At 18:45 GMT+0 on June 6, 2025, Norway and Italy will play a highly anticipated football game at Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo, which can house 27,200 people. Spanish referee Sanchez J. will be in charge of this key World Championship Qualification (WCQ) match. This will be Italy’s first game in this cycle, and Norway will strive to retain their perfect start in Group I.
Norway hasn’t featured in the World Cup since 1998, but they opened their campaign with two great wins, showing off their attacking skills under Ståle Solbakken. Italy has won the World Cup four times, so they really don’t want to miss it for the third time in a row. Things are considerably harder for them now because they have had troubles off the field and have lost a lot of games.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section prepares you for a deep dive into the Norway vs Italy prediction today, focusing on recent performances and historical encounters. Norway’s explosive form, led by talents like Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard, is very different from Italy’s weak preparation. Italy has a strong head-to-head record, which sets the stage for a tactical clash. Important stats, like Norway’s home domination and Italy’s clean sheets on the road, will affect what people predict. Stay tuned for more information about how both sides are doing and the important things that will affect the outcome.
Norway Results
Norway has been playing quite well, especially in their World Championship Qualification campaign, where they have won two very important games. Their recent elevation to the top level of the UEFA Nations League shows how much more confident they are becoming. The table below shows a summary of their last five games in all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 25/03/25 | WCQ | Israel vs Norway | 2-4 | W |
| 22/03/25 | WCQ | Moldova vs Norway | 0-5 | W |
| 17/11/24 | UNL | Norway vs Kazakhstan | 5-0 | W |
| 14/11/24 | UNL | Slovenia vs Norway | 1-4 | W |
| 13/10/24 | UNL | Austria vs Norway | 5-1 | L |
Norway has been very aggressive on offense, scoring 18 goals in their last four wins. This is thanks to Haaland’s precise finishing and Ødegaard’s ability to make plays. They showed they could beat weaker teams by beating Moldova 5-0 and Israel 4-2, which showed they could handle tougher matches. Italy might be able to take advantage of the fact that Austria was the only team to beat them, which showed that they are weak against teams that press hard. Norway has a great home record, with only one loss in their last nine WCQ games. With this kind of momentum, they are a big threat at Ullevaal Stadion.
Italy Results
Italy hasn’t been able to prepare well for this WCQ cycle because of fluctuating results in the UEFA Nations League and other problems off the field. Luciano Spalletti’s team has had trouble being consistent since their previous World Cup game in 2014. Here are their last five games in all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23/03/25 | UNL | Germany vs Italy | 3-3 | D |
| 20/03/25 | UNL | Italy vs Germany | 1-2 | L |
| 17/11/24 | UNL | Italy vs France | 1-3 | L |
| 14/11/24 | UNL | Belgium vs Italy | 0-1 | W |
| 14/10/24 | UNL | Italy vs Israel | 4-1 | W |
Italy’s current form is worrying because they have only won one of their past three games, and they lost badly to Germany in the Nations League. The 3-3 draw in Dortmund proved that they could bounce back, but it also revealed that their defense wasn’t very strong, as they let in three goals in the first half. Their win over Belgium shows that they can get results on the road, but their losses to France and Germany show that they have trouble against top teams. Italy’s four straight WCQ clean sheets on the road give them hope, but their weak defense raises some doubts. Spalletti’s tactical changes will be very important against Norway’s strong offense.
Norway vs Italy Head-to-Head Results
The Azzurri have won more games than Norway in their long history of rivalry, and Norway has had a hard time winning games in recent decades. The previous time they met, in 2015, Italy won by a slight margin, which is a sign of Italian supremacy. Here are the last five times they met.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 13/10/15 | EUR | Italy vs Norway | 2-1 |
| 09/09/14 | EUR | Norway vs Italy | 0-2 |
| 04/06/05 | WCQ | Norway vs Italy | 0-0 |
| 04/09/04 | WCQ | Italy vs Norway | 2-1 |
| 03/06/00 | FI | Norway vs Italy | 1-0 |
Italy has won three of the last four competitive matches, and Norway’s only win was in a friendly match 25 years ago. The 0-0 stalemate in 2005 demonstrates that Norway can make Italy mad at home, but previous qualifiers show that Italy’s tactical discipline usually wins out. This history makes it even more important for Norway to end their losing streak against the Azzurri.
Predicted Football Lineups for Norway vs Italy
This part talks about what the starting lineups for the Norway vs. Italy football game are likely to be, based on the latest news about the teams and their tactical configurations. Norway has a stable roster, whereas Italy’s defense is hurt, which could affect how they play.
