The UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 Group B game between Portugal Women and Italy Women will be held on Monday, July 7, 2025, at 19:00 GMT at the Stade de Genève in Geneva, Switzerland. The stadium can hold 30,084 people. In this important second-round match in the women’s football tournament, Portugal is trying to stay in the running for the knockout round, while Italy is trying to win again to move on to the quarter-finals. There is no information about the referee at this time.
Portugal is under a lot of pressure after losing 5-0 to Spain in their first game. They need points to stay in the tournament. Italy’s 1-0 win over Belgium, on the other hand, has given them more confidence. They will try to use their strong defense and recent streak of not losing to outsmart a Portuguese team that is having a hard time.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This section provides key insights to guide your Portugal Women vs Italy Women prediction today. We can get a sense of each team’s form and possible strategy by looking at how they have played recently. Historical head-to-head games give us useful information on how these teams compare to each other. The next study will look at their last five games and their historical meetings. This will help you make smart bets on this important Group B game.
Portugal Women Results
Portugal Women’s previous games haven’t gone well, and their Euro 2025 campaign got off to a bad start. Their 5-0 loss against Spain showed that their defense wasn’t very good and they didn’t have much of an attacking threat. The table below shows a summary of their last five games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 03/07/25 | EUR | Spain W vs Portugal W | 5-0 | L |
| 23/06/25 | FI | Portugal W vs Nigeria W | 0-0 | D |
| 03/06/25 | UNL | Portugal W vs Belgium W | 0-3 | L |
| 30/05/25 | UNL | England W vs Portugal W | 6-0 | L |
| 08/04/25 | UNL | Spain W vs Portugal W | 7-1 | L |
Portugal’s recent performance is worrying; they have lost four of their previous five games and drawn one. They’ve given up 21 goals in these games, which shows that their defense isn’t very strong. They haven’t been able to score in their last four games, which shows that their attack isn’t working well together. The big losses to Spain and England show that they have trouble playing top-tier teams. To beat Italy’s strong defense, a big improvement is needed.
Italy Women Results
In their last few games, Italy Women have been tough and stayed disciplined on defense. Their 1-0 win over Belgium in the first game of Euro 2025 was a great start. The table below shows their last five games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 03/07/25 | EUR | Belgium W vs Italy W | 0-1 | W |
| 03/06/25 | UNL | Wales W vs Italy W | 1-4 | W |
| 30/05/25 | UNL | Italy W vs Sweden W | 0-0 | D |
| 08/04/25 | UNL | Denmark W vs Italy W | 0-3 | W |
| 04/04/25 | UNL | Sweden W vs Italy W | 3-2 | L |
Italy has been playing well lately, winning three of their previous five games and drawing one. They have a good defense, with three clean sheets in four games. They showed they could get results by beating Belgium 1-0. The loss to Sweden was close, which shows that they can still compete even when they lose. They have an advantage over a Portugal team that is losing steam.
Portugal Women vs Italy Women Head-to-Head Results
Historical matches between Portugal Women and Italy Women provide us a look at their rivalry. Italy has won all five of its documented encounters against them. The table below shows how they did against each other.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 04/03/20 | ALG | Portugal W vs Italy W | 1-2 |
| 08/06/18 | WC | Italy W vs Portugal W | 3-0 |
| 28/11/17 | WC | Portugal W vs Italy W | 0-1 |
| 27/03/10 | WC | Portugal W vs Italy W | 1-3 |
| 23/09/09 | WC | Italy W vs Portugal W | 2-0 |
Italy has won all five of their games against Portugal, which shows how strong they have been in the past. They have routinely scored while keeping Portugal’s offense at bay, giving up only two goals in these encounters. This tendency makes it likely that Italy will win the next match.
Predicted Football Lineups for Portugal Women vs Italy Women
The expected lineups for this soccer game show how each club is likely to set up their defense. Portugal may remain with their 4-4-2 formation in the hopes of making their defense more stable. Italy, on the other hand, is likely to stick with their 3-5-2 system, which gives them control of the midfield and a strong defense.
