Valencia vs Joventut Badalona (90:76): Liga Endesa ACB 12/06/2026

June 14, 2026
Status: Finished
90-76
Liga Endesa ACB
Valencia
Joventut Badalona
match decor

Valencia Basket host Joventut Badalona on 12/06/2026, 18:00 GMT+0 at Roig Arena in Valencia. This is Game 2 of their Liga Endesa ACB playoff semifinal series, with Valencia leading 1:0 after a wild 118:117 overtime win in the opener. The first game showed two things at once: Valencia have the clutch edge at home, but Joventut are more than capable of turning this series into a real fight.

The official referee crew has not been publicly confirmed at the time of writing, so that detail should be checked again closer to tip off. This Valencia vs Joventut Badalona prediction 2026 leans toward the hosts, but not blindly. Valencia vs Joventut Badalona match prediction and Valencia vs Joventut Badalona betting tips should focus on efficiency, recovery, injuries and late game control. For anyone looking at Valencia vs Joventut Badalona prediction today, the key angle is simple: Valencia are better positioned to win again, while Joventut’s shooting profile keeps the total dangerous. Valencia vs Joventut Badalona odds also support the home side, with Valencia to win priced around 1.26.

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona Last Matches

Valencia Basket
• Last 5 matches •
W
W
W
W
W
Wins
5/5 (100%)
Draw
0/5 (0%)
Losses
0/5 (0%)
184.40
Total points
79%
Win probability
99.20
Points scored
85.20
Points conceded
1.26
Market odds
60%
Over 174.5 points
Recent results
10 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Valencia Basket 118 : 117 Joventut Badalona
5 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Bilbao Basket 71 : 88 Valencia Basket
3 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Valencia Basket 83 : 80 Bilbao Basket
31 May 2026 — ACB
Barcelona 77 : 102 Valencia Basket
29 May 2026 — ACB
Valencia Basket 105 : 81 Gran Canaria
Show all 5 ▼
Joventut Badalona
• Last 5 matches •
L
W
W
L
L
Wins
2/5 (40%)
Draw
0/5 (0%)
Losses
3/5 (60%)
175.80
Total points
21%
Win probability
88.60
Points scored
87.20
Points conceded
4.00
Estimated odds
40%
Over 174.5 points
Recent results
10 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Valencia Basket 118 : 117 Joventut Badalona
7 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Baskonia 88 : 96 Joventut Badalona
5 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Joventut Badalona 82 : 63 Baskonia
3 Jun 2026 — ACB Play Offs
Baskonia 85 : 71 Joventut Badalona
29 May 2026 — ACB
Basquet Girona 82 : 77 Joventut Badalona
Show all 5 ▼

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona: Head to Head (H2H)

Head to Head
• Valencia Basket vs Joventut Badalona • 12.06.2026 (ACB Playoffs)
Home
Valencia Basket
4
wins (last 5 H2H)
W
W
L
W
W
Away
Joventut Badalona
1
wins (last 5 H2H)
L
L
W
L
L
Valencia Basket win
No draw
Joventut Badalona win
Valencia Basket Win (4/5 H2H)
79%
Draw (0/5)
0%
Joventut Badalona Win (1/5 H2H)
21%
195.20
Total points per game
100%
Both teams 80 plus
100%
Over 174.5
101.20
Valencia points
94.00
Joventut points
1.26
Valencia market odds
H2H recent meetings
10.06.2026 — ACB Play Offs
Valencia Basket 118 : 117 Joventut Badalona
19.02.2026 — Copa del Rey
Valencia Basket 95 : 84 Joventut Badalona
08.02.2026 — ACB
Joventut Badalona 90 : 87 Valencia Basket
26.10.2025 — ACB
Valencia Basket 102 : 90 Joventut Badalona
15.03.2025 — ACB
Joventut Badalona 89 : 104 Valencia Basket
Show all 5 ▼

Valencia Basket: Team News

Valencia enter Game 2 with the scoreboard and the mood both on their side, but the first match also exposed how thin the margins can be. The 118:117 overtime win gave Pedro Martínez’s team a 1:0 lead, and it confirmed their ability to finish under pressure. At the same time, conceding 117 points is not the kind of defensive base a coach wants to repeat in a semifinal.