Norway Expected Lineup (4-4-2): Ørjan Nyland (GK), Ryerson (DF), Ajer (DF), Heggem (DF), Wolfe (DF), Ødegaard (MF), Berge (MF), Berg (MF), Schjelderup (MF), Haaland (FW), Sørloth (FW)
Italy Expected Lineup (3-5-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Bastoni (DF), Cambiaso (DF), Lorenzo (DF), Frattesi (MF), Tonali (MF), Zappacosta (MF), Barella (MF), Dimarco (MF), Kean (FW), Raspadori (FW)
Unavailable Players
Injuries and withdrawals had a big effect on both teams, especially Italy’s defense. The chart below shows the most important players who won’t be able to play in the game.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Norway | None | – |
| Italy | Francesco Acerbi | Withdrawn (personal reasons) |
| Italy | Manuel Locatelli | Ankle injury |
| Italy | Riccardo Calafiori | Injury |
| Italy | Alessandro Buongiorno | Thigh injury |
| Italy | Matteo Gabbia | Calf injury |
Norway’s players are all healthy, so Solbakken has a lot of options when it comes to who to start. Italy, on the other hand, is having a defensive dilemma because several of their center-backs are hurt. This means that Spalletti has to use less experienced players like Daniele Rugani.
Key Factors to Watch
A number of significant factors that could have an impact on the outcome of the match between Norway and Italy are discussed in this section. These factors include how well the players are performing and how they match up tactically. An intriguing contest was created as a result of the excellent offense of Norway and the feeble defense of Italy. Take into consideration the following, as they are the most significant:
- The offensive strategy of Norway: With Haaland and Sørloth in excellent form, the hosts have registered a total of 18 goals in their most recent four victories;
- Defensible injuries sustained by Italy: It is unfortunate that Italy’s backline is weakened by the absence of Acerbi, Calafiori, Buongiorno, and Gabbia;
- The goal-scoring run of Erling Haaland: Haaland has scored in both of the World Cup Qualifying matches, collecting a total of forty goals in 41 international outings;
- Italy’s clean sheets away from home: Since 2017, the Azzurri have failed to surrender a single goal in any of their four most recent away World Cup Qualifying matches;
- The inventiveness of Ødegaard: In two World Cup Qualifying matches, Norway’s captain has dictated play from the middle of the field, resulting in four assists;
- It is possible that Italy’s off-field concerns, such as Acerbi’s withdrawal and Spalletti’s public statements, will damage the morale of the team;
- Norway’s advantage of being at home: In their last nine home World Cup Qualifying matches, Norway has only suffered a single defeat, usually by a score of more than one goal;
- The tactical flexibility of Spalletti: The Italian manager may change his 3-5-2 formation in order to counter the attacking danger posed by Norway; nonetheless, his options are very restricted.
Free Tips on Norway vs Italy
This section provides actionable betting tips for the Norway vs Italy match, derived from team form, statistics, and other influencing factors. These insights aim to guide informed decisions without overlapping with the key factors above. Consider these carefully before placing bets:
- The venue at Ullevaal Stadion has an effect: Norway has a great home record, with four wins and multiple goals in their last nine World Cup Qualifying matches. This suggests that they do well in the exciting atmosphere of Oslo, which could be too much for Italy’s shaky defense.
- Weather and the state of the pitch: In June, the pitch conditions in Oslo are usually good, which is good for Norway’s fast-paced, attacking style of play. But if it rains unexpectedly, the game might slow down, which would be good for Italy because they like to counter-attack.
- Players may get tired because of their schedules. Italy has been playing a lot of games in the Nations League lately, and their schedule is very busy. This could make players tired, especially midfielders like Barella and Tonali. Norway, on the other hand, has a less busy calendar, which keeps them fresher.
- Referee tendencies: Sanchez J. is noted for being strict and giving out cards a lot. This might change how Italy plays in the middle of the field or how Norway defends, which could lead to a lot of cards being given out.
- Goal-scoring trends: Norway has scored more than 2.5 goals in four of their previous five games, and Italy’s injuries on defense make it more likely that they will give up goals, which means that a high-scoring game is feasible.
- Giving them the push to qualify: Italy is under a lot of pressure to avoid another failure to qualify for the World Cup, thus Norway’s desire to overcome a 28-year World Cup drought could give them an edge over Italy.
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Norway vs Italy Match Prediction 2025
Norway’s blistering start to the WCQ campaign, coupled with Italy’s defensive vulnerabilities, tilts the Norway vs Italy odds in favor of the hosts. Norway’s attacking trio of Haaland, Sørloth, and Ødegaard has been unstoppable, scoring nine goals in two WCQ matches. They are confident because they have only lost one of their nine World Cup Qualifying games at Ullevaal. Italy has a bad defense and has been playing badly lately, including a 3-3 game in which they were down 3-0. This is even though Greece has a historical edge over Italy. Spalletti’s tactical genius might keep the game close, but Norway’s momentum and Italy’s lack of coherence make it likely that Italy will win the game at home by a little amount. The Norway vs Italy odds reflect this, with Norway’s attacking output likely to exploit Italy’s makeshift backline. A high-scoring game is probable, given Norway’s goal-scoring form and Italy’s defensive issues, though Italy’s away clean-sheet streak could keep them competitive. We predict Norway will capitalize on their home advantage and secure a vital victory to strengthen their Group I lead.
Our Prediction: Norway 2-1 Italy
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Norway to Win | 2.72 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.79 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.65 |
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