AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – Serie A Round 9 27/10/2026

Serie A
Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari
Tue, 27 October 2026 – 19:45
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1.34
Home
4.80
Draw
8.80
Away

AS Roma face Cagliari in the Serie A, Round 9 on 27 October 2026. The match kicks off at 19:45 GMT at Stadio Olimpico. Roma are 3rd in the league with 17 points from 7 matches. Cagliari are 7th with 13 points from 7 matches. Our predictions for the round start here.

AS Roma vs Cagliari Team News

M. Bah, a midfielder, is out with Jumpers Knee. This absence leaves AS Roma short in the midfield position.

Riyad Idrissi is out with Jumpers Knee. Cagliari are missing a player, but no specific position is affected.

AS Roma vs Cagliari Match Preview

AS Roma, sitting 3rd in the league with 17 points, aim to close the 2-point gap to Lazio in 2nd. A win could see them leapfrog their city rivals, depending on other results. Cagliari, in 7th with 13 points, look to surpass Frosinone, who are level on points but ahead on other metrics.

Under G. Gasperini, Roma’s 3-4-2-1 formation will likely dominate possession at the Stadio Olimpico, where they are strong at home in the league. F. Pisacane’s Cagliari might adopt a more defensive posture, using their 4-3-1-2 setup to absorb pressure and counter-attack, which could make midfield battles crucial.

Will Roma’s home strength overcome Cagliari’s resilience on the road? This match could settle arguments about the effectiveness of Gasperini’s tactical setup against a disciplined defence. Football betting tips explore these dynamics in depth. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round.

AS Roma Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava2026-10-20UEFA Champions League4-0W
AS Roma vs Genoa2026-10-17Serie A2-0W
AS Roma vs Real Madrid2026-10-14UEFA Champions League3-4L
Como vs AS Roma2026-10-11Serie A0-0D
AS Roma vs Inter2026-09-19Serie A2-2D
2Win
2Draw
1Lost

AS Roma have shown resilience across all competitions, with 2 wins, 2 draws and a single loss in their last 5 matches. At home in the league, they remain unbeaten, winning 3 of their 4 matches and drawing the other, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3. They have won each of their last 2 matches, the latest a 4-0 win at home to Slovan Bratislava on 20 October.

Cagliari Recent Form

Last five matches, all competitions, most recent first
MatchDateCompetitionResultW/D/L
Monza vs Cagliari2026-10-19Serie A4-0L
Cagliari vs Juventus2026-10-11Serie A1-1D
Udinese vs Cagliari2026-09-19Serie A0-1W
Atalanta vs Cagliari2026-09-12Serie A1-2W
Cagliari vs Lecce2026-09-07Serie A1-0W
3Win
1Draw
1Lost

Cagliari have secured 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across all competitions in their last 5 matches. In the league, their record in this fixture shows 3 wins from 4 matches, with that defeat being the only blemish. Their most recent result, a defeat at Monza on 19 October, mirrors AS Roma’s last home scoreline.

Serie A
AS Roma
Cagliari
Who will win Tuesday’s Serie A clash between AS Roma and Cagliari?
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AS Roma
69%
Draw
20%
Cagliari
11%
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AS Roma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head

7AS Roma1Draw2Cagliari
Last five meetings, most recent first. Across the last 10: AS Roma 7, Cagliari 2, 1 drawn.
MatchDateCompetitionResultWinner
AS Roma vs Cagliari2026-02-09Serie A2-0AS Roma
Cagliari vs AS Roma2025-12-07Serie A1-0Cagliari
AS Roma vs Cagliari2025-03-16Serie A1-0AS Roma
Cagliari vs AS Roma2024-08-18Serie A0-0Draw
AS Roma vs Cagliari2024-02-05Serie A4-0AS Roma
Average total2.7 goals
Both teams scored4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals5 of 10

In their last 10 meetings, AS Roma have secured 7 wins, while Cagliari have managed 2, with 1 draw. The goals pattern shows 27 goals scored, averaging 2.7 per match. On 8 October 2023, AS Roma triumphed 4-1 away, illustrating their attacking prowess. The data points to 4 of these fixtures seeing both teams score, a key figure for bettors.

Predicted Lineups

AS Roma Predicted Lineup

Gollini; Hermoso, Balerdi, Ghilardi; Wesley, Pisilli, de Roon, Molina; Pellegrini, Rodrigo Mora; Malen.

