The upcoming clash between Estrela and Benfica is set to take place on August 16, 2025, at 19:30 GMT+0 at the Estádio José Gomes in Amadora, Portugal, with a capacity of 9,288. The match, officiated by referee Carvalho H., is part of the ongoing Liga Portugal season, where both teams are vying for crucial points early in the campaign.
This Estrela vs Benfica prediction 2025 highlights a matchup steeped in contrast, with Benfica, a traditional powerhouse, facing Estrela, a side fighting to establish themselves in the top flight. The venue’s compact atmosphere and Estrela’s home support could add intensity, but Benfica’s superior squad depth and recent form make this a highly anticipated encounter.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To craft an accurate Estrela vs Benfica prediction today, we delve into recent performances and historical data. Estrela’s mixed results in pre-season and early league matches suggest resilience but inconsistency, while Benfica’s strong start in both domestic and European competitions underscores their dominance. The head-to-head record heavily favors Benfica, setting the stage for a detailed breakdown of form and key factors. This section prepares readers for an in-depth look at both teams’ trajectories. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed betting decisions.
Estrela Results
Estrela’s recent performances reflect a team still finding their footing in Liga Portugal. Their pre-season and early league matches show a mix of competitive draws and narrow losses. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 11/08/25 | LP | Estoril vs Estrela | 1-1 | D |
| 03/08/25 | CF | SC Farense vs Estrela | 1-0 | L |
| 29/07/25 | CF | Estrela vs Os Belenenses | 1-2 | L |
| 26/07/25 | CF | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela | 0-1 | W |
| 12/07/25 | CF | Estrela vs Celtic | 3-2 | W |
Estrela’s draw against Estoril shows their ability to compete with mid-table sides, but losses to SC Farense and Os Belenenses highlight defensive vulnerabilities. Their home win against Celtic in a friendly suggests potential for upsets, particularly at Estádio José Gomes. However, inconsistency against stronger opponents remains a concern. The team’s attacking output has been modest, with only five goals in these five matches. Home form could be a slight advantage, but their defensive lapses need addressing.
Benfica Results
Benfica have started the 2025/26 season in formidable form, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Their recent matches include strong showings in the Champions League and domestic competitions. Below is a summary of their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 12/08/25 | CL | Benfica vs Nice | 2-0 | W |
| 06/08/25 | CL | Nice vs Benfica | 0-2 | W |
| 31/07/25 | SC | Sporting CP vs Benfica | 0-1 | W |
| 26/07/25 | CF | Benfica vs Fenerbahce | 3-2 | W |
| 28/06/25 | CWC | Benfica vs Chelsea | 1-4 | L |
Benfica’s four consecutive wins before their Club World Cup loss to Chelsea demonstrate their dominance across competitions. Their ability to secure clean sheets against Nice in both legs of the Champions League highlights defensive organization. The narrow victory over Sporting CP in the Super Cup underscores their clutch performance in high-stakes matches. Offensively, they’ve scored nine goals in these five games, showing firepower. The loss to Chelsea, however, indicates potential vulnerability against elite opposition.
Estrela vs Benfica Head-to-Head Results
The historical matchups between Estrela and Benfica heavily favor the latter, with Benfica dominating recent encounters. Below are the last five head-to-head matches, showcasing their competitive history.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 02/02/25 | LP | Estrela vs Benfica | 2-3 |
| 23/11/24 | TP | Benfica vs Estrela | 7-0 |
| 24/08/24 | LP | Benfica vs Estrela | 1-0 |
| 29/01/24 | LP | Estrela vs Benfica | 1-4 |
| 19/08/23 | LP | Benfica vs Estrela | 2-0 |
Benfica have won all five recent meetings, scoring 17 goals while conceding only three. Estrela’s home games against Benfica have been closer, with two matches decided by a single goal, but their 7-0 cup loss underscores the gulf in class. This consistent dominance suggests Benfica’s tactical and squad superiority.
Estrela Amadora Possible Starting Lineup
Estrela is expected to field a competitive lineup, leaning on their home advantage to challenge Benfica’s dominance, with a focus on defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks.
Ribeiro (GK), Chernev (DF), Drame (DF), Pantalon (DF), Varela (DF), Moreira (MF), Oudrhiri (MF), Encada (MF), Stoica (MF), Godoy (FW), Cabral (FW)
Benfica Possible Starting Lineup
Benfica, riding a wave of strong form, is likely to deploy a balanced lineup with attacking flair, aiming to control possession and exploit Estrela’s defensive weaknesses.
