Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca (2:2): UEFA Europa League 17/07/2025

Jul 17, 2025

Status: Finished

2-2

UEFA Europa League

Partizan Belgrade

AEK Larnaca

Get ready for a tense showdown as Partizan Belgrade host AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa League first qualifying round, second leg, on July 17, 2025, at 19:00 GMT+0 at Stadion Partizana in Belgrade. With a capacity of 29,775, the stadium will be buzzing, referee Gustavo Correia from Portugal overseeing the action, and Partizan needing to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg to keep their European dreams alive.

AEK Larnaca come off a disciplined performance in the first leg, their defensive solidity proving key, while Partizan’s home crowd could be the spark they need to flip the tie. The Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca match prediction hinges on whether the hosts can break through AEK’s compact setup or if the visitors will hold firm and advance.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To craft a sharp Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca prediction today, we need to dive into recent form and historical clashes. Both teams are early in their competitive seasons, making pre-season results and past encounters critical for understanding their mindset. Partizan’s attacking intent at home will be tested against AEK’s resolute defense. Head-to-head stats show AEK’s slight edge, but Belgrade’s hostile atmosphere could shift the dynamic. Let’s break down the numbers to see what’s at play.

Partizan Belgrade Results

Partizan Belgrade’s recent performances reveal a team with flashes of brilliance but struggling for consistency, especially in Europe. Their pre-season was rocky, marked by losses to stronger sides, and their first-leg defeat to AEK exposed offensive woes. The table below shows their last five matches across all competitions.

Partizan’s two wins in the Serbian SuperLiga show their attacking potential, averaging 3.5 goals in those victories. However, their three straight losses, including the first leg, highlight defensive frailties, conceding seven goals across those games. The home win against Vojvodina suggests they can rally with fan support. Scoring in four of five matches is a positive, but clean sheets are rare. They’ll need to sharpen up to breach AEK’s defense.

AEK Larnaca Results

AEK Larnaca enter this match with confidence, bolstered by their first-leg win and a solid pre-season. Their defensive organization under coach Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegui has been a hallmark, though their attack is still finding its rhythm. Below are their last five matches across all competitions.

AEK’s unbeaten run in their last five games underscores their resilience, with three wins and two draws. Their defensive record is impressive, keeping clean sheets in two of five matches, including the crucial first-leg victory. Scoring in four of five games shows attacking intent, though draws against Anderlecht and Seraing suggest they can be stretched by dynamic offenses. Their ability to grind out results away will be key in Belgrade. The Cyprus Cup win highlights their knack for performing under pressure.

Who will win Thursday’s Europa League clash between Partizan Belgrade and AEK Larnaca?

Partizan Belgrade > Draw > AEK Larnaca >

Partizan Belgrade

25%

Draw

30%

AEK Larnaca

45%

Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca Head-to-Head Results

The history between these two sides adds spice to the Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca prediction 2025. Their three prior meetings, all in the 2022-23 Europa League qualifiers, were tight, with AEK holding the edge. Below are the last three encounters, as five are not available due to limited historical matchups.

AEK’s dominance is clear, with two wins and a draw, scoring five goals to Partizan’s three. The Cypriots’ ability to score at home and hold firm away suggests they’re comfortable in this matchup. Partizan’s draw in Belgrade shows they can compete, but they’ve yet to beat AEK, which could weigh on their mindset.

Predicted Lineups for Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca Football Match

To get a sense of how the Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca clash on July 17, 2025, might unfold in the UEFA Europa League, let’s look at the likely starting elevens for both sides. These predicted lineups consider recent team news, player availability, and tactical preferences based on past performances. Below, I’ve outlined the expected starters for each team, factoring in injuries like Partizan’s Stefan Milic and Ibrahim Zubairu, and AEK’s Giorgos Naoum, to give you a clear picture of who might take the pitch.

Partizan Belgrade Predicted Lineup

With key players sidelined, Partizan’s manager will likely lean on attacking intent at home to overturn the 1-0 deficit.

Jovanovic (GK), Stojkovic (DF), Markovic (DF), Pavlovic (DF), Antic (DF), Nikolic (MF), Natho (MF), Bazdar (MF), Kalulu (FW), Natcho (FW), Goh (FW).

