Lecce face Genoa in the Serie A, Round 10, on 1 November 2026. Kick-off is at 17:00 GMT at Stadio Via del Mare. In the league, Lecce hold the 12th position with 9 points from 7 matches. Genoa are positioned 16th, having accumulated 7 points across 8 matches. For more detailed predictions, visit the Serie A page.
Lecce vs Genoa Team News
Lecce have no absences for this match.
L. Venturino is out with Jumpers Knee. His absence leaves Genoa without depth in his position, affecting their options.
Lecce vs Genoa Match Preview
Lecce, positioned 12th with 9 points, aim to close the gap on Atalanta, who are just a point ahead in 11th place. Genoa, in 16th with 7 points, seek to move past Monza, who are level on points but ahead on goal difference. Both teams are eager to improve their league standings.
Lecce, guided by Eusebio Di Francesco, are likely to dominate possession with their 4-3-3 formation. Genoa, under D. De Rossi, may adopt a deeper stance with their 3-4-2-1 setup. The midfield battle will be crucial, as Lecce’s mixed home form contrasts with Genoa’s poor away record in the league.
The question is whether Lecce can use their home advantage to climb the table or if Genoa will overcome their away struggles. Our Football betting tips cover the rest of the round. Explore insights into other intriguing matchups.
Lecce Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese vs Lecce | 2026-10-18 | Serie A | 0-3 | W |
| Lecce vs Bologna | 2026-10-11 | Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| AC Milan vs Lecce | 2026-09-20 | Serie A | 3-0 | L |
| Lecce vs Monza | 2026-09-13 | Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Cagliari vs Lecce | 2026-09-07 | Serie A | 1-0 | L |
Lecce have had a mixed bag of results across all competitions in their last 5 matches, securing 2 wins and suffering 3 losses. At home in the league, they have played 3, winning 1 and losing 2, scoring 4 goals but conceding 8. They endured 2 straight defeats before the 3-0 win at Udinese on 18 October.
Genoa Recent Form
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | W/D/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa vs Venezia | 2026-10-25 | Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| AS Roma vs Genoa | 2026-10-17 | Serie A | 2-0 | L |
| Genoa vs Fiorentina | 2026-10-10 | Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Rapid vs Genoa | 2026-10-02 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 | L |
| Parma vs Genoa | 2026-09-20 | Serie A | 2-1 | L |
Genoa have experienced mixed fortunes across all competitions in their last five matches, securing 2 wins and suffering 3 losses. In the league, their away record is concerning, with 3 losses from 3 matches, scoring just once and conceding 5 times. The most recent result: a 1-0 win at home to Venezia on 25 October.
Lecce vs Genoa Head-to-Head
| Match | Date | Competition | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce vs Genoa | 2026-05-24 | Serie A | 1-0 | Lecce |
| Genoa vs Lecce | 2025-08-23 | Serie A | 0-0 | Draw |
| Genoa vs Lecce | 2025-03-14 | Serie A | 2-1 | Genoa |
| Lecce vs Genoa | 2025-01-05 | Serie A | 0-0 | Draw |
| Genoa vs Lecce | 2024-01-28 | Serie A | 2-1 | Genoa |
In their 10 meetings, Genoa have won 5 times, Lecce have 2 victories and 3 matches ended in a draw. The goals pattern shows a tendency towards high-scoring affairs, with 6 of these matches exceeding 2.5 goals. On 19 July 2020, Genoa triumphed 2-1 at home, exemplifying their attacking edge. Bettors might note the average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted Lineups
Lecce Predicted Lineup
Falcone; Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, Gaspar, Veiga; Maleh, Ngom, Coulibaly; Fatah, Geubbels, Ndri.
Lecce have used 4-3-3 in 5 of their 7 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Genoa Predicted Lineup
Bijlow; Vásquez, Østigård, Otoa; Mitaj, Wiafe, Traorè, Ellertsson; El Shaarawy, Junior Messias; Osmajić.
