Norway vs Senegal Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – FIFA World Cup 23/06/2026

FIFA World Cup
Norway vs Senegal
Tue, 23 June 2026 – 01:00
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poll
poll
2.22
Home
3.5
Draw
3.15
Away

Norway face Senegal on Tuesday, June 23, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The match kicks off as part of the group stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions after the first round of fixtures. Brazilian referee Wilton Sampaio will take charge of the contest at the iconic venue with a capacity of over 82,000 spectators.

This encounter carries significant implications for progression from the group. Norway arrive with strong momentum following their opening victory, while Senegal are under pressure after an opening defeat and must avoid a second loss that would seriously threaten their knockout stage hopes.

Norway vs Senegal Last Matches

Norway
• Last 5 matches •
W
D
W
D
L
Wins
2/5 (40%)
Draw
2/5 (40%)
Losses
1/5 (20%)
2.20
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
Recent results
17.06.26 — World Cup
Iraq 1 : 4 Norway
07.06.26 — Friendly
Morocco 1 : 1 Norway
01.06.26 — Friendly
Norway 3 : 1 Sweden
31.03.26 — Friendly
Norway 0 : 0 Switzerland
27.03.26 — Friendly
Netherlands 2 : 1 Norway
Show all 5 ▼
Senegal
• Last 5 matches •
L
D
L
W
W
Wins
2/5 (40%)
Draw
1/5 (20%)
Losses
2/5 (40%)
2.20
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
Recent results
16.06.26 — World Cup
France 3 : 1 Senegal
10.06.26 — Friendly
Saudi Arabia 0 : 0 Senegal
31.05.26 — Friendly
USA 3 : 2 Senegal
31.03.26 — Friendly
Senegal 3 : 1 Gambia
28.03.26 — Friendly
Senegal 2 : 0 Peru
Show all 5 ▼

Norway vs Senegal: Head to Head (H2H)

Head-to-Head
• Norway vs Senegal • 23/06/2026 (FIFA World Cup 2026)
Norway
Norway
0
wins (last H2H)
L
Senegal
Senegal
1
wins (last H2H)
W
Norway win
Draw
Senegal win
Norway Win
65%
Draw
20%
Senegal Win
15%
3.00
Total goals / game
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
1.00
Norway goals
2.00
Senegal goals
0%
Norway scored first
H2H recent meetings
01.03.2006 — Friendly
Senegal 2 : 1 Norway
Show all H2H ▼

Norway: Team News

Norway head into the crucial World Cup clash against Senegal in excellent shape. Ståle Solbakken’s side delivered a statement 4-1 victory over Iraq in their opening group game, continuing an impressive run of 11 consecutive wins in competitive internationals. During this streak, the Scandinavians have scored an astonishing 50 goals, showcasing their potent attacking threat.

Erling Haaland remains the focal point of the attack. The Manchester City striker has scored in 11 successive competitive appearances for his country, netting 22 goals in that period, including multiple-goal hauls in each of his last five outings. His movement, finishing, and link-up play continue to terrorise defences.

The squad benefits from a fully fit group with no fresh injury concerns. This allows Solbakken to field his strongest XI, likely sticking with the same dynamic setup that dismantled Iraq. Norway’s high pressing, quick transitions, and ability to score after half-time (12 of their last 14 competitive goals) make them extremely dangerous. After missing the World Cup for 28 years, the Norwegians are determined to make history by securing a second win and booking their place in the knockout stages.

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Senegal: Team News

Senegal face a must-win scenario against Norway following a difficult 1-3 defeat to France in their opening World Cup match. The Lions of Teranga are currently on a three-match winless run (D1, L2) — their first such streak since January 2023 — and have lost their last three World Cup games against European opponents.

Despite the result against France, there were positive signs. Young forward Ibrahim Mbaye became the youngest African scorer in World Cup history with his goal and now has the chance to become the first teenager to score in each of his first two World Cup appearances. Pape Thiaw will rely heavily on experience and leadership from key players to stabilise the team.

Importantly, Senegal have no fresh injury worries, allowing the coach to select from a near full-strength squad. However, the defensive frailties exposed against France and the inability to keep clean sheets (none in their last 12 World Cup matches) remain major concerns. The team must improve their organisation and find a way to stop Norway’s clinical attack if they are to keep their knockout stage hopes alive.

Key Stats and Performance Indicators

Team ranking
A score reflecting the team’s overall strength, based on their league position, historical results, goals scored and conceded, and the competitive level of their division.
2.1
2.5
Assessment of form
Reflects the team’s current momentum based on recent matches. Accounts for results, goals, and expected goals over the last several games.
2.0
2.6
xG Expected Goals
The statistical volume of scoring chances created and conceded. Calculated from shot quality and quantity, a higher value indicates more dangerous attacking play.
7%
5%
xG Predictability
Shows how consistently the team’s actual in-game xG aligns with pre-match xG forecasts. A higher value means the team’s matches tend to follow expected patterns.
5%
3%

Norway Possible Starting Lineup

Nyland (GK); Ryerson (DF), Heggem (DF), Ajer (DF), Wolfe (DF); Ødegaard (MF), Berge (MF), Aursnes (MF); Sørloth (FW), Haaland (FW), Nusa (FW)

Norway predicted starting lineup for FIFA World Cup 2026 match against Senegal

Senegal Possible Starting Lineup

Mendy (GK); Diatta (DF), Koulibaly (DF), Niakhate (DF), Diouf (DF); Camara (MF), I. Gueye (MF), P. Gueye (MF); Sarr (FW), Jackson (FW), Mané (FW)

Senegal predicted starting lineup for FIFA World Cup 2026 match against Norway

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Norway vs Senegal Match Prediction

Norway enter this fixture as the clear favourites thanks to their blistering form and attacking quality. With 11 straight competitive wins and a convincing 4-1 victory over Iraq, Ståle Solbakken’s side possess far more rhythm and confidence than Senegal, who looked vulnerable in their 1-3 loss to France. The presence of Erling Haaland in top form, combined with creative players like Ødegaard, gives Norway a significant edge in the final third. Senegal’s defensive record at World Cups is poor, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 matches at the tournament.

Norway vs Senegal odds reflect this reality, offering attractive value on the hosts and over 2.5 goals. While Senegal have quality in players like Mané, Koulibaly and the young Mbaye, their current winless streak and struggles against organised European attacks make it difficult to see them taking points here.

Our Prediction: Norway 2-1 Senegal

2.22
Result
Home Win
51 Votes
57
1.84
Total Goals
Over 2.5
23 Votes
42
1.69
Both teams to score
Yes
44 Votes
50
1.82
First goal
Home
21 Votes
12

Norway’s superior organisation, clinical finishing and momentum should prove decisive. Senegal are likely to score once on the counter, but Norway’s attacking depth and ability to score in the second half will ultimately secure the three points. This result would send Norway through to the knockout stage and leave Senegal needing a miracle in their remaining games.

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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