Mexico vs Costa Rica (0:0): CONCACAF Gold Cup 23/06/2025

Jun 23, 2025
Status: Finished
0-0
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Mexico
Costa Rica
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The Mexico vs. Costa Rica Preview starts on June 23, 2025, at 02:00 GMT+0 at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, which can hold 71,835 people. The round-robin portion of the CONCACAF Gold Cup is still going on, and both teams have already made it to the quarter-finals. The match officials are watching closely (referee details are still to come). Expect a lot of action on the field as two teams that haven’t lost yet fight for first place in Group A.

Two strong teams are playing at this important point in the tournament, even though they have already qualified. This is going to be a high-intensity football game because of the way the teams are set up and the mood beneath the Nevada night sky.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

To set the stage for our Mexico vs Costa Rica prediction today, we’ll consider recent form and head‑to‑head record. Notably, Mexico have won their last 11 encounters against Costa Rica (W5, D6, L0), which heavily tilts the scale in their favour. Costa Rica enter with youthful energy but have not yet faced elite opposition on this stage. Mexico boast more experience and depth, fielding a near full‑strength squad. Meanwhile, Costa Rica’s performances, though gritty, have left questions over their defensive resilience in major tournaments.

Mexico Results

Mexico arrive in Las Vegas brimming with confidence, having secured two opening wins in the tournament. Their best players are present, and momentum is strong. Below are their latest five fixtures:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
19/06/2025Gold CupSuriname vs Mexico0-2W
15/06/2025Gold CupMexico vs Dominican Republic3‑2W
11/06/2025FriendlyMexico vs Turkey1‑0W
07/06/2025FriendlyMexico vs Switzerland2-4L
24/03/2025CONCACAF NLMexico vs Panama2‑1W

Mexico look in strong shape, with four wins in five outings. Their Gold Cup form has been solid, while the lone friendly defeat suggests occasional vulnerabilities but no major concern before this clash.

Costa Rica Results

Costa‑Rica have impressed with two battling wins in group play, offering a youthful yet spirited sideshow. Here’s a snapshot of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
19/06/2025Gold CupCosta Rica vs Dominican Republic2‑1W
16/06/2025Gold CupCosta Rica vs Suriname4‑3W
11/06/2025World Cup QualifCosta Rica vs Trinidad & Tobago2‑1W
08/06/2025World Cup QualifBahamas vs Costa Rica0‑8W
28/05/2025FriendlyCatalonia Selection vs Costa Rica2‑0L

Before losing to Catalonia in a friendly, Costa Rica had won four games in a row. Their tournament form shows that they can bounce back, but they are also weak on defense, especially in close games against better teams.

Who will win Monday’s Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Costa Rica?
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Mexico
56%
Draw
24%
Costa Rica
20%
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Mexico vs Costa Rica Head‑to‑Head (Last 5 Meetings)

These teams have played each other many times in the Gold Cup and World Cup. Historical data: Mexico has won all five of their last games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
09/07/2023Gold CupMexico vs Costa Rica2‑0
31/01/2022World Cup QMexico vs Costa Rica0‑0
06/09/2021World Cup QCosta Rica vs Mexico0‑1
04/06/2021CONNOLLY LNMexico vs Costa Rica1‑0
30/03/2021FriendlyCosta Rica vs Mexico0‑1

Historical confrontation shows Mexico holding a dominant edge, regularly keeping clean sheets and scoring just enough to win. The trend indicates narrow wins under defensive control.

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Predicted Lineups for Mexico vs Costa Rica – Football Match

Below is our projection of likely starting XIs, reflecting current squad news and rotation patterns.

Mexico (4‑4‑2): Malagon (GK), Reyes (DF), Montes (DF), Vasquez (DF), Gallardo (DF), Alvarado (MF), Alvarez (MF), Ruiz (MF), Vega (MF), Gimenez (FW), Jimenez (FW)

Predicted football lineup of Mexico national team for the CONCACAF Gold Cup match against Costa Rica.

