Union Berlin face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, Round 6, on 17 October 2026. Kick-off is at 14:30 BST (13:30 UTC) at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Union Berlin are 16th in the league with 4 points from 5 matches. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the league with 13 points from 5 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Team News
Union Berlin have several players unavailable. Ilic, an attacker, is out due to illness. Markgraf, a defender, is sidelined with a knee injury. Juranovic is doubtful with an Achilles tendon injury, while Latte Lath is doubtful due to inactivity. Nsoki, another defender, faces doubts with a muscle injury. These absences leave the defence and attack potentially short.
Borussia Dortmund have three players out. Can is missing with a knee injury. Konstantelias, a midfielder, is also out with a knee injury. Lerma, another midfielder, is sidelined due to a muscle injury. The absence of two midfielders could impact their central options in the league.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Match Preview
Union Berlin are positioned 16th in the league with 4 points, level with SC Paderborn 07 above them. They are just 1 point ahead of 1899 Hoffenheim, who sit in 17th. Borussia Dortmund are in 2nd place, tied with leaders SC Freiburg on 13 points, aiming to take the top spot.
Union Berlin, managed by Mauro Lustrinelli, might adopt a cautious approach using their 4-2-3-1 formation. Borussia Dortmund, under N. Kovač, are likely to dominate possession with their 3-4-2-1 setup, leveraging their strong away form. The midfield will be the battleground where this match is decided.
This match will determine if Union Berlin can escape the relegation zone or if Borussia Dortmund can leapfrog SC Freiburg to the top. For those interested in more insights, our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.
Union Berlin Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg | 2026-10-10 | Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| HNK Rijeka vs Union Berlin | 2026-09-26 | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 | W |
| Bayern München vs Union Berlin | 2026-09-18 | Bundesliga | 7-0 | L |
| Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 | 2026-09-11 | Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin | 2026-09-05 | Bundesliga | 4-0 | L |
Union Berlin have won 2 and lost 3 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 3 and conceding 14. At home in the league, they have played 3 matches, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. They have won each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 1-0 win at home to SV Elversberg on 10 October.
Borussia Dortmund Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund | 2026-10-14 | UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | L |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen | 2026-10-09 | Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund | 2026-09-19 | Bundesliga | 0-1 | W |
| Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 | 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal | 2026-09-08 | UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
Borussia Dortmund have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 across all competitions in their last five matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. In the league, their away record shows 2 wins from 2, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. Their most recent result, a defeat at Bodo/Glimt on 14 October, is the only blemish in this run.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2026-01-24 | Bundesliga | 0-3 | Borussia Dortmund |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin | 2025-08-31 | Bundesliga | 3-0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin | 2025-02-22 | Bundesliga | 6-0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2024-10-05 | Bundesliga | 2-1 | Union Berlin |
| Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2024-03-02 | Bundesliga | 0-2 | Borussia Dortmund |
In their 10 league meetings, Borussia Dortmund have claimed victory 8 times, while Union Berlin have won twice. Goals have flowed freely, with a total of 37 scored. Notably, on 24 January 2026, Dortmund triumphed 3-0 at Union Berlin, showcasing their dominance. The data points to a high-scoring fixture, with an average of 3.7 goals per match.
Predicted Lineups
Union Berlin Predicted Lineup
Ronnow; Rothe, Uduokhai, Van Den Bosch, Haberer; Khedira, Schafer; Imeri, Jeong Woo-Yeong, Aebischer; Skarke.
Union Berlin have used 4-2-3-1 in 2 of their 5 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup
Kobel; Bensebaïni, Anton, Kouakou Joane Gadou; Beier, Veerman, Bellingham, Svensson; Inacio, Karetsas; Fábio Silva.
Borussia Dortmund have used 3-4-2-1 in 4 of their 5 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Match Analysis
Union Berlin’s xG_for_avg in their last 5 matches is 0.95, yet they have only scored 2 goals. This suggests a struggle to convert chances, highlighting inefficiency in front of goal. Conversely, their xG_against_avg is 2.4, with 14 goals conceded, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.
Union Berlin have shown a tendency to concede early, with 3 goals allowed in the first 15 minutes in the league. They also struggle between the 61st and 75th minute, conceding 4 goals. Borussia Dortmund, however, score frequently in the last quarter-hour, with 4 goals. This timing pattern suggests potential for both teams to score.
Borussia Dortmund’s shot volume in their last 5 matches, averaging 15 shots per game, indicates a potent attack. Their possession average of 55% suggests they can dominate play and create chances. Union Berlin’s 44.2% possession in the same period may lead them to sit deep, inviting pressure. This supports the goals markets.
Union Berlin’s defensive discipline, with no red cards in the league, could mitigate Borussia Dortmund’s attacking threat and influence the outcome.
Key Factors
The match turns on Union Berlin’s defensive vulnerabilities against Dortmund’s potent attack.
- Ilic’s absence due to illness impacts Union Berlin’s attacking options.
- Union Berlin have conceded 6 goals at home in the league.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored 4 goals in the league away from home.
- Borussia Dortmund have won 8 of 10 league meetings with Union Berlin.
- Union Berlin’s xG_against_avg is 2.4, with 14 goals conceded in their last five.
Free Tips
Borussia Dortmund won 8 of the last 10 meetings, and the latest miss came in the UEFA Champions League.
3 of Union Berlin's last 5 matches had 4 or more goals, but only 3 of 10 meetings did.
At least one side failed to score in 6 of the last 10 meetings, and only 1 of Union Berlin's 3 home league games saw both score.
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Our Verdict
I lean towards Borussia Dortmund to win this match. Their strong record against Union Berlin is decisive. Despite some midfield absences, their away form remains impressive. I see them winning comfortably. The odds reflect their superiority, but also make the favourite a less attractive betting option.
Union Berlin’s ability to convert their chances could change the outcome. If they improve their efficiency in front of goal, it may alter the dynamics. I’m least sure about Dortmund’s ability to maintain their defensive solidity. For more insights, the BC.Game sports betting app provides detailed analysis and updates.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
The data points to a dominant performance by Borussia Dortmund, suggesting they will secure a victory against Union Berlin. The table below outlines the selections and the prices available at the time of writing. Explore the options and consider the insights provided for your betting decisions.
Our Prediction: Union Berlin 0-4 Borussia Dortmund
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Borussia Dortmund Win | 1.56 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 2.38 |
| Correct Score | 0-4 | 21.11 |
Predicted score: Union Berlin 0-4 Borussia Dortmund, available at 21.11. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund are favoured to win. They’ve won 8 of their last 10 meetings. That shows dominance, but at 1.56, it’s not the most attractive price. You might explore other markets.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
The predicted score is 0-4 to Borussia Dortmund. It fits the tips: Dortmund to win, over 3.5 goals, both teams not to score. It highlights Dortmund’s attacking strength against Union’s defensive issues.
Which market offers the best value in Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Over 3.5 goals offers value at 2.20. Union Berlin’s recent matches hit this in 3 of 5 games. If you’re expecting goals, this market might suit you better than the win price.
What has changed since Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund last met?
Union Berlin have improved slightly, winning their last 2 matches. Dortmund, despite a recent defeat, remain strong. Both teams face injuries, especially in Dortmund’s midfield. Keep an eye on these changes.
