The highly anticipated clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo RJ is set to take place on November 6, 2025, at 00:30 GMT+0 at the iconic Estadio do MorumBIS in Sao Paulo, Brazil, with a capacity of 77,011 spectators. Refereed by Pereira R., this Serie A Betano match is a crucial encounter in the Brazilian top-flight league, where both teams are vying for valuable points in the ongoing season.
This Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ prediction 2025 promises to deliver insights into a fiercely contested match, as both teams have shown contrasting form in recent outings. With Sao Paulo hosting and Flamengo RJ coming off a mixed run, this preview will dive into key statistics, player form, and tactical considerations to provide actionable Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ betting tips.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To craft an accurate Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ prediction today, we need to examine the recent performances and head-to-head history of both teams. Sao Paulo’s home advantage at MorumBIS could play a pivotal role, while Flamengo’s attacking prowess will test the hosts’ defense. The following sections break down each team’s form and their past encounters to inform your betting decisions. Expect a detailed look at critical factors like injuries, tactical setups, and momentum. This Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ match prediction will guide you through the key elements shaping the outcome.
Sao Paulo Results
Sao Paulo have had an up-and-down run in recent Serie A matches, showing flashes of brilliance but struggling for consistency. Their home form at MorumBIS remains a strong point, but recent away losses highlight vulnerabilities. Below is a summary of their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 03/11/25 | SA | Vasco vs Sao Paulo | 0-2 | W |
| 26/10/25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Bahia | 2-0 | W |
| 20/10/25 | SA | Mirassol vs Sao Paulo | 3-0 | L |
| 17/10/25 | SA | Gremio vs Sao Paulo | 2-0 | L |
| 05/10/25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras | 2-3 | L |
Sao Paulo’s back-to-back wins against Vasco and Bahia show their attacking potential, with clean sheets in both games signaling defensive solidity at home. However, their three consecutive losses prior to that, including a heavy 3-0 defeat to Mirassol, expose issues in away games and against high-pressing teams. The loss to Palmeiras at home suggests vulnerability against top-tier opponents. Their ability to bounce back at MorumBIS will be crucial against Flamengo. Expect Sao Paulo to lean on their home crowd to regain momentum.
Flamengo RJ Results
Flamengo RJ have been a force in Serie A and Copa do Brasil, blending attacking flair with resilience. Their recent form includes strong home performances but occasional struggles on the road. Below is a summary of their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 02/11/25 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Sport Recife | 3-0 | W |
| 30/10/25 | COP | Racing Club vs Flamengo RJ | 0-0 | D |
| 26/10/25 | SA | Fortaleza vs Flamengo RJ | 1-0 | L |
| 23/10/25 | COP | Flamengo RJ vs Racing Club | 1-0 | W |
| 19/10/25 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Palmeiras | 3-2 | W |
Flamengo’s convincing 3-0 win over Sport Recife highlights their attacking potency at home. Their draw against Racing Club in the Copa do Brasil shows defensive discipline, but the 1-0 loss to Fortaleza exposes vulnerabilities on the road. The narrow victory over Palmeiras demonstrates their ability to compete against elite teams. Flamengo will aim to exploit Sao Paulo’s inconsistent form, but their away struggles could be a concern.
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between Sao Paulo and Flamengo RJ has produced tightly contested matches in recent years. Both teams have traded wins, with home advantage often proving decisive. Below are the results of their last five encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 12/07/25 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo | 2-0 |
| 19/01/25 | CF | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 0-0 |
| 04/08/24 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 1-0 |
| 18/04/24 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| 07/12/23 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 1-0 |
Sao Paulo have won two of the last three home games against Flamengo, suggesting MorumBIS is a tough venue for the visitors. Flamengo’s 2-0 win in their most recent meeting shows their potential to dominate, but the 0-0 draw in January 2025 indicates both teams can cancel each other out. The head-to-head record points to a low-scoring, competitive match.
Sao Paulo Possible Starting Lineup
Sao Paulo are expected to field a balanced 3-5-2 formation, leveraging their home advantage with a strong defensive core and attacking flair through Lucas Moura and Jonathan Calleri.
