Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Bundesliga 28/02/2026

Bundesliga

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

Sat, 28 February 2026 – 17:30

Bet Now

4.5

Home

4.5

Draw

1.62

Away

The eyes of the footballing world turn to Germany this weekend for the latest edition of Der Klassiker. This high-stakes Bundesliga fixture is scheduled for Saturday, February 28, 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 GMT at the iconic Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. With a capacity of over 81,000, the “Yellow Wall” will be in full voice as Borussia Dortmund looks to defend their incredible home streak against a relentless Bayern Munich side.

The match official confirmed for this encounter is Jablonski S. from Germany, known for his authoritative presence in high-profile league games. As a crucial regular-season fixture, this game could effectively decide the trajectory of the title race. Dortmund enters the fray aiming to maintain their 16-match unbeaten league run, while Bayern Munich arrives as the most dominant away force in the competition this year.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

The upcoming clash between these two giants offers a fascinating study in contrasting momentum and tactical resilience. For those looking at the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction today, it is impossible to ignore that both sides have scored in every single league match they have played this season. Dortmund remains a fortress at Signal Iduna Park, yet Bayern’s away record under Vincent Kompany is statistically superior to any other side in Europe’s top five leagues. Historical data suggests a high-scoring affair, but the recent draw trends in their head-to-head meetings indicate a closing quality gap. Our Dortmund vs Bayern Munich betting tips focus on the offensive efficiency of both squads and the impact of key individual absences.

Dortmund Results

Borussia Dortmund comes into this game with a mixed bag of results across all competitions, showing domestic dominance but occasional continental frailty. Their home form remains their greatest asset, providing a foundation of confidence even after a tough trip to Italy. The team’s ability to find the net consistently in the Bundesliga has kept their unbeaten league streak alive through 23 rounds.

The table illustrates that while Dortmund suffered a heavy defeat in the Champions League against Atalanta, their domestic form is significantly more stable. They have won 13 of their last 15 home league games, often scoring three or more goals in front of their supporters. The draw against RB Leipzig showed they can compete with the elite, though defensive lapses late in games remain a slight concern. Maintaining a league-low eight goals conceded at home this season proves their defensive organization is top-tier when playing in Westfalia. Overall, the squad relies heavily on their home momentum to offset any psychological fatigue from European excursions.

Bayern Munich Results

Bayern Munich is currently enjoying an exceptional run of form, looking every bit the champions-elect under the guidance of Kompany. Their offensive output has been staggering, particularly on the road where they average over three goals per game. Recent victories against tough opponents like Eintracht Frankfurt and RB Leipzig in the cup have solidified their status as favorites for every competition they enter.

Bayern’s results show a team that is currently playing with immense freedom and tactical clarity. They have managed to maintain a clean sheet in high-pressure cup games while remaining the most prolific scoring side in the Bundesliga. Their away record is particularly intimidating, as they have yet to taste defeat on the road this entire league season. The minor slip-up against Hamburger SV was quickly forgotten as they embarked on a four-game winning streak across two competitions. Defensively, they allow fewer shots per game than any other German side, making them a nightmare to break down.

Who will win Saturday’s Bundesliga clash between Dortmund and Bayern Munich?

Dortmund > Draw > Bayern Munich >

Dortmund

21%

Draw

21%

Bayern Munich

58%

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry between these two clubs is the most storied in German football history, and recent encounters have been closely contested. While Bayern historically holds the upper hand, Dortmund has managed to secure points in several recent league meetings.

The historical data shows that Bayern remains unbeaten in their last seven trips to Dortmund, winning five of those encounters. However, the last three league matches have seen a much smaller margin, including two draws and a narrow 2-1 win for Bayern in the reverse fixture this season. Dortmund’s 2-0 win in early 2024 remains their recent highlight, proving they can shut out the Bavarian giants when tactically perfect.