Costa Rica (3‑5‑2): Navas (GK), Mitchell (DF), Faerron (DF), Calvo (DF), J. Mora (MF), Aguilera (MF), Galo (MF), Alcocer (MF), C. Mora (MF), Martinez (FW), Ugalde (FW)

Costa Rica national football team starting eleven projection for Gold Cup game vs Mexico.

Unavailable Players

The tournament hasn’t been without injury concerns. Mexico ruled out Hirving Lozano and Henry Martin through pre‑tournament knocks, while Jesus Angulo withdrew early. Costa Rica have a fully fit squad but may rotate defensively. Here’s a summary of missing players:

TeamPlayerReason
MexicoHirving LozanoInjury in training
MexicoHenry MartinInjury in training
MexicoJesus AnguloPre‑tournament withdrawal

Key Moments to Watch

Below are the pivotal factors that could shape this encounter. These go beyond recent results and focus on tangible dynamics of this fixture:

  • Injury Impact – Mexico’s loss of key forwards Lozano, Martin and Angulo limits their attacking rotation;
  • Defensive Solidity – Cesar Montes’ set‑piece goal threat may be decisive, given Costa Rica’s struggle defending corners;
  • Momentum – Mexico’s 11‑match unbeaten run vs Costa Rica and their confidence in knockouts could edge them psychologically;
  • Costa Rica’s Youth – A fresh, inexperienced squad may grow nervous against a heavyweight in a sold‑out U.S. stadium;
  • Group Incentive – Both teams seek top spot to avoid stronger knockout opponents – expect full gear from Mexico;
  • Tactical Battle – Aguirre’s side may dominate possession while Costa Rica rely on counters via Martinez and Ugalde;
  • Goal Trends – Previous head‑to‑heads often low‑scoring; expect a tight, organized game;
  • Referee Style – If officiating is strict, expect fouls/suspensions to matter in midfield tussle.
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Free Tips on Mexico vs Costa Rica

The following tips are crafted from in‑depth match dynamics and tournament context:

  • Expect a Mid‑Low Scoring Affair – Given Mexico’s conservative defensive approach and Costa Rica’s recent 2 and 3‑goal games, this should stay under 3 goals total;
  • Set‑Play Threat (Corner/Kick) – Betting a goal from a corner or free‑kick is viable; Montes has been lethal from dead balls;
  • Under/Over Card Count – With tactical tackles likely, over 3.5 cards is a good target given midfield intensity;
  • Both Teams to Score in One Half – Look at “Both Teams To Score in 1st Half”; past matches show early strikes but defensive regroup;
  • First Team to Score: Mexico – Their possession edge and experience suggest they break the deadlock first, most likely via set-piece.

These insights go deeper into match context – highlighting set‑pieces, disciplinary trends, and timing of goals – to guide your staking strategy specifically for this clash.

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Match Prediction and Odds 2025 – Mexico vs Costa Rica

Both teams bring form and ambition, but key absences and historical dominance indicate Mexico have the upper hand. Expect a close encounter, but not a goal-fest. The most probable scoreline is: Mexico vs Costa Rica odds favour a narrow Mexico victory or low-scoring draw. Odds suggest a value on Mexico to win with an under 3.5 goals scenario.

The predicted outcome is 2‑0 to Mexico, combining their set‑piece strength, historical consistency, and superior squad depth. Stake accordingly, especially on Mexico first goal and cards.

Our Prediction: Mexico 2‑0 Costa Rica

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match OutcomeMexico Win1.63
Total GoalsUnder 3.5 goals1..3

Betting on this match is exciting. You can make the wager on Mexico vs Costa Rica on bc.game. With user‑friendly interface and competitive odds, BC Game is the ideal platform to place your football bets. Ensure to stake responsibly, enjoy the game, and may your selections bring success!

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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