Germany U21 and Italy U21 will meet in the much-anticipated quarter-final encounter of the UEFA European U21 Championship on Sunday, June 22, 2025, at 20:00 GMT at the MOL Aréna in Dunajská Streda, Slovakia. There is enough for 12,700 people in the arena. M. Lukjancukas from Lithuania will be the referee for the match. It will be quite thrilling because two of Europe’s greatest teams will be fighting for a spot in the semi-finals.
Germany U21 hopes to stay on top after doing so well in the group stage. Italy U21, on the other hand, is known for their powerful defense and will try to catch the favorites off guard with their ferocity. Football fans will be excited about this vital match in the EURO U21 play-offs since both teams play extremely differently and there is a lot at stake.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section prepares readers for a detailed look at the Germany U21 vs Italy U21 prediction today by highlighting key performance metrics. Looking at how both teams have played in previous games might help you understand their form and momentum. Historical head-to-head matches show patterns that could change the outcome. By looking at these things, bettors can make smart choices. To make a good guess on the Germany U21 vs. Italy U21 game today, you need to know these important factors.
Germany U21 Results
Germany U21 has been playing really well, and they are in the quarter-finals with a perfect record in the group stage. They are tough to beat since they are good at both attacking and defending. The table below summarises how they have done recently.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 18/06/25 | EUR | England U21 vs Germany U21 | 1-2 | W |
| 15/06/25 | EUR | Czech Republic U21 vs Germany U21 | 2-4 | W |
| 12/06/25 | EUR | Germany U21 vs Slovenia U21 | 3-0 | W |
| 25/03/25 | FI | Germany U21 vs Spain U21 | 3-1 | W |
| 21/03/25 | FI | Slovakia U21 vs Germany U21 | 0-1 | W |
The fact that Germany won all three of their group stage games and scored nine goals shows how strong their attack is. Their ability to beat powerful teams like England and the Czech Republic shows how consistent they are. The fact that the team has not lost in 18 games (W15, D3) since June 2023 shows that they work well together. Nick Woltemade’s ability to score goals (four in the tournament) has been very important. They only let in three goals, which shows that they have a balanced approach.
Italy U21 Results
Italy U21 has been tough in the group stage, staying undefeated by focussing on defence. They are a tough opponent since they can get results even when they don’t score many goals. Here is a summary of their most recent games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 17/06/25 | EUR | Spain U21 vs Italy U21 | 1-1 | D |
| 14/06/25 | EUR | Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21 | 0-1 | W |
| 11/06/25 | EUR | Italy U21 vs Romania U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 24/03/25 | FI | Italy U21 vs Denmark U21 | 1-1 | D |
| 21/03/25 | FI | Italy U21 vs Netherlands U21 | 1-2 | L |
Italy’s two wins and one draw in the group stage indicate that they can get results when the pressure is on. They only scored three goals in three games, which shows that they are playing it safe and focussing on defence. Their backline is strong because they have two clean sheets in the tournament. They’ve only lost once in their last 13 games (W7, D5), which shows that they are consistent. However, their lack of attacking flair could be a problem. Cesare Casadei’s work in the middle and on offence is still very important.
Germany U21 vs Italy U21 Head-to-Head Results
Historical matches between Germany U21 and Italy U21 give this quarter-final match a lot of meaning. The teams have played each other several times in the last few years, with different results. The table below shows the last five times they met.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 19/11/22 | FI | Italy U21 vs Germany U21 | 2-4 |
| 19/11/18 | FI | Italy U21 vs Germany U21 | 1-2 |
| 24/06/17 | EUR | Italy U21 vs Germany U21 | 1-0 |
| 27/03/15 | FI | Germany U21 vs Italy U21 | 2-2 |
| 06/02/13 | FI | Italy U21 vs Germany U21 | 1-0 |
Germany has won the last two games, including a 4-2 win in 2022, which suggests they have an advantage right now. Italy’s two 1-0 triumphs in earlier matches, on the other hand, prove that they can frustrate Germany with tight, defensive play. The 2022 match, which had a lot of goals, is very different from Italy’s low-scoring wins, which shows that the results are hard to anticipate. Germany’s recent success may make them feel more sure of themselves. Italy will need to play defence like they did before to win.
Predicted Football Lineups for Germany U21 vs Italy U21
The expected starting lineups for this football game are based on the information about the players and how they have been playing recently. To make it to the semifinals, both sides are expected to put their best players on the field.
