Germany vs Portugal (1:2): UEFA Nations League 04/06/2025

June 04, 2025

Status: Finished

1-2

UEFA Nations League

Germany

Portugal

Get ready for a blockbuster clash as Germany take on Portugal in the UEFA Nations League semi-final. This match promises fireworks, with both teams bringing firepower and ambition to the Allianz Arena.

The game kicks off on June 4, 2025, at 19:00 GMT+0 in Munich’s iconic Allianz Arena, with a capacity of 75,024. Refereed by Slovenia’s Vincic S., this semi-final marks Germany’s first appearance at this stage of the tournament, while Portugal aim to become the first nation to win the competition twice.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To nail your Germany vs Portugal betting tips, you need to know where both teams stand. Recent performances, head-to-head records, and key player form are your roadmap to smart predictions. The Germany vs Portugal prediction today hinges on how each side has been performing in the Nations League and their historical clashes. Germany’s home dominance and Portugal’s resilience make this a tight call. Let’s break down their form and past meetings to set the stage.

Germany Results

Germany have been a force in the Nations League, riding a wave of confidence under Julian Nagelsmann. Their unbeaten group stage and home advantage make them favorites. Let’s look at their last five matches to see what’s clicking.

Germany’s form is rock-solid, with four wins and a draw in their last five competitive matches. Their 7-0 thrashing of Bosnia-Herzegovina shows their attacking depth, even without key players. The draw against Hungary exposed some defensive lapses, but their home record remains intimidating. The loss to Spain at Euro 2024 stings, but it was a close contest against the eventual champions. Overall, Germany look primed to dominate at home.

Portugal Results

Portugal have had a mixed bag but showed grit to reach the semi-finals. Roberto Martinez’s squad is packed with talent, but their Euro 2024 struggles raised questions. Here’s a snapshot of their last five matches.

Portugal’s resilience shines through, with three wins in their last five. The dramatic 3-2 win over Denmark in the quarter-finals, sealed in extra time, proves they can grind out results. Their loss to Denmark in the first leg exposed vulnerabilities on the road. Narrow victories over Scotland and Croatia show consistency but not dominance. The Euro 2024 draw with France, followed by a penalty shootout exit, highlights their ability to hang with top teams.

Who will win Wednesday’s UEFA Nations League clash between Germany and Portugal?

Germany > Draw > Portugal >

Germany

51%

Draw

26%

Portugal

23%

Germany vs Portugal Head-to-Head Results

Germany and Portugal have a storied rivalry, often meeting on the biggest stages. Germany have dominated recent encounters, but Portugal’s 2019 Nations League title adds intrigue. Here are their last five clashes.

Germany’s five straight wins over Portugal are a psychological edge. Each victory, from tight 1-0s to emphatic 4-0s, shows their ability to exploit Portugal’s weaknesses. Portugal’s last win over Germany was in 2000, making this an uphill battle for Martinez’s men.

Predicted Lineups for Germany vs Portugal Football Match

The Germany vs Portugal semi-final in the UEFA Nations League on June 4, 2025, at Allianz Arena will showcase two star-studded squads. Below are the predicted starting lineups for both teams, based on recent form, tactical preferences, and available players. These selections reflect the likely choices of managers Julian Nagelsmann and Roberto Martinez, considering their strategies for this high-stakes clash.

Germany Predicted Lineup

Germany’s lineup is built to leverage their home advantage, with a focus on attacking flair and midfield control: 

Ter Stegen (GK), Kimmich (DF), Tah (DF), Anton (DF), Mittelstadt (DF), Gross (MF), Goretzka (MF), Gnabry (FW), Wirtz (FW), Sane (FW), Undav (FW).

Portugal Predicted Lineup

Portugal’s lineup aims to balance midfield creativity with Ronaldo’s goal-scoring threat:

Diogo Costa (GK), Dalot (DF), Ruben Dias (DF), Antonio Silva (DF), Nuno Mendes (DF), Bernardo Silva (MF), Vitinha (MF), Joao Neves (MF), Bruno Fernandes (MF), Diogo Jota (FW), Ronaldo (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Both Germany and Portugal face challenges with key players sidelined or doubtful for the June 4, 2025, match. Injuries and fitness concerns could reshape their strategies, especially for Germany, who are missing several defensive stalwarts. The table below lists players unavailable or questionable, along with their respective issues.

Key Factors to Watch

To make a sharp Germany vs Portugal match prediction, you need to zoom in on the details. Injuries, form, and momentum can swing this semi-final. Here’s what matters most.

• Germany’s injury crisis: Missing Rudiger, Schlotterbeck, Musiala, and Havertz hurts their depth;
• Portugal’s Ronaldo reliance: Cristiano Ronaldo’s 220th cap comes with questions about his effectiveness against top defenses;
• Germany’s home fortress: Only one loss in their last 11 home games makes the Allianz Arena a tough place to visit;
• Portugal’s shaky away form: Their loss to Denmark and struggles at Euro 2024 raise red flags;
• Kimmich’s brilliance: Joshua Kimmich’s goal and four assists against Italy show he’s peaking;
• Martinez’s pressure: A disappointing Euro 2024 and a narrow Denmark win have fans doubting Martinez;
• Germany’s attacking depth: Even without stars, Gnabry, Wirtz, and Sane can punish defenses;
• Portugal’s midfield edge: Bernardo Silva, Vitinha, and Neves could control the tempo.

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Free Tips on Germany vs Portugal

The Germany vs Portugal semi-final in the UEFA Nations League on June 4, 2025, is a clash where every detail counts. To make smarter bets, you need to dig into the stats and context that shape this matchup. Here are five free tips, rooted in past performances and key influences, to guide your Germany vs Portugal betting strategy.

• Study historical scoring trends: Germany and Portugal have produced high-scoring games, with four of their last five meetings seeing over 2.5 goals;
• Check recent player contributions: Players like Florian Wirtz for Germany and Bruno Fernandes for Portugal are in top form, likely to influence goals or assists;
• Consider referee tendencies: Vincic S. averages 4.2 cards per game, so bets on total cards could be worth exploring;
• Factor in pitch conditions: Allianz Arena’s pristine natural grass suits Germany’s quick-passing style, giving them an edge in ball control;
• Account for fan impact: The 75,024-strong Munich crowd could lift Germany, especially in tight moments.

Germany vs Portugal Prediction 2025

For the Germany vs Portugal prediction 2025, I’m leaning toward a German victory. Germany’s home advantage, coupled with their five-game winning streak against Portugal, makes them the safer bet. The Allianz Arena crowd will be a factor, roaring their team on in this semi-final. Despite missing key players, Germany’s attack, led by Wirtz and Sane, has enough bite to break through Portugal’s defense. Portugal’s midfield trio is world-class, but their reliance on Ronaldo, who’s struggled against Germany, could be their undoing. Martinez’s tactical hesitancy in big games doesn’t help, especially against Nagelsmann’s well-drilled side. The Germany vs Portugal odds likely reflect Germany’s favoritism, given their form and historical edge. Both teams have scored heavily in the Nations League, so expect goals, but Germany’s defensive solidity at home should limit Portugal’s chances. A 3-1 scoreline feels right, with Germany capitalizing on set pieces and counter-attacks.

Our Prediction: Germany 3-1 Portugal

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