Poland vs Scotland (1:2): UEFA Nations League 18/11/2024

November 18, 2024
Status: Finished
1-2
UEFA Nations League
Poland
Scotland
match decor

Poland will square off Scotland in a pivotal UEFA Nations League Group A1 game on November 18, 2024. Starting at 19:45 GMT+0, the game will take place at Warsaw, Poland’s PGE Narodowy stadium. German official Christian Dingert will referee the game. Given both teams have a lot at stake, this looks to be a fantastic football match. While Scotland’s narrow chances of moving to the quarter-finals depend on a win, Poland wants to maintain their League A position.

This game will be crucial in deciding their destiny in the Nations League as both sides keep their campaign going. While Scotland’s triumph over Croatia has kept their survival prospects alive, Poland will be aiming to recover from their severe loss against Portugal and avoid relegation. This pivotal game will take place at the PGE Narodowy stadium as both sides struggle for their Nations League future.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Poland vs Scotland prediction today suggests that Poland will have the advantage, especially considering their strong home form and recent head-to-head record. Scotland has shown endurance, though, and their triumph against Croatia could provide the confidence needed to guarantee a good outcome in Warsaw. Poland will find this game difficult given their recent challenges in the Nations League, especially without their top player Robert Lewandowski. Conversely, Scotland will mostly depend on John McGinn to maintain his consistent performance and preserve their chances of survival. Both teams should be closely matched, but Poland’s recent performance against Scotland and their home advantage might swing the scales in their favor.

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Poland Results

Poland’s recent performance has been erratic; they will have to improve to stay out of League A’s bottom run-off. Though they have lost, the team has managed to save some points in demanding games. Poland will need other players to take front stage sans Robert Lewandowski.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
15.11.24UNLPortugal vs Poland5-1L
15.10.24UNLPoland vs Croatia3-3D
12.10.24UNLPoland vs Portugal1-3L
08.09.24UNLCroatia vs Poland1-0L
05.09.24UNLScotland vs Poland2-3W

Poland’s last five games have been a mixture of defeats and draws, including a heavy 5-1 loss to Portugal. With just one win in their last five Nations League games, their ability to perform without Lewandowski remains in question. The team has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in recent matches, which may make them vulnerable against Scotland’s attacking players.

Scotland Results

Scotland will be hoping to build on their recent win against Croatia to keep their survival hopes alive. Despite an extended winless run, their victory over Croatia showed that they can still compete at the highest level. However, their away form has been poor, which could pose a problem in this crucial match.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
15.11.24UNLScotland vs Croatia1-0W
15.10.24UNLScotland vs Portugal0-0D
12.10.24UNLCroatia vs Scotland2-1L
08.09.24UNLPortugal vs Scotland2-1L
05.09.24UNLScotland vs Poland2-3L

Scotland has shown resilience in recent games, especially in their 1-0 victory over Croatia, but their away form remains concerning. Despite only one win in their last seven away games, they managed to pull off a historic win in Poland earlier in 2014. Scotland will need to improve their consistency on the road if they are to avoid relegation.

Poland vs Scotland Head-to-Head

Poland and Scotland have faced off in recent years, with both teams having their share of successes. Poland leads in terms of overall wins, but Scotland’s resilience could make this match much tighter than expected.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
05.09.24UNLScotland vs Poland2-3
24.03.22FIScotland vs Poland1-1
08.10.15EURScotland vs Poland2-2
14.10.14EURPoland vs Scotland2-2
05.03.14FIPoland vs Scotland0-1

With both sides scoring wins and draws, the latest head-to-head record reveals a closely fought competition. Poland has dominated the most recent meetings; Scotland’s most recent triumph came in 2014. Given the present form of both sides, another close game is expected, and a draw or narrow victory for either side looks most plausible.

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Predicted Line-ups for Poland vs Scotland

Here we will review the expected line-ups for Poland and Scotland ahead of their pivotal UEFA Nations League game. Understanding the tactical strategy and possible on-field alignment of the teams depends on knowing their starting line-ups. Analyzing the formations and player roles helps us to understand the possible dynamics of the contest.

Poland Predicted Line-up

Poland is expected to line up in a 3-5-2 formation. With key players like Robert Lewandowski and Arkadiusz Milik unavailable, the Polish team will rely on others to step up. Here is the predicted starting XI: Marcin Bułka (GK); Kamil Piątkowski (DF), Sebastian Walukiewicz (DF), Jakub Kiwior (DF); Jakub Kamiński (MF), Krystian Bielik (MF), Piotr Zieliński (MF), Nicola Zalewski (MF), Dominik Marczuk (MF); Krzysztof Piątek (FW), Karol Świderski (FW)

Poland football team starting lineup for UEFA Nations League match against Scotland on 18/11/2024.

