Fans are eagerly awaiting the match between Gremio and Corinthians, which will be important for both teams in the Brazil Serie A Betano. Both teams have 15 points, thus this game could be a turning point in their seasons. Gremio is on a roll, while Corinthians is having trouble scoring.
The game will be held on June 12, 2025, at 23:00 GMT+0 at the Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre, which can hold 60,540 people. Lacerda D. is the referee for this Brazil Serie A match, which is a mid-season game in which both sides want to stay in the top half of the standings.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
The Gremio vs Corinthians prediction today hinges on recent performances and historical data. Gremio’s defensive resilience and home advantage make them favorite, but Corinthians’ historical dominance in this fixture adds intrigue. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at both teams’ form, head-to-head records, and key factors influencing the outcome. By examining their latest results and past encounters, bettors can gain valuable insights. These Gremio vs Corinthians betting tips aim to guide informed decisions for this pivotal clash.
Gremio Results
Gremio has been playing very well, especially at home, where their strong defence has been the key to their recent victories. The Imortal Tricolour have made the Arena do Grêmio their home field, and they have only lost once in six league games there this season. Their recent run of wins in all competitions shows that they can get success even against challenging opponents.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 01/06/25 | SA | Juventude vs Gremio | 0-2 | W |
| 30/05/25 | COP | Gremio vs Sp. Luqueno | 1-0 | W |
| 25/05/25 | SA | Gremio vs Bahia | 1-0 | W |
| 21/05/25 | COP | Gremio vs CSA | 0-0 | D |
| 18/05/25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Gremio | 2-1 | L |
Gremio’s three consecutive wins showcase their ability to secure narrow victories, with their defense not conceding in four straight matches. The 2-0 away win against Juventude demonstrates their growing confidence on the road. However, the loss to Sao Paulo indicates vulnerabilities against top-tier attacking sides. Their goalless draw against CSA suggests occasional struggles in breaking down defensive setups. Overall, Gremio’s form points to a team peaking at the right time for this home fixture.
Corinthians Results
Corinthians, under Dorival Junior, have been inconsistent, particularly in attack, where their inability to score has plagued recent performances. Despite an unbeaten run in their last three league games, their lack of goals raises concerns. The Timao’s away form, especially, has been a weak point, with no game producing more than one goal in their last 12 away matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 02/06/25 | SA | Corinthians vs Vitoria | 0-0 | D |
| 28/05/25 | COP | Huracan vs Corinthians | 1-0 | L |
| 25/05/25 | SA | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | 0-0 | D |
| 22/05/25 | COP | Corinthians vs Novorizontino | 1-0 | W |
| 18/05/25 | SA | Corinthians vs Santos | 1-0 | W |
Corinthians’ goalless draws against Vitoria and Atletico-MG highlight their attacking woes, with no goals in their last three competitive games. The 1-0 loss to Huracan in the Copa Sudamericana exposes their struggles against teams with pace. Their two wins in May show resilience, but both were narrow and lacked offensive flair. The Timao’s away form suggests they will struggle to penetrate Gremio’s defense. This trend underscores their reliance on defensive discipline over attacking output.
Gremio vs Corinthians Head-to-Head Results
The historical rivalry between Gremio and Corinthians has been heavily one-sided in recent years, with Corinthians maintaining an impressive unbeaten streak. Their last 12 meetings across all competitions have seen Gremio fail to secure a victory, a run dating back to December 2018. This section examines the last five encounters to provide context for the upcoming match.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 08/12/24 | SA | Gremio vs Corinthians | 0-3 |
| 08/08/24 | COP | Gremio vs Corinthians | 0-1 |
| 01/08/24 | COP | Corinthians vs Gremio | 0-0 |
| 26/07/24 | SA | Corinthians vs Gremio | 2-2 |
| 12/11/23 | SA | Gremio vs Corinthians | 0-1 |
Corinthians’ dominance is evident, with three wins and two draws in the last five meetings. The 3-0 thrashing in December 2024 at Arena do Grêmio highlights their ability to exploit Gremio’s defense. However, two draws in 2024 suggest Gremio have occasionally held their own, though they’ve struggled to convert chances.
Gremio Possible Starting Lineup
Gremio are expected to field a strong side, leveraging their defensive solidity and home advantage, with key players like Braithwaite leading the attack and Volpi anchoring the goal.