AS Roma have used 3-4-2-1 in 6 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

AS Roma predicted lineup against Cagliari in the Serie A

Cagliari Predicted Lineup

Caprile; Obert, Rodríguez, Mina, Zé Pedro; Romano, Winks, Adopo; Maldini; M'Bala Nzola, Mendy.

Cagliari have used 4-3-1-2 in 1 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.

Cagliari predicted lineup against AS Roma in the Serie A

AS Roma vs Cagliari Match Analysis

AS Roma have been outperforming their expected goals in their last five matches across all competitions. With an xg_for_total of 8.75, they have scored 11 goals, suggesting clinical finishing. On the defensive side, their xg_against_total of 6.21 aligns closely with the 6 goals conceded. This points to the goals markets rather than the result.

In the league, AS Roma have shown a strong ability to score late, with 4 goals coming between the 76th and 90th minute. Cagliari, however, have struggled defensively in the same period, conceding 2 goals. This suggests that late goals could be a feature of this match, influencing the goals markets.

AS Roma average 16.4 shots per match in their last five across all competitions, with a possession average of 55.2%. Cagliari, by contrast, have only averaged 10 shots with 39.8% possession. AS Roma’s attacking volume and possession dominance could lead to a high-scoring encounter, favouring both teams to score.

Cagliari’s defensive strength is evident in their league matches, where they have only conceded 1 goal in the first 15 minutes, potentially limiting AS Roma’s early scoring opportunities.

Key Factors

Late goals could be decisive given both teams’ recent form.

  • M. Bah’s absence leaves AS Roma short in the midfield position.
  • AS Roma have scored 10 goals in their 4 home league matches.
  • Cagliari have 3 wins from 4 matches in this fixture in the league.
  • AS Roma have won 7 of their last 10 meetings with Cagliari.
  • AS Roma’s xg_for_total of 8.75 has resulted in 11 goals across all competitions.

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Free Tips

High Probabilityodds 1.50 to 1.80
Cagliari +1.5 on the Asian handicap

Cagliari won, drew or lost by no more than 1 in 4 of their last 5 matches, and the one miss came away.

1.78ODDS
80%4 of Cagliari's last 5 matches
Both teams to score, No

At least one side failed to score in 3 of Cagliari's 4 away league games, though AS Roma's latest miss came in UEFA.

1.73ODDS
75%3 of Cagliari's 4 away league games
Value Betodds 1.81 to 2.30
Under 2.5 goals

The match had 2 or fewer goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings, but only 1 of AS Roma's 4 home league games did.

2.12ODDS
50%5 of the last 10 meetings
Speculativeodds 2.31 and above
Cagliari or draw, double chance

Cagliari won or drew in 4 of their last 5 matches, and 3 of the last 10 meetings went against the pick.

3.00ODDS
80%4 of Cagliari's last 5 matches
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Our Verdict

I lean towards a narrow victory for AS Roma. Their impressive home form in the league, combined with their ability to score late goals, makes them a challenging opponent at the Stadio Olimpico. The key factor is their attacking volume and possession dominance, which should give them an edge over a resilient Cagliari.

My confidence would waver if Cagliari manage to contain Roma’s attacking threat early on. If they maintain a solid defence and capitalise on counter-attacks, the match could shift in their favour. I am least sure about Roma’s midfield without M. Bah. For more insights, the BC.Game sports betting app offers a comprehensive guide.

Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.

Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game

AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

The data points to a goalless draw between AS Roma and Cagliari, with neither team likely to score. The match is expected to have fewer than three goals. For the selections and the prices available at the time of writing, please refer to the table below.

Our Prediction: AS Roma 0-0 Cagliari

PredictionPickOdds
Match ResultDraw4.80
Total GoalsUnder 2.52.12
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.73
Correct Score0-012.57

Predicted score: AS Roma 0-0 Cagliari, available at 12.57. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.

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AS Roma vs Cagliari FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?

It’s a tricky one to call. The 3.00 odds for Cagliari or draw hint at a close match. Cagliari’s recent form, with 3 wins in their last 5, might give them a fighting chance.

What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Cagliari?

The data points to a 0-0 draw. Roma’s 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches suggest a strong defence. Cagliari’s recent 4-0 defeat could make them cautious, leading to a low-scoring game.

What time is kick-off for AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Kick-off is at 19:45 GMT. It’s an evening fixture, so make sure you’re ready to tune in or place your bets in time. Evening games often have a different atmosphere.

Does the venue matter in AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Yes, it certainly does. AS Roma have won 3 of their 4 home league matches. Stadio Olimpico is a fortress for them, and playing at home could give them an edge over Cagliari.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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