- Rafael (GK), Vinicius (DF), Arboleda (DF), Franco (DF), Welington (MF), Bobadilla (MF), Gustav (MF), Moura (MF), Nestor (MF), Ferreira (FW), Calleri (FW)

Flamengo RJ Possible Starting Lineup
Flamengo are likely to deploy a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on their attacking trio to exploit Sao Paulo’s defensive vulnerabilities, with De Arrascaeta pulling the strings in midfield.
- Cunha (GK), Varela (DF), Bruno (DF), Luiz (DF), Ayrton (DF), Pulgar (MF), Gerson (MF), De Arrascaeta (MF), Araujo (FW), Pedro (FW), Everton (FW)

Key Factors to Watch
To make an informed Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ match prediction, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams bring distinct strengths and weaknesses to this Serie A clash. Below are the key factors that could shape the outcome.
- Sao Paulo’s Home Form: Undefeated in their last two home games, Sao Paulo rely on MorumBIS’s atmosphere to boost performance;
- Flamengo’s Away Struggles: Flamengo have lost their last away game in Serie A, raising concerns about their road form;
- Injuries: Sao Paulo may miss key midfielder Alisson (doubtful, hamstring), while Flamengo’s striker Pedro is questionable after a minor knock;
- Player Form: Sao Paulo’s Lucas Moura has scored in two of his last three games, posing a threat to Flamengo’s defense;
- Flamengo’s Attack: With 7 goals in their last three Serie A games, Flamengo’s frontline, led by Gabriel Barbosa, is in fine form;
- Defensive Records: Sao Paulo’s two clean sheets in recent wins contrast with Flamengo’s vulnerability away, conceding in two of their last three road games;
- Tactical Matchup: Sao Paulo’s compact 4-2-3-1 could frustrate Flamengo’s attacking 4-3-3, leading to a low-scoring game;
- Referee Influence: Pereira R. averages 5.2 yellow cards per game, suggesting a physical match with potential bookings.
Free Tips on Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ
To make informed betting decisions for the Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ match on November 6, 2025, leveraging key statistics and contextual factors is essential. This section provides targeted tips based on historical data, team dynamics, and external influences specific to this Serie A clash. These insights will help you navigate the complexities of this encounter and identify potential betting opportunities.
- Study Head-to-Head Trends: Historical data shows Sao Paulo and Flamengo often play low-scoring games, with three of their last five meetings producing under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight match at MorumBIS.
- Evaluate League Position Impact: Sao Paulo, likely mid-table, may lack the urgency of Flamengo, who are pushing for a top spot, potentially influencing their motivation and intensity in this game.
- Consider Pitch and Weather Conditions: Estadio do MorumBIS’s natural grass pitch, combined with potential November rain in Sao Paulo, could slow gameplay, favoring Sao Paulo’s compact defensive setup over Flamengo’s fast-paced attack.
- Monitor Recent Schedule Fatigue: Flamengo’s recent Copa do Brasil matches and travel, including a midweek draw against Racing Club, may lead to fatigue, impacting their performance on the road.
- Check Referee Tendencies: Pereira R.’s high average of 5.2 yellow cards per game indicates a physical match, making bets on over 4.5 cards a viable option for this fixture.
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Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ Match Prediction 2025
This Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ prediction 2025 leans toward a closely fought battle, with Sao Paulo’s home advantage giving them a slight edge. The Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ odds reflect a tight contest, with bookmakers pricing both teams closely due to their competitive head-to-head history and current form. Sao Paulo’s recent home wins and clean sheets suggest they can hold firm against Flamengo’s attack, which has struggled on the road. Flamengo’s loss to Fortaleza and draw against Racing Club indicate they may find it tough to break down a disciplined Sao Paulo side. However, Flamengo’s attacking depth, with players like Gabriel Barbosa, could punish any defensive lapses. The head-to-head trend points to low-scoring games, with three of the last five meetings producing under 2.5 goals. Considering Sao Paulo’s defensive solidity at home and Flamengo’s inconsistent away form, a draw or narrow Sao Paulo win seems likely. We predict a 1-1 draw, as both teams are likely to prioritize defensive stability in this high-stakes clash.
Our Prediction: Sao Paulo 1-1 Flamengo RJ
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.08 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.56 |
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