The clash between Santos and Atletico-MG is set to be a competitive battle in Brazil’s Serie A, with both sides hungry for points. Bettors can find value by diving into the teams’ form, key stats, and historical matchups.
The match starts at 00:30 GMT+0 on 17 April 2025 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in Santos, which holds 16,068 fans. Referee Machado B. will oversee this Serie A encounter, part of the early 2025 season where every result matters for the standings.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section prepares you for the Santos vs Atletico-MG prediction today. Recent results highlight Santos’ struggles and Atletico’s inconsistency. Head-to-head records show Atletico’s edge, but home advantage could shift the balance. Key players like Guilherme for Santos and Hulk for Atletico-MG will be pivotal. Understanding these factors sharpens your betting strategy.
Santos Results
Santos have faced challenges in their recent Serie A campaign, sitting 18th with one point from three games. Their attacking output has been limited, averaging just one goal per match. Defensive frailties have also been evident, conceding 1.7 goals on average.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 14/04/25 | Serie A | Fluminense vs Santos | 1-0 | L |
| 07/04/25 | Serie A | Santos vs Bahia | 2-2 | D |
| 31/03/25 | Serie A | Vasco vs Santos | 2-1 | L |
| 16/03/25 | CF | Coritiba vs Santos | 1-4 | W |
| 09/03/25 | PAU | Corinthians vs Santos | 2-1 | L |
Santos’ form shows two losses and one draw in their last three league games, exposing defensive issues. Their lone win came in a regional cup, boosting morale slightly. Guilherme and Tiquinho Soares are key attacking threats, but consistency is lacking. The 2-2 draw against Bahia suggests potential at home. However, only three shots on target per game limit their scoring chances.
Atletico-MG Results
Atletico-MG, positioned 16th with two points, have struggled for wins but remain hard to beat. Their recent games show a mix of draws and losses, with a low goal output of 0.8 per match. Hulk and Paulinho remain focal points in attack, but defensive lapses need addressing.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 14/04/25 | Serie A | Atletico-MG vs Vitoria | 2-2 | D |
| 11/04/25 | COP | Atletico-MG vs Deportes Iquique | 4-0 | W |
| 06/04/25 | Serie A | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | 0-0 | D |
| 02/04/25 | COP | Cienciano vs Atletico-MG | 0-0 | D |
| 29/03/25 | Serie A | Gremio vs Atletico-MG | 2-1 | L |
Atletico-MG’s results reflect resilience, with three draws in their last five games. Their 4-0 cup win shows attacking potential, but league struggles highlight inconsistency. Scoring just 0.8 goals per game is a concern, despite Hulk’s presence. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals on average, often from set pieces. The 2-2 draw against Vitoria exposed their inability to hold leads.
Santos vs Atletico-MG Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between Santos and Atletico-MG has been dominated by the latter in recent years. Atletico are unbeaten in their last five meetings, securing three wins and two draws. Santos will look to leverage home advantage to break this streak.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 27/08/23 | Serie A | Atletico-MG vs Santos | 2-0 |
| 23/04/23 | Serie A | Santos vs Atletico-MG | 0-0 |
| 06/10/22 | Serie A | Santos vs Atletico-MG | 1-2 |
| 12/06/22 | Serie A | Atletico-MG vs Santos | 1-1 |
| 14/10/21 | Serie A | Atletico-MG vs Santos | 3-1 |
Atletico-MG’s dominance is clear, with five straight games without a loss against Santos. Their 2-0 win in 2023 showcased defensive solidity and clinical finishing. Santos’ only draw at home in 2023 suggests they can compete but struggle to convert chances. The 1-2 loss in 2022 highlighted defensive errors that Santos must address. This history favors Atletico, but Santos’ home form could challenge the trend.
Predicted Lineups for Santos vs Atletico-MG Football Match
This section provides the expected starting lineups for the Santos vs Atletico-MG match on 17 April 2025, based on recent team news and tactical setups. Knowing the likely formations and key players helps bettors anticipate how the game might unfold. Below are the predicted lineups for both teams, reflecting their typical strategies and available squads.
Santos Predicted Lineup
Santos are expected to have a balancing defensive solidity with attacking intent at home.
- Gabriel Brazão (GK), Leonardo Godoy (DF), Gil (DF), Zé Ivaldo (DF), Gonzalo Escobar (DF), Joao Schmidt (MF), Gabriel Bontempo (MF), Alvaro Barreal (MF), Neymar Jr (MF), Guilherme Augusto (MF), Tiquinho Soares (FW).
