Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – LaLiga 28/08/2026

La Liga
Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal
Fri, 28 August 2026 – 19:30
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3.18
Home
3.62
Draw
2.36
Away

Deportivo Alavés host Villarreal on 28/08/2026 in Round 3 of LaLiga, with kick-off at 19:30 GMT+0 at Mendizorroza. This fixture carries the weight of a familiar LaLiga rivalry with a closely contested head-to-head: three wins for each side and three draws across the last nine meetings. Villarreal arrive on a mixed run that includes heavy European defeats, while Alavés showed a capacity for home competition in their most recent head-to-head draw at this ground.

Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal Betting Tips and Match Insights

Three wins apiece and three draws in the last nine meetings between these clubs tells you this is an unpredictable fixture. Villarreal’s away record in recent LaLiga fixtures shows vulnerability: they allowed three goals at Osasuna (2-2) before winning 4-1 at home to Espanyol. Alavés’s form dipped with three defeats in five but included a home 1-1 draw with Real Oviedo and a cup win over Rayo Vallecano.

The most recent LaLiga meeting between these two, in January 2026 at Villarreal, ended 3-1 in Villarreal’s favour. But the previous encounter, in March 2026 at Mendizorroza, ended 1-1. Home advantage at this compact ground has historically been a factor.

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Deportivo Alavés Recent Form

Alavés’s last five matches show a difficult period: three defeats including a 3-0 at Osasuna and a 1-0 at Atlético Madrid. The draw with Real Oviedo (1-1) and the cup win over Rayo Vallecano show they can compete and produce results when they organise defensively. Their home form is the key variable here, with Mendizorroza presenting visiting sides with a physical and vocal challenge.

DateCompetitionMatchResult
2026-01-18LaLigaAtlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés1-0 (L)
2026-01-14Copa del ReyDeportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano2-0 (W)
2026-01-10LaLigaVillarreal vs Deportivo Alavés3-1 (L)
2026-01-04LaLigaDeportivo Alavés vs Real Oviedo1-1 (D)
2025-12-20LaLigaOsasuna vs Deportivo Alavés3-0 (L)

Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez form the Alavés attacking unit, with Boyé’s physicality and hold-up play providing a reference point for their buildup. Antonio Blanco anchors the midfield, offering defensive coverage and distribution. Jonny Otto at left back contributes attacking width and crosses from deep positions.

Villarreal Recent Form

Villarreal’s last five matches show a turbulent period. Three consecutive defeats in the Champions League (1-2 to Ajax, 0-3 at Leverkusen) and at home to Real Madrid (0-2) were followed by a strong 4-1 home win over Espanyol. The draw at Osasuna (2-2) and the Espanyol win show they retain attacking quality when more settled. Their away record in this run is mixed.

DateCompetitionMatchResult
2026-02-09LaLigaVillarreal vs Espanyol4-1 (W)
2026-01-31LaLigaOsasuna vs Villarreal2-2 (D)
2026-01-28UEFA Champions LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen vs Villarreal3-0 (L)
2026-01-24LaLigaVillarreal vs Real Madrid0-2 (L)
2026-01-20UEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal vs AFC Ajax1-2 (L)

Georges Mikautadze leads Villarreal’s attack with his movement and finishing quality. Nicolas Pépé adds pace and directness from the wide right position, capable of creating chances against full-backs in one-on-one situations. Alberto Moleiro in midfield provides the creative link between lines, with his technical quality posing problems for mid-block defensive setups.

Who will win Friday’s La Liga clash between Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal?
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Deportivo Alavés
31%
Draw
27%
Villarreal
42%
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Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal Head-to-Head

The recent head-to-head record between these clubs is closely balanced. Across the last nine meetings in LaLiga, three wins for each side and three draws have produced an inconclusive record. The last four encounters alone have produced two Villarreal wins and two draws. Alavés won the most recent fixture at Mendizorroza in the 2024-25 season (1-0) and drew in March 2026 (1-1).

DateCompetitionMatchResult
2026-03-13LaLigaDeportivo Alavés vs Villarreal1-1
2026-01-10LaLigaVillarreal vs Deportivo Alavés3-1
2025-03-08LaLigaDeportivo Alavés vs Villarreal1-0
2024-11-09LaLigaVillarreal vs Deportivo Alavés3-0
2024-02-10LaLigaDeportivo Alavés vs Villarreal1-1

Home advantage at Mendizorroza has produced a win and a draw in the last two home meetings. Villarreal’s away record in LaLiga across their recent run shows they can give up goals on the road, particularly after difficult European commitments.

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Predicted Lineups

Deportivo Alavés (4-4-2):

Sivera (GK), Tenaglia (DF), Koski (DF), Otto (DF), Pérez (DF), Rodriguez (MF), Ibáñez (MF), Blanco (MF), Rebbach (MF), Boyé (FW), Martínez (FW).

Deportivo Alavés predicted lineup LaLiga vs Villarreal 28 August 2026

Villarreal (4-3-3):

Júnior (GK), Mouriño (DF), Foyth (DF), Veiga (DF), Romero (DF), Comesaña (MF), Gueye (MF), Moleiro (MF), Pépé (FW), Pérez (FW), Mikautadze (FW).

Villarreal predicted lineup LaLiga vs Deportivo Alavés 28 August 2026

Key Factors

  • The head-to-head record shows three wins each and three draws in the last nine LaLiga meetings, making this one of the more genuinely unpredictable fixtures in the division.
  • Alavés have won and drawn their last two home meetings with Villarreal (1-0 in March 2025, 1-1 in March 2026), showing consistent home resistance.
  • Villarreal’s LaLiga away form shows they are not dominant on the road, having drawn 2-2 at Osasuna and lost 3-0 at Leverkusen in European fixtures just before this period.
  • Mikautadze and Pépé provide the attacking quality in Villarreal’s forward line that poses a genuine threat, particularly against a defence that has conceded three goals in two recent league away fixtures.
  • Low scoring is a possibility given the draws (1-0, 1-1) in recent home meetings; four of the last five encounters produced two goals or fewer.

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Free Tips to Watch

  • Consider the draw as a genuine option: three draws in nine meetings and the pattern of 1-0 and 1-1 results at Mendizorroza in the last two home fixtures suggest this is a tight encounter.
  • Look at under 2.5 goals given the low-scoring pattern in recent home meetings: four of the last five encounters produced two goals or fewer combined.
  • Alavés to win at home is the alternative angle, with two positive results in the last two Mendizorroza meetings against this specific opponent.
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Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction 2026

The balanced head-to-head record, the low-scoring pattern in recent home fixtures between these clubs, and Villarreal’s tendency to give up goals on the road against organised defences all point toward a tight encounter. Three draws in nine meetings is a notable frequency for this fixture, and the last two at Mendizorroza both ended with low totals. Both teams will contribute to the scoreboard, but a high-scoring game is not the dominant signal from the available data.

Our Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Villarreal

Match ResultPredictionOdds
Match ResultDraw3.62
Total GoalsUnder 2.52.06
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.63

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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