Trubin (GK), Obrador (DF), Silva (DF), Otamendi (DF), Dedic (DF), Barreiro (MF), Florentino (MF), Schjelderup (MF), Prestianni (MF), Aursnes (MF), Pavlidis (FW)
Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries and suspensions play a significant role in shaping the outcome of the Estrela vs Benfica match, as both teams may miss key players who could influence their tactical setups. The table below lists players who are confirmed or likely to be unavailable due to injuries or other issues, based on recent reports. This information is critical for assessing how the absence of these players might affect the game.
| Team | Player | Injury/Status |
| Estrela Amadora | Esmiraldo | Hamstring Injury |
| Estrela Amadora | Keliano | Ankle Sprain (Doubtful) |
| Benfica | Joao Mario | Knee Injury |
| Benfica | David Neres | Thigh Strain (Doubtful) |
Key Factors to Watch
To make informed Estrela vs Benfica betting tips, several critical elements must be considered. These factors, ranging from team form to external influences, shape the likely outcome. Below is a detailed list of aspects that could sway the match.
- Estrela’s home form: Their win against Celtic and draw with Estoril suggest they can be competitive at Estádio José Gomes;
- Benfica’s attacking depth: With nine goals in their last five matches, players like João Mário and Rafa Silva are in top form;
- Estrela’s defensive issues: Conceding in four of their last five matches highlights vulnerabilities, especially against Benfica’s potent attack;
- Benfica’s European commitments: A tight schedule from Champions League matches could lead to slight fatigue or rotation;
- Injury concerns: Estrela may miss key defender Kialonda Gaspar due to a recent knock, weakening their backline;
- Benfica’s away dominance: Three clean sheets in their last five away games show resilience on the road;
- Referee influence: Carvalho H. averages 4.2 yellow cards per game, which could impact Estrela’s physical approach;
- Motivation levels: Benfica’s title aspirations contrast with Estrela’s fight to avoid relegation, driving differing intensities.
Free Tips on Estrela vs Benfica
To craft effective Estrela vs Benfica betting tips, it’s essential to consider nuanced factors beyond basic statistics, such as pitch conditions and external influences. This section highlights key elements specific to this matchup that could sway the outcome. These insights, grounded in the teams’ recent performances and historical data, aim to guide bettors toward informed decisions.
- Pitch Conditions: Estádio José Gomes typically features a natural grass pitch, which may favor Benfica’s possession-based style if well-maintained, though heavy rain forecast for August 16 could slow the game and benefit Estrela’s defensive setup.
- Fan Influence: Estrela’s compact stadium, with a capacity of 9,288, can create an intense atmosphere, potentially boosting the home side’s morale against a Benfica team accustomed to larger venues.
- Referee Tendencies: Referee Carvalho H. averages 4.2 yellow cards per match in Liga Portugal (2024/25 data), suggesting a high likelihood of bookings in a competitive fixture like this.
- Team Motivation: Estrela, likely mid-table or lower, will be highly motivated to secure a statement result against Benfica, who may prioritize upcoming European fixtures, potentially affecting their focus.
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Estrela vs Benfica Match Prediction 2025
For the Estrela vs Benfica match prediction, the odds heavily favor Benfica due to their superior form and historical dominance. Estrela vs Benfica odds reflect this, with Benfica likely priced as strong favorite across betting markets. Benfica’s recent performances, including clean sheets against Nice and a narrow win over Sporting CP, showcase their ability to control games. Their attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches, contrasts with Estrela’s struggle to convert chances, scoring only five goals in the same span. Estrela’s home advantage and occasional upsets, like their win over Celtic, offer some hope, but their defensive frailties conceding in four of five games make it unlikely they’ll contain Benfica’s firepower. The head-to-head record, with Benfica winning all five recent encounters, further tilts the scales. While Estrela may keep the game competitive early, Benfica’s squad depth and tactical discipline should secure a comfortable victory, likely by a two-goal margin. The predicted scoreline is 0-2, with Benfica maintaining a clean sheet.
Our Prediction: Estrela 1-3 Benfica
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Benfica Win | 1.21 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.55 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.26 |
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