


The Mexico vs. Costa Rica Preview starts on June 23, 2025, at 02:00 GMT+0 at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, which can hold 71,835 people. The round-robin portion of the CONCACAF Gold Cup is still going on, and both teams have already made it to the quarter-finals. The match officials are watching closely (referee details are still to come). Expect a lot of action on the field as two teams that haven’t lost yet fight for first place in Group A.
Two strong teams are playing at this important point in the tournament, even though they have already qualified. This is going to be a high-intensity football game because of the way the teams are set up and the mood beneath the Nevada night sky.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
To set the stage for our Mexico vs Costa Rica prediction today, we’ll consider recent form and head‑to‑head record. Notably, Mexico have won their last 11 encounters against Costa Rica (W5, D6, L0), which heavily tilts the scale in their favour. Costa Rica enter with youthful energy but have not yet faced elite opposition on this stage. Mexico boast more experience and depth, fielding a near full‑strength squad. Meanwhile, Costa Rica’s performances, though gritty, have left questions over their defensive resilience in major tournaments.
Mexico Results
Mexico arrive in Las Vegas brimming with confidence, having secured two opening wins in the tournament. Their best players are present, and momentum is strong. Below are their latest five fixtures:
Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
19/06/2025 | Gold Cup | Suriname vs Mexico | 0-2 | W |
15/06/2025 | Gold Cup | Mexico vs Dominican Republic | 3‑2 | W |
11/06/2025 | Friendly | Mexico vs Turkey | 1‑0 | W |
07/06/2025 | Friendly | Mexico vs Switzerland | 2-4 | L |
24/03/2025 | CONCACAF NL | Mexico vs Panama | 2‑1 | W |
Mexico look in strong shape, with four wins in five outings. Their Gold Cup form has been solid, while the lone friendly defeat suggests occasional vulnerabilities but no major concern before this clash.
Costa Rica Results
Costa‑Rica have impressed with two battling wins in group play, offering a youthful yet spirited sideshow. Here’s a snapshot of their last five matches:
Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
19/06/2025 | Gold Cup | Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic | 2‑1 | W |
16/06/2025 | Gold Cup | Costa Rica vs Suriname | 4‑3 | W |
11/06/2025 | World Cup Qualif | Costa Rica vs Trinidad & Tobago | 2‑1 | W |
08/06/2025 | World Cup Qualif | Bahamas vs Costa Rica | 0‑8 | W |
28/05/2025 | Friendly | Catalonia Selection vs Costa Rica | 2‑0 | L |
Before losing to Catalonia in a friendly, Costa Rica had won four games in a row. Their tournament form shows that they can bounce back, but they are also weak on defense, especially in close games against better teams.



Mexico vs Costa Rica Head‑to‑Head (Last 5 Meetings)
These teams have played each other many times in the Gold Cup and World Cup. Historical data: Mexico has won all five of their last games.
Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
09/07/2023 | Gold Cup | Mexico vs Costa Rica | 2‑0 |
31/01/2022 | World Cup Q | Mexico vs Costa Rica | 0‑0 |
06/09/2021 | World Cup Q | Costa Rica vs Mexico | 0‑1 |
04/06/2021 | CONNOLLY LN | Mexico vs Costa Rica | 1‑0 |
30/03/2021 | Friendly | Costa Rica vs Mexico | 0‑1 |
Historical confrontation shows Mexico holding a dominant edge, regularly keeping clean sheets and scoring just enough to win. The trend indicates narrow wins under defensive control.
Predicted Lineups for Mexico vs Costa Rica – Football Match
Below is our projection of likely starting XIs, reflecting current squad news and rotation patterns.
Mexico (4‑4‑2): Malagon (GK), Reyes (DF), Montes (DF), Vasquez (DF), Gallardo (DF), Alvarado (MF), Alvarez (MF), Ruiz (MF), Vega (MF), Gimenez (FW), Jimenez (FW)

Costa Rica (3‑5‑2): Navas (GK), Mitchell (DF), Faerron (DF), Calvo (DF), J. Mora (MF), Aguilera (MF), Galo (MF), Alcocer (MF), C. Mora (MF), Martinez (FW), Ugalde (FW)

Unavailable Players
The tournament hasn’t been without injury concerns. Mexico ruled out Hirving Lozano and Henry Martin through pre‑tournament knocks, while Jesus Angulo withdrew early. Costa Rica have a fully fit squad but may rotate defensively. Here’s a summary of missing players:
Team | Player | Reason |
Mexico | Hirving Lozano | Injury in training |
Mexico | Henry Martin | Injury in training |
Mexico | Jesus Angulo | Pre‑tournament withdrawal |
Key Moments to Watch
Below are the pivotal factors that could shape this encounter. These go beyond recent results and focus on tangible dynamics of this fixture:
- Injury Impact – Mexico’s loss of key forwards Lozano, Martin and Angulo limits their attacking rotation;
- Defensive Solidity – Cesar Montes’ set‑piece goal threat may be decisive, given Costa Rica’s struggle defending corners;
- Momentum – Mexico’s 11‑match unbeaten run vs Costa Rica and their confidence in knockouts could edge them psychologically;
- Costa Rica’s Youth – A fresh, inexperienced squad may grow nervous against a heavyweight in a sold‑out U.S. stadium;
- Group Incentive – Both teams seek top spot to avoid stronger knockout opponents – expect full gear from Mexico;
- Tactical Battle – Aguirre’s side may dominate possession while Costa Rica rely on counters via Martinez and Ugalde;
- Goal Trends – Previous head‑to‑heads often low‑scoring; expect a tight, organized game;
- Referee Style – If officiating is strict, expect fouls/suspensions to matter in midfield tussle.
Free Tips on Mexico vs Costa Rica
The following tips are crafted from in‑depth match dynamics and tournament context:
- Expect a Mid‑Low Scoring Affair – Given Mexico’s conservative defensive approach and Costa Rica’s recent 2 and 3‑goal games, this should stay under 3 goals total;
- Set‑Play Threat (Corner/Kick) – Betting a goal from a corner or free‑kick is viable; Montes has been lethal from dead balls;
- Under/Over Card Count – With tactical tackles likely, over 3.5 cards is a good target given midfield intensity;
- Both Teams to Score in One Half – Look at “Both Teams To Score in 1st Half”; past matches show early strikes but defensive regroup;
- First Team to Score: Mexico – Their possession edge and experience suggest they break the deadlock first, most likely via set-piece.
These insights go deeper into match context – highlighting set‑pieces, disciplinary trends, and timing of goals – to guide your staking strategy specifically for this clash.
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Match Prediction and Odds 2025 – Mexico vs Costa Rica
Both teams bring form and ambition, but key absences and historical dominance indicate Mexico have the upper hand. Expect a close encounter, but not a goal-fest. The most probable scoreline is: Mexico vs Costa Rica odds favour a narrow Mexico victory or low-scoring draw. Odds suggest a value on Mexico to win with an under 3.5 goals scenario.
The predicted outcome is 2‑0 to Mexico, combining their set‑piece strength, historical consistency, and superior squad depth. Stake accordingly, especially on Mexico first goal and cards.
Our Prediction: Mexico 2‑0 Costa Rica
Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
Match Outcome | Mexico Win | 1.63 |
Total Goals | Under 3.5 goals | 1..3 |
Betting on this match is exciting. You can make the wager on Mexico vs Costa Rica on bc.game. With user‑friendly interface and competitive odds, BC Game is the ideal platform to place your football bets. Ensure to stake responsibly, enjoy the game, and may your selections bring success!