Volpi (GK), Martins (DF), Leonardo (DF), Kannemann (DF), Marlon (DF), Villasanti (MF), Dodi (MF), Olivera (MF), Cristaldo (MF), Alysson (FW), Braithwaite (FW)
Corinthians Possible Starting Lineup
Corinthians, hampered by injuries and international absences, will likely rely on a defensive setup, with Souza in goal and Inacio as the focal point in attack.
Souza (GK), Matheuzinho (DF), Ramalho (DF), Caca (DF), Bidu (DF), Raniele (MF), Hector (MF), Maycon (MF), Bidon (MF), Magno (FW), Inacio (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams enter this match with distinct strengths and weaknesses, making certain aspects critical to the outcome. Gremio’s home form and defensive organization contrast with Corinthians’ attacking struggles and depleted squad. Below are the pivotal elements that could shape the Gremio vs Corinthians match prediction.
- Gremio’s Defensive Streak: Four consecutive matches without conceding, including against Bahia and Juventude, underline their backline’s reliability;
- Corinthians’ Goal Drought: No goals in their last three competitive games, with only one goal per match in their last eight outings;
- Gremio’s Home Record: Just one loss in six league home games this season, with three wins and two draws at Arena do Grêmio;
- Corinthians’ Away Struggles: No more than one goal in their last 12 away matches, a worrying trend for this fixture;
- Gremio’s Injury Woes: Missing midfielders Gustavo Cuellar, Edenilson, Joao Lucas, and defender Rodrigo Ely, which could strain their depth;
- Corinthians’ Absent Stars: Key attackers Yuri Alberto, Memphis Depay, and Angel Romero are unavailable, severely limiting their offensive threat;
- Historical Advantage: Corinthians’ 12-match unbeaten run against Gremio, including a 3-0 win in their last visit to Porto Alegre;
- Recent Form Contrast: Gremio’s three straight wins versus Corinthians’ three games without a goal highlight a clear momentum gap.
Free Tips on Gremio vs Corinthians
For the Gremio vs Corinthians match on June 12, 2025, bettors can gain an edge by focusing on specific statistical and contextual factors. This list highlights key areas to consider, derived from team and player data, to refine your betting strategy. These tips are tailored to this Brazil Serie A clash to help you make informed decisions.
- Evaluate Player Form: Assess the current performance of key players, such as Gremio’s leading scorers or Corinthians’ defensive anchors, as individual brilliance can sway tight matches. For instance, a striker in top form could exploit weaknesses in the opposition’s backline, even if the team is struggling.
- Consider Stadium Atmosphere: The passionate crowd at Arena do Grêmio, with a capacity of 60,540, often acts as a “12th man,” boosting Gremio’s performance. This home advantage could intimidate a Corinthians side already low on confidence.
- Check Pitch and Weather Conditions: The condition of the natural grass pitch at Arena do Grêmio, combined with Porto Alegre’s weather on match day, could affect gameplay. Rain might slow the ball, favoring Gremio’s disciplined, low-scoring style over Corinthians’ counter-attacking approach.
- Review Recent Schedule Impact: Gremio’s lighter recent schedule compared to Corinthians, who played a Copa Sudamericana match on May 28, may give the hosts a freshness edge. Fatigue could hinder Corinthians’ ability to maintain intensity for the full 90 minutes.
- Analyze Referee Tendencies: Referee Lacerda D.’s history of issuing cards or awarding penalties can influence bets on disciplinary outcomes. Researching his style could guide predictions for markets like total cards or fouls in this potentially physical encounter.
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Gremio vs Corinthians Match Prediction 2025
The forecast for Gremio vs. Corinthians in 2025 is very much in favour of the home team because they are in better shape and have the home advantage. Gremio’s defence is strong, with four straight clean sheets. This puts them in a good position to stop Corinthians’ assault, which hasn’t scored in three straight games. Gremio’s injuries in the middle of the field can make them less creative, but they have the edge since they can win close games, like against Bahia (1-0) and Juventude (2-0). Corinthians’ strong defence could keep the game close, but they don’t have enough firepower to win, so a draw is their best chance. We think Gremio will win 1-0 because they have the home crowd and the momentum on their side.
Our Prediction: Gremio 1-0 Corinthians
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Gremio to Win | 2.37 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.65 |
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