Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund (3:2): FIFA Club World Cup 05/07/2025

Jul 05, 2025

Status: Finished

3-2

FIFA Club World Cup

Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund

Set a reminder on your phone because July 5, 2025, is bound to be a memorable night for football fans. Real Madrid squares up against Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup, and the stakes could hardly be higher. When two of Europes biggest names meet, the winner earns the right to chase global glory, getting one game away from the trophy and a fresh chapter in their storied history.

Kick-off comes at 20:00 GMT in New Jersey, under the bright floodlights of MetLife Stadium, where every one of the 82,566 seats is expected to shake with noise. Brazilian referee Wilton Sampaio, well known for staying calm even when the pressure is off the charts, will oversee the action. Fans in the stadium and millions watching at home know that the victor here will then face either Bayern Munich or Paris Saint-Germain in a mouth-watering semi-final showdown.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To nail your Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction today, you need to dig into the nitty-gritty of both teams’ recent performances. Real Madrid have been a juggernaut, but Dortmund’s resurgence under Niko Kovac makes them a wildcard. Past head-to-heads add spice, with Madrid dominating but Dortmund showing they can bite. This section sets you up to understand the form, key players, and tactical battles that’ll shape the outcome. Let’s break down the numbers and see what’s cooking.

Real Madrid Results

Real Madrid step onto the pitch in high spirits, their undefeated run at the Club World Cup underscoring the squads pedigree on major stages. Under Xabi Alonso the side blends tactical flexibility with clinical attack, often switching flows mid-game to exploit opposing gaps. Recent outings bear witness to that synergy; midfield press, quick wing release, and precise finishers now work almost in tandem. Statistically, shot volume is up, possession under pressure is held longer, and defensive errors have dropped, signs that this Madrid is both aggressive and disciplined.

Real Madrid’s form is rock-solid, with four wins and a draw in their last five. The draw against Al-Hilal was a wake-up call, but they’ve since steamrolled opponents, scoring eight goals while conceding just one. Their ability to grind out a 1-0 against Juventus shows defensive steel, while the Barcelona win highlights their clutch mentality. Alonso’s 3-5-2 has unlocked new attacking angles, with seven players contributing shots on target against Juve. This team’s depth and adaptability make them a nightmare to face.

Borussia Dortmund Results

Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund have undergone a stunning revival, transforming from mid-table Bundesliga strugglers to a fearless unit. Niko Kovac’s high-pressing system has unleashed their attacking talent, with Serhou Guirassy leading the charge. Their recent results scream momentum, setting up an intriguing clash.

Dortmunds three wins and two draws in the last five matches show they are peaking. The 4-3 thriller with Mamelodi exposed defensive cracks, yet shutouts against Ulsan and Monterrey signal progress. Guirassys six attempts against Monterrey highlight his finishing, and Adeyemis creativity has changed games. Kovacs side thrives in open, chaotic contests, a style that could trouble Madrid if they over-commit. This squad plays with growing belief, confidence, and unmistakable swagger.

Who will win Saturday’s FIFA Club World Cup clash between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund?

Real Madrid > Draw > Borussia Dortmund >

Real Madrid

58%

Draw

22%

Borussia Dortmund

20%

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Results

Two European giants have crossed paths many times, and Madrid has usually recorded the better recent numbers. Meetings are marked by explosive scoring, strategic adjustments, and moments of high theatre. A look at the last five clashes reveals who seized the upper hand.

Madrid has racked up four consecutive wins against Dortmund, capped by a stunning 5-2 rout in 2024, handing the Spaniards a noticeable confidence boost. Still, even in defeat, the Bundesliga side generated chances and showed it can exploit a disorganised defence whenever room to run is made available.

Predicted Lineups for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Football Match

With their FIFA Club World Cup quarter-final on July 5, 2025, looming, supporters are keen to know what teams will take the pitch. Given both clubs are currently grappling with injuries and disciplinary absences, head coaches Xabi Alonso and Niko Kovac will be required to dig deep into the squad, making tactical adjustments on the fly. Below, the expected starting eleven for each side has been assembled based on available personnel, recent form, and the strategic patterns each manager favours.