AEK Larnaca Predicted Lineup

AEK’s coach Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegui is expected to stick with a compact, counter-attacking setup that worked in the first leg.

Pirin (GK), Rosales (DF), Milicevic (DF), Gonzalez (DF), Garcia (DF), Ledes (MF), Pons (MF), Faraj (MF), Lopes (FW), Giousis (FW), Trickovski (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

To nail the Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca betting tips, we need to zoom in on critical elements shaping this match. Both teams are in the early stages of their seasons, so form, injuries, and momentum are pivotal. Here’s what could decide the outcome:

• Partizan’s Home Form: Two wins in their last five competitive home games show potential, but recent losses expose inconsistency;
• AEK’s Defensive Strength: Clean sheets in five of their last seven matches across all competitions highlight a tough backline;
• Partizan’s Injury Woes: Stefan Milic (leg) and Ibrahim Zubairu (ankle) are out, thinning their defensive and midfield options;
• AEK’s Injury Concern: Giorgos Naoum’s muscle injury sidelines him until July 23, but AEK’s squad depth mitigates this;
• Partizan’s Scoring Streak: They’ve scored in 16 of their last 17 away games, suggesting they’ll test AEK’s defense;
• AEK’s Away Struggles: No wins in their last four away games, with three goalless outings, could limit their ambition;
• Recent Scandals: No major controversies reported, but Partizan’s fanbase is known for creating a hostile atmosphere;
• Momentum: AEK’s unbeaten run contrasts with Partizan’s three-game losing streak, giving the visitors a psychological edge.

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Free Tips on Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca

To make informed betting decisions for the Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca match on July 17, 2025, in the UEFA Europa League, you need to dig into the stats and context that shape this clash. The following tips, drawn from team and player data, past encounters, and tactical trends, will help you spot value bets. Here are five key pointers to guide your Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca betting tips.

• Check Recent Scoring Trends: Partizan have scored in 16 of their last 17 away games, averaging 1.7 goals per match, while AEK have netted in four of their last five, with a 1.7 goals-per-game average; look for both teams to score as a strong betting option.
• Evaluate Pitch and Weather Impact: Light rain is forecast for Belgrade on match day, with temperatures around 19.6°C, potentially making the grass pitch at Stadion Partizana slower and favoring AEK’s counter-attacking style over Partizan’s build-up play.
• Assess Referee Tendencies: Referee Gustavo Correia averages 4.5 yellow cards per game in European matches; consider betting on over 3.5 cards, as Partizan’s physical approach (9 yellows in 3 prior meetings) could lead to a feisty encounter.
• Factor in Fixture Congestion: Partizan’s recent schedule included tough friendlies against Russian sides, while AEK played three pre-season games in June; Partizan’s busier calendar might lead to fatigue, giving AEK an edge in energy levels.
• Look at League Context: AEK’s fourth-place finish in the Cyprus League and cup win show consistency, while Partizan’s second-place Serbian SuperLiga finish masks their European struggles (winless in eight qualifiers); AEK’s experience could tip the scales.

Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca Match Prediction

For the Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca prediction 2025, I’m leaning toward a draw. Partizan’s home advantage and vocal crowd at Stadion Partizana could spark a response after their first-leg loss, but AEK’s disciplined defense, led by a compact 4-3-3 under Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegui, is built to frustrate. Partizan’s missing players, like Milic and Zubairu, weaken their backline, and their recent losses (three in a row) suggest they’re not firing on all cylinders. AEK, meanwhile, have kept clean sheets in five of seven recent games, and their 1-0 first-leg win shows they can handle pressure. The Partizan Belgrade vs AEK Larnaca odds reflect AEK as slight favorites (2.25 vs. 3.51 for Partizan, 3.20 for a draw), but Partizan’s scoring consistency (17 goals in 10 games) means they’re likely to find the net. However, AEK’s knack for low-scoring games (under 2.5 goals in all three of their last Europa League matches) points to a stalemate. A 1-1 draw feels likely, with Partizan pushing hard but AEK holding firm to progress on aggregate.

Our Prediction: Partizan Belgrade 1-1 AEK Larnaca

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