The USA and Costa Rica will face off in the quarter-finals of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup. It will be a really tough football match. The U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota, which can house more than 66,000 people, will host the game on June 29, 2025. The game will start at 23:00 GMT+0. The match is part of the knockout stage of the Gold Cup, North and Central America’s top international football tournament. There hasn’t been an official referee assignment yet, but this step is so important that it needs to be overseen by a very experienced official.
The USA, who have won the Gold Cup seven times, are under a lot of pressure to do well after a poor Copa America and Nations League season. Costa Rica, on the other hand, wants to get past the quarter-finals after doing well in both the World Cup Qualifiers and the group stage of this tournament. Fans should expect a fast-paced and competitive 90 minutes of football because both clubs are confident going into the game.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Before diving into form guides and historical meetings, it’s important to understand what makes this game a fascinating betting opportunity. The USA vs Costa Rica prediction today is shaped by attacking tendencies, recent performance trends, and player availability. Both teams have been able to score goals, with the USA scoring eight in the group stage and Costa Rica scoring a lot in their last few games. Past discussions also suggest that there will be a lot of goals. Neither side is expected to hold back as a berth in the semifinals is on the line.
USA Results
The USA made it to the knockout stage after winning three games in a row to win their group. Even though they had some problems earlier this year, they have gotten their act together in this event.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23.06.25 | Gold Cup | USA vs Haiti | 2-1 | W |
| 20.06.25 | Gold Cup | Saudi Arabia vs USA | 0-1 | W |
| 16.06.25 | Gold Cup | USA vs Trinidad & Tobago | 5-0 | W |
| 11.06.25 | Friendly | USA vs Switzerland | 0-4 | L |
| 07.06.25 | Friendly | USA vs Turkey | 1-2 | L |
After two consecutive friendly defeats, the USA rebounded well in the Gold Cup group stage. They scored a total of eight goals while conceding just once in three games. Their dominance over Trinidad & Tobago and controlled win against Saudi Arabia showed tactical discipline. The 2-1 win over Haiti revealed some defensive fragility but also attacking resilience. Overall, their group stage results positioned them as firm semifinal contenders.
Costa Rica Results
Costa Rica also had a successful group stage and came into this fixture full of belief. They will need to overcome historical struggles at this stage to move further.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23.06.25 | Gold Cup | Mexico vs Costa Rica | 0-0 | D |
| 19.06.25 | Gold Cup | Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic | 2-1 | W |
| 16.06.25 | Gold Cup | Costa Rica vs Suriname | 4-3 | W |
| 11.06.25 | World Cup Qual. | Costa Rica vs Trinidad & Tobago | 2-1 | W |
| 08.06.25 | World Cup Qual. | Bahamas vs Costa Rica | 0-8 | W |
Costa Rica has not lost in their last five games, and they have scored 16 goals in that time. Their 0-0 stalemate with Mexico showed that they were tactically disciplined, while their 4-3 triumph over Suriname showed that they could attack well but were weak on defense. The eight-goal rout against the Bahamas raised their average, but it still shows that their offense is strong. The team was consistent in both the World Cup qualifying and the Gold Cup. The odds say they are underdogs, but their present form says they aren’t.
USA vs Costa Rica Head-to-Head Results
There has been a long history of rivalry between the USA and Costa Rica, with many games ending in close scores. The Americans won their last game by a wide margin.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 23.01.25 | Friendly | USA vs Costa Rica | 3-0 |
| 31.03.22 | World Cup | Costa Rica vs USA | 2-0 |
| 14.10.21 | World Cup | USA vs Costa Rica | 2-1 |
| 10.06.21 | Friendly | USA vs Costa Rica | 4-0 |
| 01.02.20 | Friendly | USA vs Costa Rica | 1-0 |
The USA won four of the last five encounters, with three matches ending in clean sheets. Most games were decided by multiple goals. Costa Rica’s only win came during the 2022 World Cup qualifiers. The USA have dominated recent friendlies, suggesting a psychological advantage.
Predicted Lineups for the Football Match USA vs Costa Rica
Based on team news and suspensions that were reported before the game, below are the most likely starting lineups.
USA predicted lineup: Freese (GK), Freeman (DF), Richards (DF), Ream (DF), Tolkin (DF), Tillman (MF), Berhalter (MF), De la Torre (MF), McGlynn (MF), Luna (MF), Agyemang (FW)
Costa Rica predicted lineup: Navas (GK), C. Mora (DF), J. Mitchell (DF), J. Vargas (DF), Calvo (DF), K. Myrie (DF), Alcocer (MF), Galo (MF), Aguilera Zamora (MF), K. Vargas (FW), A. Martinez (FW)
Suspended or Injured Players
Two key absences are confirmed ahead of this match due to suspension.
| Player | Team | Reason |
| Joseph Mora | Costa Rica | Suspension (2nd yellow) |
| Manfred Ugalde | Costa Rica | Suspension (2nd yellow) |
Costa Rica suffer a major blow with Ugalde’s suspension — he scored three goals in the group stage. His absence reduces their offensive threat and will likely force tactical changes. Joseph Mora’s absence also weakens their defensive line, especially on the flanks.
Key Factors to Consider Before Placing Your Bet
As we get closer to this important match, a number of patterns and pieces of information could assist us make smart bets:
- USA have scored 8 goals in 3 Gold Cup games;
- Costa Rica scored 17 goals in 6 June fixtures;
- Costa Rica’s Manfred Ugalde (3 goals) is suspended;
- USA have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head games;
- Both teams went over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches;
- USA kept 2 clean sheets in the group stage;
- Costa Rica conceded 4 goals against Suriname;
- The match will be played on artificial turf, potentially favoring USA.
Free Tips on USA vs Costa Rica
Below are expert tips based on statistical data, team form, and head-to-head results. These recommendations aim to help you find betting value for this quarter-final clash.
This section focuses on expanded insights and not just raw data. We consider tactical nuance, squad changes, playing surfaces, and tournament context in our selections:
- Costa Rica’s suspensions leave them weakened both offensively and defensively, making USA more likely to dominate possession and territory.
- Artificial turf at U.S. Bank Stadium is an important factor; USA players are more accustomed to it, while Costa Rica might struggle with ball control and speed.
- High-scoring trends from both teams make an Over 2.5 Total Goals bet a strong candidate, with the added potential of BTTS (Both Teams to Score).
- USA’s tactical setup under Pochettino shows improved ball circulation and aggressive wing play, which Costa Rica may find difficult to contain.
- Tournament motivation is high on both sides, but the USA are under pressure to redeem earlier failures — expect urgency from kickoff.
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USA vs Costa Rica Match Prediction 2025
Given the attacking quality and form both teams have displayed, we expect goals in this match. The USA’s historical dominance in this pairing, coupled with Costa Rica’s key suspensions, tilts the scales. However, Costa Rica’s scoring momentum can’t be ignored. The USA vs Costa Rica odds favor the hosts, and that’s justified by their deeper squad and better adaptation to local conditions. A high-tempo match with at least three goals is a likely scenario.
Our Prediction: USA 2-1 Costa Rica
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full Time Result | USA Win | 1.54 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.81 |
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