Scotland Predicted Line-up

Scotland is likely to play in a 4-2-3-1 formation. With Steve Clarke needing to make key decisions regarding the attacking line-up, particularly due to injuries and fitness issues, the following line-up is anticipated: Craig Gordon (GK); Anthony Ralston (RB), John Souttar (CB), Grant Hanley (CB), Andrew Robertson (LB); Billy Gilmour (CDM), Scott McTominay (CDM); Ryan Christie (RW), Kenny McLean (AM), Ben Doak (LW); Lyndon Dykes (FW)

Scotland football team starting lineup for UEFA Nations League match against Poland on 18/11/2024.

Injuries and Unavailable Players

Both teams are facing injury issues that could affect their starting line-ups. Key players will be missing, and this could lead to changes in tactics or personnel.

Poland Missing Players

Poland will be without their captain and all-time top scorer, Robert Lewandowski, who is sidelined with a back injury. This is a major blow to their attacking power. Additionally, striker Arkadiusz Milik is also unavailable, forcing Poland to turn to Krzysztof Piątek and Karol Świderski in attack.

  • Robert Lewandowski (Striker) – Back injury;
  • Arkadiusz Milik (Striker) – Injury;
  • Pawel Dawidowicz (Defender) – Injury.

Scotland Missing Players

For Scotland, several players are struggling with fitness, which has resulted in some uncertainty regarding the starting XI. Ben Doak has been a key player recently but will likely continue to feature. However, Scotland’s forward line is uncertain, with Lyndon Dykes, Tommy Conway, and Lawrence Shankland all competing for the spot up front. Additionally, McGinn may not start due to his fitness level.

  • Che Adams (Striker) – Withdrawn due to injury;
  • John McGinn (Midfielder) – Fitness concerns.

These injuries and absences will certainly have an impact on both teams’ tactical setup and overall performance in this crucial match.

Key Match Insights

Here are the key factors to watch out for in this match:

  • Poland’s home form: Poland has lost just one of their last 11 home games;
  • Scotland’s away form: Scotland has won only one of their last seven away games;
  • Lewandowski’s absence: Poland’s talismanic forward will miss the match, which could be a significant blow to their attacking options;
  • Scotland’s defensive improvement: Scotland has kept two consecutive clean sheets;
  • Poland’s goal-scoring struggles: They have conceded 13 goals in their last five matches;
  • Scotland’s win over Croatia: Their victory against Croatia gave them hope but was largely due to a red card for Croatia;
  • Poland’s recent defeats: Poland has struggled against top teams like Portugal;
  • Scotland’s recent head-to-head advantage: Scotland has a strong record against Poland in recent years.
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Free Tips on Poland vs Scotland

Before placing your bet on the Poland vs Scotland match, it’s important to consider various factors that could influence the outcome. The following tips will provide insights into key aspects of the teams’ form, playing conditions, and other elements that could impact the game. By evaluating these factors, you’ll be better prepared to make a more informed prediction.

  • Poland’s recent form has been a mix of ups and downs, with some solid home victories alongside a few tough losses. Conversely, Scotland will enter the match with renewed confidence after their hard-fought win over Croatia. It’s essential to consider how each team has performed recently, as teams on a winning streak are more likely to maintain momentum.
  • For Poland, the absence of key players can greatly affect their performance. Always check for updates regarding injuries or suspensions before placing a bet. Injuries to star players like Robert Lewandowski can tilt the balance of the match, potentially opening the door for Scotland to capitalize on the missing firepower.
  • Poland will be playing in front of their home fans at the PGE Narodowy, a factor that historically gives them an advantage. However, Scotland has had some solid performances on the road, including an unexpected win in Poland back in 2014. Be sure to assess how each team performs at home versus away, as this can significantly impact the match dynamics.
  • Poland’s attacking approach could be tested against Scotland’s well-organized defense, especially if Scotland plays with a counter-attacking strategy. A team that prefers to control possession may struggle if their opponent excels at breaking quickly. Understanding each team’s tactical setup will give you an edge when predicting goals or potential outcomes.
  • Check the weather forecast for match day. Rain or other adverse weather conditions could make the pitch slower, affecting the players’ ability to move quickly or maintain possession. If the weather turns, it might benefit a team that relies on a more direct or physical style of play, so consider the conditions before finalizing your bet.
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Match Prediction 2024: Poland vs Scotland

Poland vs Scotland odds are likely to be close given the current form of both teams. Poland has home advantage and a better head-to-head record, but without Lewandowski, their attack may be less potent. Scotland’s recent win over Croatia gives them a boost, but their poor away form suggests they might struggle in Warsaw. This match could end in a draw or a narrow victory for Poland. Given the circumstances, Poland is expected to win, but Scotland will fight hard for survival.

Our Prediction: Poland 2-1 Scotland

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultPoland Win2.14
Total GoalsOver 2.51.47
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.77
Correct Score2-1 Poland8.75

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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