Atletico-MG Predicted Lineup
Atletico-MG are likely relying on Hulk and Rony to lead the attack.
- Everson (GK), Natanael (DF), Lyanco (DF), Júnior Alonso (DF), Caio Paulista (DF), Gustavo Scarpa (MF), Fausto Vera (MF), Rubens (MF), Tomás Cuello (MF), Hulk (FW), Rony (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
This section outlines the players unavailable for the Santos vs Atletico-MG match due to injuries or suspensions, which could impact team performance. The absence of key players often shifts tactical approaches and betting considerations. The table below details the status of affected players for both teams.
| Team | Player | Injury/Suspension Info |
| Santos | None | No players reported injured or suspended |
| Atletico-MG | Lyanco | Suspended (2nd yellow card, red) |
| Atletico-MG | Cadu | Knee injury |
Note: Lyanco’s suspension forces Atletico-MG to adjust their defense, potentially weakening their backline, while Santos’ full squad availability boosts their home advantage.
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements will shape the Santos vs Atletico-MG match prediction. Both teams’ recent performances, player availability, and tactical setups are critical. Bettors should focus on the following to inform their wagers.
- Santos’ home form: Their 2-2 draw against Bahia shows resilience at Estadio Urbano Caldeira;
- Atletico’s away struggles: They’ve failed to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap in six of their last ten away games;
- Guilherme’s scoring threat: Santos’ forward has one goal and is priced at 4.00 to score anytime;
- Hulk’s influence: Atletico’s star averages 0.5 shots on target per game, crucial for their attack;
- Defensive vulnerabilities: Santos concede 1.7 goals per game, Atletico 1.2, suggesting potential for goals;
- Tiquinho Soares’ assists: His creativity (one assist in three games) boosts Santos’ attack;
- No major injuries: Both teams have near-full squads, ensuring competitive lineups;
- Referee impact: Machado B. averages 4.5 cards per game, hinting at a physical battle.
Free Tips on Santos vs Atletico-MG
This section offers practical betting advice for the Santos vs Atletico-MG match, focusing on critical statistical and contextual factors. By studying team and player data, past encounters, and external influences, bettors can make informed decisions. These tips, rooted in the provided statistics and match dynamics, aim to highlight value opportunities.
- Recent Team Form: Santos have struggled, earning just one point from three Serie A games, while Atletico-MG’s two points and three draws show resilience but no cutting edge; assess their confidence levels for this clash.
- Head-to-Head Trends: Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Santos, winning three; this historical edge suggests they could avoid defeat again.
- Home vs. Away Dynamics: Santos average one goal at home but showed fight in a 2-2 draw against Bahia; Atletico’s away form is patchy, with no wins in their last three road games, making Santos a slight favorite.
- Player Form: Guilherme’s goal-scoring threat for Santos (one goal in three games) contrasts with Atletico’s reliance on Hulk, who averages 0.5 shots on target; back players in form for goal-related bets.
- Pitch and Weather Conditions: Estadio Urbano Caldeira’s natural grass could slow play if rain hits, favoring Santos’ compact style over Atletico’s possession-based approach; check weather forecasts closer to match day.
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Santos vs Atletico-MG Match Prediction 2025
The Santos vs Atletico-MG prediction 2025 leans toward a low-scoring, competitive match. Santos’ home advantage at Estadio Urbano Caldeira gives them a slight edge, as their 2-2 draw against Bahia showed fight. Atletico-MG’s away form is shaky, failing to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap in six of ten road games. Their 0.8 goals per game average reflects struggles in attack, despite Hulk’s threat. Santos, with Guilherme and Tiquinho Soares, average one goal but face defensive issues, conceding 1.7 goals per match. Atletico’s historical edge (unbeaten in five head-to-heads) suggests they won’t roll over, but their 2-2 draw against Vitoria exposed vulnerabilities. The Santos vs Atletico-MG odds reflect a tight contest, with Santos at 2.35 and Atletico at 3.00. Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 is appealing, given both teams’ low scoring rates. A 1-0 Santos win feels likely, capitalizing on home support and Atletico’s road woes. Their defensive solidity at home, paired with Atletico’s blunt attack, supports this outcome.
Our Prediction: Santos 1-0 Atletico-MG
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Winner | Santos wins | 2.44 |
| Total Goals | Under 1.5 | 2.62 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.74 |
Place your bet confidently, as the data backs a narrow Santos victory. The stake on the match – Santos vs Atletico-MG you can make on bc.game, where competitive odds and markets await.