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup

Courtois (GK), Rudiger (DF), Tchouameni (DF), Huijsen (DF), Alexander-Arnold (DF), Bellingham (MF), Valverde (MF), Guler (MF), Garcia (MF), Mbappe (FW), Vinicius (FW)

Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup

Kobel (GK), Sule (DF), Anton (DF), Bensebaini (DF), Ryerson (MF), Nmecha (MF), Gross (MF), Svensson (MF), Sabitzer (MF), Adeyemi (FW), Guirassy (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Both clubs arrive at this decisive fixture missing key personnel whose absence is likely to influence tactical planning. Injuries, suspensions, and extended international duty leave coaches with limited options, compelling them to rethink their line-ups. The chart below summarises sidelined players, the respective clubs, and the reasons behind their unavailability.

Key Factors to Watch

To make a smart Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match prediction, you’ve got to zero in on the details that could tilt the game. Both teams are in top form, but injuries, tactical tweaks, and individual brilliance will likely decide this one. Here’s what to keep an eye on as the battle unfolds.

• Real Madrid’s injury crisis: Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Endrick, and Ferland Mendy are out, thinning their squad depth;
• Dortmund’s absentees: Emre Can, Salih Ozcan, and Nico Schlotterbeck are sidelined, weakening their defensive core;
• Mbappe’s form: Kylian Mbappe’s return from illness makes him a game-changer, with his pace and finishing a constant threat;
• Guirassy’s hot streak: Serhou Guirassy’s three goals in the tournament make him Dortmund’s dangerman, especially in transition;
• Alonso’s tactical shift: Xabi Alonso’s 3-5-2 has added fluidity to Madrid’s attack, but it’s vulnerable to counterattacks;
• Dortmund’s pressing game: Kovac’s high press could disrupt Madrid’s rhythm, forcing errors in buildup;
• Bellingham’s influence: Jude Bellingham’s familiarity with Dortmund could give Madrid an edge in midfield battles;
• Recent momentum: Both teams are unbeaten in their last five, but Madrid’s experience in big games gives them a slight advantage.

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Free Tips on Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

A careful look at numbers and recent trends can sharpen your pre-game approach to wagering on the Real Madrid-Borussia Dortmund quarter-final. From head-to-head records to the state of the MetLife pitch, these elements can tilt the result in either teams favour. Below are five clear pointers intended to inform your bets for this FIFA Club World Cup fixture.

• Historical scoring trends: Real Madrid and Dortmund’s last five meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game, with three matches seeing both teams score, suggesting a high chance of goals in this encounter;
• Home vs. neutral venue dynamics: Real Madrid’s Club World Cup games on neutral turf show a 100% win rate, while Dortmund’s mixed results in similar settings hint at Madrid’s edge in big-stage moments;
• Referee tendencies: Brazilian referee Abatti R. averages 4.2 cards per game, so bets on over 3.5 cards could be smart, especially in a high-stakes, intense matchup;
• Pitch and weather impact: MetLife Stadium’s artificial turf favors fast, technical play, which suits Madrid’s possession game, but light rain forecast could make the surface slick, boosting Dortmund’s counterattacking threat;
• Fixture fatigue: Dortmund’s congested schedule, with four games in eight days, may lead to tired legs, while Madrid’s slightly lighter load gives them a freshness advantage.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction 2025

When I look ahead to Real Madrid versus Borussia Dortmund in 2025, I keep landing on a slim Madrid win, probably 2-1. Los Blancos have never lost the Club World Cup and they have beaten Dortmund four times in a row, facts that sit in their favour like a boxer who enjoys a mental edge before the bell. Under Xabi Alonso, the team mixes a 3-5-2 shield with Mbappé’s explosive charges, a setup likely to test a Dortmund back line missing Nico Schlotterbeck. Still, Dortmund’s relentless press and Serhou Guirassy’s rich scoring form promise chances of their own, so dont be shocked if they pinch a goal on the counter. The pre-match odds give Madrid the spotlight, yet the real value is backing a tight duel where both find the net. Madrid’s squad depth-Vinicius, Bellingham, and others-carriers in big moments, yet Dortmund’s record of nine wins from ten means they arrive as stubborn opponents. Expect a cautious opening forty-five before space expands and Madrid’s history in finals tips the balance. For those betting on the clash, Mbappé as an anytime scorer and over 2.5 total goals stand out given the firepower each side brings.

Our Prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

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