The highly anticipated Paulista Derby between Palmeiras and Corinthians is set to ignite the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 second leg, promising a thrilling clash at Allianz Parque. With both teams showcasing competitive form, this Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction 2025 aims to guide fans and bettors through the key factors influencing the outcome.
Scheduled for Thursday, August 7, 2025, at 00:30 GMT+0, the match will take place at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, with a capacity of 43,713. The referee has not been officially announced, but a seasoned official is expected given the high stakes of this Copa do Brasil knockout stage encounter.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To craft an accurate Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction today, we delve into the teams’ recent performances and historical clashes. Both sides have shown resilience, but their form and head-to-head records reveal critical insights. Palmeiras’ home advantage could play a pivotal role, while Corinthians’ defensive solidity adds intrigue. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at their latest results and past meetings. Understanding these dynamics is key to informed betting decisions.
Palmeiras Results
Palmeiras have been a formidable force in the Copa do Brasil, with a mix of strong wins and a recent setback. Their home form at Allianz Parque remains a significant advantage. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 04/08/2025 | Serie A | Vitoria vs Palmeiras | 2-2 | D |
| 31/07/2025 | Copa do Brasil | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 1-0 | L |
| 27/07/2025 | Serie A | Palmeiras vs Gremio | 1-0 | W |
| 24/07/2025 | Serie A | Fluminense vs Palmeiras | 1-2 | W |
| 20/07/2025 | Serie A | Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG | 3-2 | W |
Palmeiras’ recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss, highlighting their attacking prowess with an average of 1.67 goals scored per game in the Copa do Brasil. Their sole defeat came against Corinthians in the first leg, exposing vulnerabilities on the road. At home, they remain unbeaten in the listed matches, suggesting confidence at Allianz Parque. The draw against Vitoria indicates defensive lapses that Corinthians could exploit. However, their ability to score consistently makes them a threat.
Corinthians Results
Corinthians have displayed remarkable consistency in the Copa do Brasil, remaining unbeaten in their last three matches. Their defensive resilience has been a hallmark, conceding no goals in the tournament so far. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 03/08/2025 | Serie A | Corinthians vs Fortaleza | 1-1 | D |
| 31/07/2025 | Copa do Brasil | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 1-0 | W |
| 27/07/2025 | Serie A | Botafogo RJ vs Corinthians | 1-1 | D |
| 24/07/2025 | Serie A | Corinthians vs Cruzeiro | 0-0 | D |
| 20/07/2025 | Serie A | Sao Paulo vs Corinthians | 2-0 | L |
Corinthians’ form reflects a strong defensive unit, conceding only four goals across five matches. Their victory over Palmeiras in the first leg showcases their ability to capitalize on key moments, with Memphis Depay’s goal proving decisive. Three draws in their last five games suggest difficulty converting chances, averaging just one goal per game in the Copa do Brasil. Their away form remains a concern, with no wins in the listed away matches. This could be a critical factor at Allianz Parque.
Head-to-Head: Palmeiras vs Corinthians
The Paulista Derby has a storied history, with both teams trading blows in tightly contested matches. Below are the results of their last five encounters across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 31/07/2025 | Copa do Brasil | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 1-0 |
| 13/04/2025 | Serie A | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | 2-0 |
| 28/03/2025 | Paulista A1 | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 0-0 |
| 16/03/2025 | Paulista A1 | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | 0-1 |
| 07/02/2025 | Paulista A1 | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | 1-1 |
The head-to-head record is balanced, with one win each, two draws, and Corinthians’ recent 1-0 victory in the first leg. Three of the five matches produced under 2.5 goals, indicating cautious, low-scoring affairs. Palmeiras’ home win in April 2025 suggests they can dominate at Allianz Parque, but Corinthians’ defensive resilience makes them a tough opponent.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Palmeiras vs Corinthians Football Match
The Palmeiras vs Corinthians match in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 second leg on August 7, 2025, at Allianz Parque will feature tactical lineups shaped by recent form and player availability. Below are the predicted starting lineups for both teams, reflecting their strategies for this critical knockout encounter.
