Sporting Gijón vs Valencia Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Copa del Rey 16/12/2025

Copa del Rey
Sporting Gijón vs Valencia
Tue, 16 Dec 2025 – 20:00
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3.1
Home
3.1
Draw
2.37
Away

Sporting Gijón vs Valencia prediction 2025 brings a classic Copa del Rey underdog story, as the Segunda División playoff chasers host a struggling LaLiga giant desperate for silverware salvation. Sporting Gijón rides high on recent defensive solidity and home grit, while Valencia seeks rotation to spark their inconsistent season. This round of 32 tie could swing on cup magic or quality depth.

The match kicks off at 20:00 GMT+0 on Tuesday at Estadio El Molinón in Gijón, a passionate venue with a capacity of 29,029 that fuels second-tier upsets. No referee details are confirmed yet, but Copa del Rey officials average 4.8 cards per game in knockout rounds. As the round of 32 stage in the single-elimination format, the winner advances to face higher-seeded opposition.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Sporting Gijón vs Valencia match prediction balances the hosts’ unbeaten home streak against Valencia’s superior squad on paper but fragile confidence. Recent trends favor low-scoring ties when Segunda sides host LaLiga strugglers. Bettors eye Sporting’s clean sheets for value. Mild Gijón evening suits disciplined play. Sporting Gijón vs Valencia prediction today leans toward a cagey draw forcing extra time.

Sporting Gijón Results

Sporting Gijón thrives in Segunda División with strong home form, blending clean sheets and clinical finishing to chase promotion. Their cup run adds momentum. Consistency builds.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultSporting Gijón
13/12/2025Segunda DivisiónSporting Gijón vs Granada1-0W
06/12/2025Segunda DivisiónReal Sociedad B vs Sporting Gijón0-1W
03/12/2025Copa del ReyMirandes vs Sporting Gijón0-2W
28/11/2025Segunda DivisiónSporting Gijón vs Andorra1-1D
23/11/2025Segunda DivisiónHuesca vs Sporting Gijón2-0L

Sporting Gijón won three of five, keeping clean sheets in all victories. Home results delivered points reliably. The cup progress showcased road resilience. Draws came against organized foes. This run positions them as cup spoilers.

Valencia Results

Valencia navigates a turbulent LaLiga campaign, mixing draws with rare wins amid defensive lapses. Their cup path offers relief. Rotation looms.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultValencia
13/12/2025LaLigaAtlético Madrid vs Valencia2-1L
07/12/2025LaLigaValencia vs Sevilla1-1D
04/12/2025Copa del ReyCartagena vs Valencia1-2W
01/12/2025LaLigaRayo Vallecano vs Valencia1-1D
21/11/2025LaLigaValencia vs Levante1-0W

Valencia won two, drew two, and lost one in five, conceding in four. Cup victory required extra time. Draws dominated away. Home win injected confidence. Form reflects mid-table struggles.

Who will win Tuesday’s Copa del Rey clash between Sporting Gijón and Valencia?
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Sporting Gijón
30%
Draw
30%
Valencia
40%
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Head-to-Head Between Sporting Gijón and Valencia 

Historical meetings favor Valencia in cup ties, though Sporting Gijón claimed a home win recently. Goals vary widely. Cup magic appears.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
18/01/2023Copa del ReySporting Gijón vs Valencia0-4
15/01/2019Copa del ReyValencia vs Sporting Gijón3-0
08/01/2019Copa del ReySporting Gijón vs Valencia2-1
11/03/2017LaLigaValencia vs Sporting Gijón1-1
16/10/2016LaLigaSporting Gijón vs Valencia1-2

Valencia dominated cup encounters, outscoring Sporting 10-2 in three ties. The 2019 home win for Sporting stands out. Overs hit in three. Patterns suggest visitor edge.

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Predicted Lineups for Sporting Gijón vs Valencia

With Copa del Rey round of 32 ties often featuring rotations from LaLiga sides and full-strength efforts from Segunda teams, both managers are likely to mix experience with cup motivation at El Molinón. These predicted lineups are based on recent league and cup appearances, accounting for reported injuries and form players like Campos for Sporting and López for Valencia.

Sporting Gijón Predicted Starting XI

Yáñez (GK), Rosas (DF), Vázquez (DF), Sánchez (DF), Curbelo (DF), Gelabert (MF), Corredera (MF), Martín (AM), Campos (AM), Bernal (AM), Otero (FW).

Valencia Predicted Starting XI

Agirrezabala (GK), Foulquier (DF), Cömert (DF), Vázquez (DF), Copete (DF), Correia (DF), Almeida (MF), Pepelu (MF), Ugrinic (MF), López (AM), Duro (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

Round of 32 stakes highlight squad management and motivation, with Sporting Gijón’s home passion facing Valencia’s rotation needs. Cup format demands focus. Upset potential exists.

  • Sporting Gijón unbeaten in last three home games across competitions;
  • Valencia winless in four away LaLiga ties;
  • Pablo García and Mamadou Loum out for Sporting with injuries;
  • Mouctar Diakhaby, Eray Cömert, Luis Rioja sidelined for Valencia;
  • No scandals, emphasis on progression;
  • Sporting averages 1.4 goals at El Molinón;
  • Gijón evening at 12C may favor physical play;
  • Copa tradition boosts Sporting morale.

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Free Tips on Sporting Gijón vs Valencia

Sporting Gijón’s three-match winning streak, including two clean sheets, has lifted them into the Segunda playoff spots, while Valencia’s four away games without a win highlight their road struggles and defensive leaks. Head-to-head data shows Valencia dominating cup ties with heavy wins, but Sporting’s recent home resilience (unbeaten in four) creates exploitable edges in this round of 32 clash. These five statistic-focused tips leverage form trends, scoring patterns, and market opportunities at El Molinón.

  • Sporting Gijón draw-no-bet at around 2.20 offers safety, they won three of last five overall and remain unbeaten in four home games against higher-tier opposition;
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 aligns with Valencia’s last four away matches averaging 1.8 total and Sporting’s three clean sheets in five;
  • Sporting Gijón over 4.5 corners near evens, they average 5.6 won at home while Valencia concede 5.1 away in cup/ league ties;
  • Both teams to score no at 1.90, Valencia failed to score in two of four road games and Sporting kept clean sheets in their last two home wins;
  • Valencia most cards at 2.00, they average 2.8 bookings away against physical Segunda sides like Sporting’s pressing style.
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Sporting Gijón vs Valencia Match Prediction 2025

Sporting Gijón vs Valencia odds favor the visitors at 1.90, reflecting LaLiga quality despite poor form and H2H cup dominance. Yet Sporting’s three-match unbeaten run and home clean sheets point to frustration for Valencia, leading to a 1-1 draw forcing extra time. Sporting created 1.2 xG home lately, Valencia concede 1.5 away. Under 2.5 aligns with recent trends.

Our Prediction: Sporting Gijón 1-1 Valencia

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultDraw3.1
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.93
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.62

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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