Portugal Women Predicted Lineup (4-4-2): I. Pereira (GK), D. Gomes (DF), C. Costa (DF), A. Borges (DF), C. Amado (DF), F. Pinto (MF), A. Jacinto (MF), T. Pinto (MF), A. Norton (MF), J. Silva (FW), D. Silva (FW)
Italy Women Predicted Lineup (3-5-2): L. Giuliani (GK), M. Lenzini (DF), C. Salvai (DF), E. Linari (DF), L. D. Guglielmo (MF), A. Caruso (MF), M. Giugliano (MF), E. Severini (MF), B. Bonansea (MF), S. Cantore (FW), M. Cambiaghi (FW)
Unavailable Players
Both teams might have players who are missing, which could affect how well they play. The table below shows players that are expected to miss the game because they are hurt.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Portugal Women | Kika Nazareth | Ankle Injury |
| Italy Women | None Reported | – |
Portugal’s Kika Nazareth, a crucial playmaker, is still out, which makes their attacking options even worse. Italy has a full squad to choose from because there have been no reports of injuries. This gives them a small edge in squad depth.
Key Factors to Watch
There are a few key things that could decide the outcome of this match. Recent games and games between the two clubs in the past help set expectations. Here are the most important things to keep an eye on:
- Portugal’s Weaknesses in Defense: Giving up 21 goals in their last five games shows a big flaw;
- Italy’s Defense: They have shut out their last three opponents, which shows how good they are at shutting down the other team;
- Portugal’s Lack of Goals: They haven’t scored in their last four games, which makes many worried about their attack;
- Italy’s Unbeaten Run: Three wins and one tie in four games show that they are on a roll;
- Cristiana Girelli’s Impact: The seasoned Italian striker has scored 53 goals for her country and is always a threat;
- Portugal’s Must-Win Situation: If Spain doesn’t lose to Belgium, Portugal might be out of the tournament;
- Arianna Caruso’s ingenuity could control the pace of the game in Italy’s midfield;
- Kika Nazareth is not there: Portugal’s playmaker is hurt, which makes their midfield less dynamic.
Free Tips on Portugal Women vs Italy Women
This part gives useful betting advice for the Portugal Women vs. Italy Women match based on how the teams have done in the past and how they have done recently. These insights focus on things that could affect the outcome without repeating the main points above. Use these to help you decide how to bet:
- Think about how Italy has done in head-to-head matches: Italy has a 5-0 record versus Portugal, which means they are more likely to win again, making them a safer choice.
- Look at Low-Scoring Trends: Portugal hasn’t been able to score lately, and Italy’s defense is quite strong. This suggests that the total goals market will be low, possibly under 2.5 goals.
- Take into account how Portugal does at home and away: Portugal may not do well at a neutral site like Stade de Genève, since they have had trouble beating stronger teams when they are not at home.
- Keep an eye on Arianna Caruso’s influence: She scored a lot of goals against Belgium, which gives her a good choice for an anytime goalscorer bet.
- Look for First-Half Results: Portugal has a history of giving up early, like when they lost 5-0 to Spain, thus Italy might be ahead at half-time.
- Consider the stadium atmosphere: the neutral location makes it less likely that the home fans will affect the game, which is probably good for Italy’s disciplined style of play compared to Portugal’s weak morale.
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Portugal Women vs Italy Women Prediction 2025
Italy Women are favored to win this Group B encounter, given their superior form and historical dominance over Portugal Women. The Portugal Women vs Italy Women odds reflect Italy’s momentum, with three wins in their last four matches and a robust defensive record. Portugal, on the other hand, just lost 5-0 to Spain and hasn’t scored in their last four games, which shows that they have big problems on both offense and defense. Italy’s 1-0 triumph over Belgium showed that they can win close games, and Arianna Caruso’s goal showed how dangerous they are on offense. Their 3-5-2 shape, which has a strong backline and a creative midfield, should take advantage of Portugal’s weak defense, especially because Kika Nazareth, their key playmaker, is absent. Italy’s perfect 5-0 record versus Portugal in head-to-head matches makes them even more likely to win. Portugal has to win, but they have given up 21 goals in their last five games, so it will be hard for them to break Italy’s three clean sheets in four games. Italy should win 1-0, which will get them closer to the quarter-finals. The match is likely to be competitive, but Italy’s confidence and tactical discipline should help them win.
Our Prediction: Portugal Women 0-1 Italy Women
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Italy Women to Win | 1.69 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.8 |
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