Palmeiras Predicted Lineup
Weverton (GK), Giay (DF), Gomez (DF), Micael (DF), Piquerez (DF), Moreno (MF), Evangelista (MF), Torres (MF), Mauricio (MF), Luighi (MF), Roque (FW)

Corinthians Predicted Lineup
Souza (GK), Matheuzinho (DF), Ramalho (DF), Henrique (DF), Bidu (DF), Raniele (MF), Carrillo (MF), Bidon (MF), Garro (MF), Magno (FW), Depay (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries will impact both Palmeiras and Corinthians in this Copa do Brasil clash, potentially altering their tactical approaches. The table below lists players who are unavailable or doubtful, distinct from those in the predicted lineups, with their reasons for absence.
| Team | Player | Reason for Absence |
| Palmeiras | Bruno Fuchs | Thigh Injury |
| Palmeiras | Bruno Rodrigues | Knee Injury |
| Palmeiras | Murilo Cerqueira | Thigh Injury |
| Palmeiras | Paulinho | Leg Injury |
| Palmeiras | Gabriel Jesus | Ankle Injury (Doubtful) |
| Corinthians | Hugo Nogueira | Hernia |
| Corinthians | Maycon de Andrade | Thigh Injury |
| Corinthians | Gregory Wuthrich | Ankle Injury |
| Corinthians | Felix Torres | Hamstring Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements could shape the outcome of this Copa do Brasil clash. Both teams bring unique strengths and challenges to the pitch. Below are the critical factors to consider for bettors and fans.
- Palmeiras’ Home Form: Unbeaten in their last five home matches across all competitions, leveraging Allianz Parque’s atmosphere;
- Corinthians’ Defensive Solidity: Conceded zero goals in three Copa do Brasil matches this season;
- Palmeiras’ Attacking Output: Averaging 1.67 goals per game in the Copa do Brasil, led by Raphael Veiga and Estevao;
- Corinthians’ Away Struggles: No wins in their last three away matches across all competitions;
- Injuries for Palmeiras: Paulinho, Joaquin Piquerez, and Bruno Rodrigues are sidelined, potentially weakening their lineup;
- Injuries for Corinthians: Maycon and Felix Torres are unavailable, impacting midfield and defense;
- Recent Successes: Corinthians’ three-match unbeaten streak in the Copa do Brasil contrasts with Palmeiras’ recent loss;
- Head-to-Head Trends: Three of the last five matches between these teams had under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest.
Free Tips on Palmeiras vs Corinthians
To enhance your betting strategy for the Palmeiras vs Corinthians match on August 7, 2025, consider key statistical and contextual factors. This Copa do Brasil Round of 16 second leg at Allianz Parque is shaped by historical data and current team dynamics. Below are carefully selected tips to guide your betting decisions.
- Evaluate Recent Player Performances: Focus on key players like Palmeiras’ Raphael Veiga, who has been pivotal in their attack, versus Corinthians’ Memphis Depay, whose goal-scoring form could influence the outcome;
- Assess Tactical Matchups: Palmeiras’ aggressive attacking style may exploit Corinthians’ weaker away defense, while Corinthians’ counter-attacking approach could challenge Palmeiras’ backline;
- Consider Stadium Atmosphere: The passionate Allianz Parque crowd often boosts Palmeiras, potentially impacting Corinthians’ performance under pressure;
- Account for Pitch Conditions: Allianz Parque’s well-maintained natural grass pitch favors Palmeiras’ fluid passing game, potentially giving them an edge in ball control;
- Check Referee Tendencies: Investigate the appointed referee’s history, as some issue more cards, which could affect bets on disciplinary outcomes in this intense rivalry.
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Palmeiras vs Corinthians Match Prediction 2025
The Palmeiras vs Corinthians match prediction hinges on Palmeiras’ strong home record and Corinthians’ defensive resilience. Palmeiras are favored to win, leveraging their attacking firepower and the electric atmosphere at Allianz Parque. Their average of 1.67 goals per game in the Copa do Brasil, combined with players like Raphael Veiga and Estevao in form, gives them an edge. Corinthians, despite their 1-0 lead from the first leg, struggle away, failing to win in their last three away matches. Their defensive solidity, conceding no goals in the tournament, makes them a tough nut to crack, but injuries to key players like Maycon could limit their midfield control. The Palmeiras vs Corinthians odds reflect Palmeiras as favorites, likely due to their home advantage and consistent scoring. Historical trends suggest a low-scoring game, with three of the last five head-to-heads producing under 2.5 goals. Given Palmeiras’ need to overturn a one-goal deficit, expect an aggressive approach, but Corinthians’ compact defense could keep the scoreline tight. We predict a narrow Palmeiras victory, likely 1-0, to level the aggregate score and force a penalty shootout.
Our Prediction: Palmeiras 1-0 Corinthians
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Palmeiras Win | 1.58 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.54 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.56 |
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