Germany U21 Predicted Lineup: N. Atubolu (GK), N. Collins (DF), M. Rosenfelder (DF), B. Arrey-Mbi (DF), N. Brown (DF), E. Martel (MF), R. Reitz (MF), B. Gruda (MF), N. Woltemade (FW), P. Nebel (MF), N. Tresoldi (FW).
Italy U21 Predicted Lineup: S. Desplanches (GK), M. Zanotti (DF), D. Coppola (DF), L. Pirola (DF), M. Ruggeri (DF), G. Fabbian (MF), M. Prati (MF), C. Ndour (MF), T. Baldanzi (MF), C. Casadei (MF), W. Gnonto (FW).
Unavailable Players
Both teams may put up their best lineups because they have all their players available. This makes it more likely that the contest will be close. Because there are no injuries, coaches can focus on tactical preparations without having to worry about players who aren’t there.
Key Factors to Watch
There are a few important factors that could affect the outcome of this quarter-final encounter. Germany U21 and Italy U21 both have their own strengths and weaknesses when they play. Here are the most important things to keep an eye on during this football game:
- Germany’s offensive style: Germany scored nine goals in three group stage matches, showing how strong their offence is. Nick Woltemade scored four of them;
- Italy’s strong defence: Italy’s defence, led by L. Pirola, is hard to get through. They have had two clean sheets in three games;
- Woltemade’s scoring streak: The German forward has scored eight goals in eight games, which makes him a continuous threat;
- Italy’s Cesare Casadei is an important part of their assault. He has scored four goals in his last eight U21 outings;
- Germany’s streak of not losing: Germany has been very consistent and confident since June 2023, when they won 15 of their last 18 games;
- Italy’s problems with discipline: Six yellow cards in the tournament show that the team can be able to be hurt by referee judgements;
- Venue dynamics: The MOL Aréna’s atmosphere and pitch condition could make Germany’s fast-paced style work better than Italy’s cautious one;
- Referee tendencies: Italy’s history of getting cards may be affected by M. Lukjancukas’s style of officiating.
Free Tips on Germany U21 vs Italy U21
This section provides actionable betting advice tailored to the Germany U21 vs Italy U21 match. These tips, derived from team and player statistics, focus on maximizing value for bettors. Consider these carefully to enhance your betting strategy:
- Bet on fewer than 2.5 goals: Italy’s group stage was low-scoring (three goals), and they played defensively, which means the game will probably be close and have fewer goals than Germany’s high-scoring games.
- Think about Germany scoring first: Nick Woltemade is playing well, and Germany is on the attack, so they are expected to grab the lead early.
- Look at both teams to score (BTTS – No): Italy’s defensive record and Germany’s ability to control games make a clean sheet for one side plausible.
- Focus on Germany’s corners: Germany’s attacking style often results in more set-pieces, making over 5.5 corners for them a solid bet.
- Italy yellow cards over 2.5: Given their tournament-high six yellow cards, Italy’s physical play may lead to bookings under pressure.
- Bet on a low margin: Italy has a history of beating Germany 1-0, and their defensive setup suggests that the game will be close, with one goal likely deciding it.
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Germany U21 vs Italy U21 Match Prediction 2025
Germany U21 is the favourite to win this match because they have won all of their group stage games and have not lost in 18 matches. Nick Woltemade has led their offence, which has been nonstop, scoring nine goals in three games. Italy U21, on the other hand, is not an easy team to beat. In the group stage, they only gave up one goal. They are a threat because they can grind out results, like when they beat Spain 1-0 and drew with them. The Germany U21 vs Italy U21 odds reflect Germany’s edge, but Italy’s tactical discipline could keep this close.
Germany’s recent head-to-head dominance (winning the last two meetings) and superior goal-scoring form give them an advantage. Woltemade’s scoring streak and Germany’s balanced squad suggest they can exploit Italy’s lack of attacking firepower. Italy’s Cesare Casadei will be crucial, but their three goals in three games indicate limited offensive threat. The MOL Aréna’s atmosphere may favor Germany’s high-tempo style. While Italy’s defense could frustrate, Germany’s momentum and depth should secure a narrow victory. We predict a 1-0 win for Germany, as their clinical finishing likely overcomes Italy’s resolute backline.
Our Prediction: Germany U21 1-0 Italy U21
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Germany U21 to Win | 1.91 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 2.0 |
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