The hosts have now won five straight games and are averaging 99.2 points across that run. Their inside scoring remains the main weapon, with strong two point efficiency and enough passing to find the right option late in possessions. The concern is the rotation. Xabi López Arostegui and Josep Puerto are listed as unavailable, while Nate Reuvers is doubtful after an ankle problem in Game 1. That hurts wing depth and frontcourt stability, so Valencia may need even more from their guards, offensive rebounding and clutch free throw execution.

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Joventut Badalona: Team News

Joventut lost Game 1, but the performance should give them belief rather than fear. Pushing Valencia to overtime on the road and scoring 117 points tells us Badalona can hit this matchup from several angles. Their perimeter scoring kept the game alive, and their ability to recover after difficult stretches fits the pattern from the Baskonia series.

The problem is that moral victories do not level a playoff series. Joventut have now lost three of their last five, and their away starts remain a concern. The data shows only one first quarter win in their last ten road openers, which is dangerous against a Valencia team that usually starts fast. Ante Tomic is reported unavailable, and that changes the interior matchup. Without him, Joventut need extra work from their alternative bigs, plus sharper control from the guards. If they foul too much or give Valencia second chances, another close game may tilt the same way.

Key Stats and Performance Indicators

Team ranking
A score reflecting the team’s overall strength, based on their league position, historical results, goals scored and conceded, and the competitive level of their division.
1.3
3.9
Assessment of form
Reflects the team’s current momentum based on recent matches. Accounts for results, goals, and expected goals over the last several games.
1.5
2.7
xG Expected Goals
The statistical volume of scoring chances created and conceded. Calculated from shot quality and quantity, a higher value indicates more dangerous attacking play.
+7%
+1%
xG Predictability
Shows how consistently the team’s actual in-game xG aligns with pre-match xG forecasts. A higher value means the team’s matches tend to follow expected patterns.
69%
54%

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona Predicted Starting Lineups

Below are the expected starting lineups for this basketball playoff game. Final fives can still change close to tip off, especially with Valencia managing injuries and Joventut adjusting without Tomic. Valencia should again lean on guard control, inside efficiency and offensive rebounding, while Joventut need shooting, contact and smart spacing to keep Game 2 as close as the opener.

Valencia Basket PlayerPositionJoventut Badalona PlayerPosition
ThompsonGuardRubioGuard
MonteroGuardHuntGuard
TaylorForwardHangaForward
PradillaForwardParkerForward
CostelloCenterBirganderCenter

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona Match Prediction

Valencia are the better pick, but Game 1 makes it hard to expect anything too easy. Joventut showed they can score, stretch the floor and handle pressure on the road. Losing 118:117 after overtime is painful, but it also proves they are not outclassed in this matchup. Still, the details point back to Valencia.

The hosts have won five straight, average almost 100 points across that run, and have the home crowd behind them again. Their two point efficiency, passing and rebounding give them more reliable ways to score when the game slows down. Joventut rely more on threes, free throws and momentum swings, which can work, but it is harder to repeat for forty minutes away from home. Valencia vs Joventut Badalona odds also show why the hosts are favored. We expect another competitive game, but Valencia should handle the decisive possessions better and move 2:0 up in the series.

Our Prediction: Valencia Basket 96:88 Joventut Badalona

1.24
Result
Home Win
71 Votes
84
1.82
Total Points
Over 174.5
47 Votes
57
1.65
Both teams to score 85
Yes
56 Votes
60
1.53
First quarter
Valencia to win
63 Votes
75

You can place your bet on the match – Valencia Basket vs Joventut Badalona at bc.game. Valencia are the stronger side to back, while the total still leans high because both teams showed strong scoring rhythm in Game 1.

About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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