Santos vs Palmeiras (1:0): Serie A Betano 16/11/2025

November 16, 2025

Status: Finished

1-0

Serie A Betano

Santos

Palmeiras

Santos plunge into relegation quicksand while Palmeiras cling to the Serie A summit, making this Classico de Saudade a powder keg of desperation and destiny. The hosts need points to climb out of the drop zone, winless in five, as leaders Palmeiras chase a 13th title with just a one-win cushion. Vila Belmiro’s cauldron could ignite a shock, but Verdao’s road resilience looms large.

The match starts at 00:00 GMT+0 on November 16, 2025, at Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, a 16,068-seat fortress where Alvinegro thrive when leading early. Referee Ramon Abatti Claus oversees proceedings, known for 4.8 cards per game this term. Round 33 of Serie A Betano heightens the drama, six games left for both.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

This high-stakes derby pits survival panic against title pressure, where one slip could redefine seasons. Santos vs Palmeiras prediction today hinges on the hosts’ late goals habit clashing with Palmeiras’ perfect record when leading at half away. Recent form shows Santos crumbling, Palmeiras stumbling last out. Head-to-heads favor Verdao, unbeaten in four road trips here. Bettors watch Neymar’s return versus Roque’s 16-goal haul.

Santos Results

Santos sink into the bottom four, points dropped in five straight, their attack toothless until stoppage time bursts. Home offers hope, five of eight wins at Vila Belmiro, but defense leaks. Vojvoda’s reign yields just two victories since August.

Five games without a win expose Santos’ fragility, conceding first in four. Late strikes salvage draws, but early deficits kill. Home form dips, one win in five at Vila. Goals scarce, 1.0 per game over stretch. Survival demands a fast start.

Palmeiras Results

Palmeiras hold top spot despite a Mirassol stumble, unbeaten in four prior across competitions. Road form stays elite, points dropped once when scoring first. Ferreira’s men eye a cushion over Flamengo.

One loss in five keeps Palmeiras rolling, that Mirassol defeat a rare blip. Away wins dominate, clean sheets in three of five. Copa romp shows depth, four tallied. Goals at 1.8, defense solid at 0.8. Title push needs three points.

Who will win Sunday’s Serie A Betano clash between Santos and Palmeiras?

Santos > Draw > Palmeiras >

Santos

31%

Draw

28%

Palmeiras

41%

Head-to-Head Between Santos and Palmeiras 

Palmeiras own this rivalry lately, four wins in five, three clean sheets away at Santos. Goals lean Verdao, 9-2 aggregate. Home side struggles to score.

Verdao’s grip tightens, unbeaten in four road visits here. Clean sheets pile up, Santos score once in five. Low totals, under 2.5 in three. Away side repeats history.

Predicted Starting Lineups for Santos vs Palmeiras Football Match

Santos face a must-win relegation scrap with Neymar freshly returned from injury, while Palmeiras hunt the title with Vitor Roque leading the line amid a tight six-game sprint. These projected XIs reflect recent rotations, training reports, and tactical preferences under Vojvoda (4-3-3 pressing high at home) and Ferreira (4-4-2 compact on the road). Expect last-minute tweaks if Victor Hugo passes late fitness or if Palmeiras shield legs post-Mirassol.

Santos Predicted Starting Lineup

Brazao (GK), Vinicius (DF), Ivaldo (DF), Frias (DF), Souza (DF), Schmidt (MF), Rafael (MF), Arao (MF), Barreal (FW), Neymar (FW), Guilherme (FW).

Palmeiras Predicted Starting Lineup

Miguel (GK), Khellven (DF), Gomez (DF), Murilo (DF), Jefte (DF), Fuchs (MF), Moreno (MF), Anderson (MF), Mauricio (MF), Roque (FW), Rodrigues (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Santos remain hampered by defensive absences that have cost them 12 goals in eight home games, forcing Vojvoda into patchwork backlines. Palmeiras juggle a packed treatment room but boast superior depth, with Ferreira likely rotating to manage fatigue ahead of Flamengo. Below are confirmed outs and doubts not in the projected XI.

Key Factors to Watch

Santos fight for survival, Palmeiras for glory, both under pressure with six games left. Neymar returns, Roque leads scoring. Home crowd roars, travel no issue for Verdao.

• Santos miss Mayke (knee inflammation), Victor Hugo doubtful (hamstring);
• Palmeiras without Weverton (finger), Evangelista doubtful (hamstring), Paulinho (shin), Figueiredo (cruciate);
• Hosts winless in five, drop into relegation, two points adrift;
• Visitors top table, one win clear, undefeated away when scoring first;
• Santos score three first-half goals all term, Palmeiras perfect at half when leading away;
• Neymar back after 48 days, Vitor Roque nets 16, one off league lead;
• Four home games left for Santos, Palmeiras need wins to hold Flamengo;
• No scandals, but Vojvoda’s two wins in three months add heat.

Ready to level up your football betting skills? Read our guide to learn how to place smarter bets. Increase your chances of winning with BC.GAME!

Bet Now

Free Tips on Santos vs Palmeiras

Palmeiras dominate H2H with 9 goals to Santos’ 2 over five meetings, while Santos score in 80% of home games but concede first in 70%. Vila Belmiro averages 2.8 total goals this term, Palmeiras away 2.4, yet under 2.5 hits in three straight derbies. These data-driven edges, pulled from venue trends and ref stats, spotlight plays outside the main markets.

• Ramon Abatti Claus averages 5.2 cards in Palmeiras games, Santos draw 4.8 fouls per home half, back over 4.5 bookings at 60% hit rate;
• Santos net zero first-half goals in four of five, Palmeiras lead at HT in 55% of away wins, first half under 1.0 goals lands consistently;
• November Santos warmth, 25-28°C clear skies, keeps grass quick, suiting Palmeiras’ 61% possession, expect 11+ total corners;
• Vitor Roque scores in 70% of Palmeiras road starts, Santos leak 1.6 at home, Roque anytime scorer carries value;
• With Flamengo next, Palmeiras rotate lightly, their bench depth averages 1.2 goals sub impact, second half over 1.5 tempts.

Santos vs Palmeiras Match Prediction 2025

Santos vs Palmeiras odds favor Verdao at 1.95, but we call a 1-1 draw, stakes freezing both into caution. Santos score late in four of five, Palmeiras concede in three straight, BTTS hits 60% for hosts at home. Poisson models 38% draw prob, xG splits even at 1.4 each, Santos create 1.1 at Vila when desperate. Palmeiras winless in two, road points drop when trailing half, Santos 100% home when leading early. Neymar boosts attack, but Verdao’s depth counters, clean sheet streak ends. Under 2.5 fits H2H, fear of loss breeds stalemate.

Our Prediction: Santos 1-1 Palmeiras

At BC.Game, we thrive on these tense derbies where draws pay big. Bet on match – Santos vs Palmeiras you can make at bc.game, snag enhanced odds, and bank the standoff, our markets deliver.