be pivotal for a turnaround.
Venezuela Results
Venezuela, led by Fernando Batista, have gained confidence with consecutive home wins. Their away form, however, remains a concern, with five straight defeats since September 2024. Below is a summary of their recent matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 07/06/25 | WC | Venezuela vs Bolivia | 2-0 | W |
| 26/03/25 | WC | Venezuela vs Peru | 1-0 | W |
| 21/03/25 | WC | Ecuador vs Venezuela | 2-1 | L |
| 18/01/25 | FI | USA vs Venezuela | 3-1 | L |
| 20/11/24 | WC | Chile vs Venezuela | 4-2 | L |
Venezuela’s back-to-back wins against Bolivia and Peru have bolstered their play-off hopes. Their attacking output, led by Salomón Rondón, has been consistent, with goals in four of their last five games. However, their away struggles are evident, with heavy defeats against Chile and the USA. Defensive frailties, conceding nine goals in their last three away matches, could be exploited by Uruguay. Still, their recent form suggests they can compete if they tighten up at the back.
Head-to-Head: Uruguay vs Venezuela (Last 5 Matches)
Uruguay and Venezuela have a competitive history, with recent encounters often ending in draws. Uruguay’s dominance at home is notable, but Venezuela have held their own in recent years. The table below details their last five meetings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 11/09/24 | WC | Venezuela vs Uruguay | 0-0 |
| 02/02/22 | WC | Uruguay vs Venezuela | 4-1 |
| 09/06/21 | WC | Venezuela vs Uruguay | 0-0 |
| 06/10/17 | WC | Venezuela vs Uruguay | 0-0 |
| 07/10/16 | WC | Uruguay vs Venezuela | 3-0 |
Uruguay have lost just once in their last 13 meetings with Venezuela, a testament to their historical edge. However, three of the last four games ended in goalless draws, indicating Venezuela’s growing defensive resilience. Uruguay’s 4-1 thrashing in 2022 at home remains their standout result, but Venezuela’s recent ability to frustrate La Celeste cannot be ignored.
Uruguay Possible Starting Lineup
Marcelo Bielsa is expected to field a strong side to break Uruguay’s goal drought:
Mele (GK), Varela (DF), R. Araujo (DF), Gimenez (DF), Piquerez (DF), Bentancur (MF), Ugarte (MF), De Arrascaeta (MF), Pellistri (MF), Aguirre (MF), M. Araujo (FW).
Venezuela Possible Starting Lineup
Fernando Batista will likely rely on Salomón Rondón’s scoring prowess in a compact setup:
Romo (GK), Aramburu (DF), Ferraresi (DF), Angel (DF), Navarro (DF), Bello (MF), J.A. Martinez (MF), Savarino (MF), Segovia (MF), J. Martinez (FW), Rondon (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams face unique challenges and opportunities heading into this crucial qualifier. Understanding the dynamics of form, injuries, and tactical setups is essential for the Uruguay vs Venezuela prediction 2025. Below are the critical elements that could shape the outcome.
- Uruguay’s goal drought: La Celeste have failed to score in all three 2025 matches, a worrying trend for a side desperate for points;
- Venezuela’s away struggles: Five consecutive away losses highlight defensive vulnerabilities that Uruguay could exploit;
- Facundo Pellistri’s influence: The Uruguayan winger has been a key creator, assisting in their last win and the 4-1 H2H rout in 2022;
- Salomón Rondón’s scoring form: Venezuela’s talisman has netted in both of their recent wins, making him a constant threat;
- Home advantage for Uruguay: Estadio Centenario’s passionate crowd could lift Bielsa’s side, who have a strong home record against Venezuela;
- Venezuela’s defensive resilience in H2Hs: Three goalless draws since 2017 show their ability to frustrate Uruguay;
- Injury concerns: Uruguay’s squad is reportedly at full strength, but Venezuela may miss key defender Yordan Osorio, weakening their backline;
- Motivation levels: Uruguay’s need for automatic qualification and Venezuela’s dream of a first World Cup appearance add intensity to the clash.
Free Tips on Uruguay vs Venezuela
The Uruguay vs Venezuela match offers bettors a chance to capitalize on statistical trends and team dynamics. This section provides carefully selected tips based on the teams’ recent performances and historical meetings. These insights aim to guide your betting decisions for this high-stakes qualifier.
- Focus on low-scoring trends: Three of the last four head-to-head matches ended 0-0, and Uruguay’s 2025 goal drought suggests a tight, low-scoring game.
- Consider Uruguay’s home dominance: Uruguay have lost only once in their last 13 home games against Venezuela, making them favorites at Estadio Centenario.
- Monitor referee tendencies: Claus R.’s average of 4.2 yellow cards per match could lead to a high card count, especially in a tense qualifier.
- Account for Venezuela’s fatigue: Venezuela’s congested schedule, with three matches in 12 days, may impact their energy levels on the road.
- Evaluate pitch conditions: Estadio Centenario’s natural grass pitch, if affected by rain, could slow play, favoring Uruguay’s physical style.
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Uruguay vs Venezuela Match Prediction 2025
The Uruguay vs Venezuela match prediction leans toward a narrow home victory, driven by Uruguay’s historical dominance and home advantage. Despite their alarming goal drought, Marcelo Bielsa’s side have the quality to break through, especially against a Venezuela team that has conceded heavily on the road. Facundo Pellistri’s creativity could unlock Venezuela’s defense, while Uruguay’s backline, though not flawless, should handle Salomón Rondón’s threat if they stay organized. Venezuela’s recent win show their potential, but their away form five straight losses suggests they’ll struggle to match Uruguay’s intensity in Montevideo. The Uruguay vs Venezuela odds reflect this, with bookmakers favoring La Celeste but acknowledging the possibility of a low-scoring affair given the teams’ recent H2H draws. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline feels realistic, as Uruguay’s desperation for points should see them edge out a determined but defensively shaky Venezuela. While Venezuela’s counterattacks could cause problems, their inability to keep clean sheets away from home tips the balance in Uruguay’s favor.
Our Prediction: Uruguay 1-0 Venezuela
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Uruguay to Win | 1.45 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.45 |
Place your bets with confidence, as this match offers intriguing opportunities for savvy punters. The stake on the match – Uruguay vs Venezuela you can make on bc.game, a platform known for its competitive odds and seamless betting experience.