Genoa have used 3-4-2-1 in 5 of their 8 league matches this season, and this is the eleven that started their last match.
Lecce vs Genoa Match Analysis
Lecce have scored 7 goals from an expected-goals total of 6.75 in their last 5 matches across all competitions. This indicates they are slightly outperforming their chances. Conversely, they have conceded 8 goals from an expected-goals total of 9.11, suggesting a slight defensive underperformance. That points to the goals markets rather than the result.
In the league, Lecce have shown early promise, scoring 3 goals in the first 15 minutes. However, they have been vulnerable between the 16th and 30th minute, conceding 5 goals. Genoa have conceded 4 goals between the 76th and 90th minute, indicating late-game weaknesses. This suggests potential for late drama, favouring both teams to score.
Lecce average 11.8 shots per match in their last 5 matches across all competitions, with 5 on target, and maintain 43.6% possession. Genoa average 9.5 shots with 3.5 on target and have similar possession at 43.2%. Both teams may struggle to dominate possession, pointing to a low shot volume market.
Genoa have shown discipline issues in the league, with 21 yellow cards and 1 red card, averaging 2.8 cards per match, which could lead to disruptions.
Key Factors
The match turns on Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities.
- L. Venturino’s absence affects Genoa’s depth in his position.
- At home in the league, Lecce have conceded 8 goals in 3 matches.
- In the league, Genoa have lost all 3 away matches, scoring once.
- In this fixture, 6 of 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals.
- Genoa have conceded 4 goals between the 76th and 90th minute in the league.
Free Tips
4 of Lecce's last 5 matches across all competitions had 3 or more goals, but only 1 of Genoa's 3 away league games did.
5 of the last 10 meetings saw both sides score, but only 1 of Genoa's 3 away league games did.
Genoa won 5 of the last 10 meetings, but none of their 3 away league games this season.
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Our Verdict
The data points to a high-scoring affair, with over 2.5 goals looking promising. Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities and Genoa’s late-game concessions suggest goals are likely. The consistent goal-scoring pattern in their head-to-head matches is the deciding factor. I lean towards this outcome with reservations, given both teams’ inconsistent form.
A shift in my view would occur if Lecce’s defence tightens up, especially early on. Genoa’s potential for a disciplined performance could also alter expectations. Staying updated via the BC.Game sports betting app ensures you’re informed of any last-minute changes.
Prices move, so check them before you bet, and set a limit before you start. If it stops being fun, our Responsible Betting page lists the tools BC.Game offers, and GamCare, BeGambleAware and BetBlocker give free, independent help.
Written by Ian Fletcher, football analyst, Betting.BC.Game
Lecce vs Genoa Prediction
The data points to a Genoa win with goals expected from both sides. The match is likely to see over two and a half goals. For the detailed selections and the prices available at the time of writing, please refer to the table below.
Our Prediction: Lecce 1-2 Genoa
| Prediction | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Genoa Win | 2.68 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 2.30 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.92 |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | – |
Predicted score: Lecce 1-2 Genoa. It is the likeliest scoreline that fits every tip above, shown as our forecast rather than a recommended bet.
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Lecce vs Genoa FAQ
Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?
Genoa have won 5 of their last 10 meetings with Lecce. That suggests they’re slightly favoured here. However, both teams have been inconsistent lately. I’d be cautious about backing a winner outright.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Genoa?
The predicted score is 1-2 to Genoa. Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities and Genoa’s recent win suggest goals for both sides. It’s not a clear-cut choice, but the data leans towards Genoa.
What is the biggest risk to the main pick?
Lecce have scored 3 early goals in the league. If they start strongly, Genoa might struggle. That’s a risk to consider if you’re backing Genoa to win.
Which market offers the best value in Lecce vs Genoa?
Over 2.5 goals at 2.30 looks promising. Lecce’s and Genoa’s recent matches have seen goals. If you’re betting, this might offer the best return given their defensive issues.