Predicted Lineups for the Football Match: Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

The following lineups represent the most likely tactical configurations for both clubs based on recent domestic performances and current squad availability. These projected starters are expected to take the field for this edition of Der Klassiker, though final adjustments may occur shortly before kick-off depending on last-minute fitness tests.

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:

Kobel (GK), Anton (DF), Schlotterbeck (DF), Bensebaini (DF), Couto (DF), Bellingham (MF), Nmecha (MF), Svensson (MF), Adeyemi (MF), Brandt (FW), Guirassy (FW).

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:

Neuer (GK), Laimer (DF), Upamecano (DF), Tah (DF), Stanisic (DF), Kimmich (MF), Pavlovic (MF), Olise (MF), Musiala (MF), Diaz (MF), Kane (FW).

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Injuries and disciplinary issues are set to play a significant role in the tactical planning for this high-stakes encounter. The table below highlights the players who are officially ruled out or whose participation remains in doubt, forcing both managers to look toward their bench for reliable depth.

Key Match Factors and Team News

Success in Der Klassiker often depends on the finest of margins, from injury updates to specific tactical trends. The following points are essential for understanding the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction 2026.

• Suspension Blow: Dortmund will be without key defender Julian Ryerson, which could leave a gap in their lateral defense against Bayern’s pacy wingers.
• Neuer Doubt: Manuel Neuer remains a major question mark for Bayern, which might force them to rely on their backup goalkeeper in a high-pressure environment.
• Home Fortress: Dortmund has conceded only eight goals at home all season, the best record in the league.
• Unbeaten Streaks: Dortmund is unbeaten in 16 league games, while Bayern is unbeaten in 20 away league games.
• Kane’s Efficiency: Harry Kane continues to lead the scoring charts and has a historical penchant for scoring against Dortmund.
• Olise’s Creativity: Michael Olise has recorded ten assists in his last ten competitive appearances, making him the primary playmaker.
• xG Dominance: Bayern faces the fewest shots per game (9.8), suggesting Dortmund will have to be clinical with limited chances.
• Fatigue Factor: Dortmund played a grueling midweek Champions League match in Italy, while Bayern has had a full week of rest and preparation.

Ready to level up your football betting skills? Read our guide to learn how to place smarter bets. Increase your chances of winning with BC.GAME!

Bet Now

Free Tips on Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

To make an informed decision on this Der Klassiker, one must look beyond the surface-level standings and dive into the specific statistical trends that define this rivalry. These free tips are derived from a deep dive into historical data, pitch conditions at Signal Iduna Park, and the tactical nuances of both managers. By focusing on these often-overlooked variables, you can better identify where the true value lies in the betting markets for this 2026 clash.

• Exploit the “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS) Trend: Statistics show that both Dortmund and Bayern Munich have found the net in 100% of their Bundesliga matches this season. Given that both sides possess world-class finishers like Harry Kane and Serhou Guirassy, and historically these meetings are high-scoring, the BTTS market offers one of the most reliable statistical foundations for this fixture.
• Monitor the Pitch Surface and Weather Impact: The natural grass at Signal Iduna Park is meticulously maintained, favoring Dortmund’s fast-paced transition play; however, if the typical late-February German rain occurs, the pitch will become slicker. A faster surface traditionally benefits Bayern’s quick-passing “Kompany-ball” style, potentially increasing the total number of goals as defenders struggle with footing in high-speed duels.
• Analyze the Fatigue and Schedule Differential: While Dortmund is returning from a bruising away trip to Bergamo in the Champions League, Bayern has benefited from a clearer schedule. In high-intensity matches like Der Klassiker, the team with fresher legs often dominates the final 20 minutes, making a “Bayern Munich to score late” or “Total Goals in 2nd Half” bet a savvy move based on physical data.
• Evaluate Referee Jablonski’s Card Distribution: Der Klassiker is a notoriously high-tension match, and referee Jablonski is known for maintaining strict control. Checking his recent statistics for yellow cards can be lucrative; if the game remains tight, the likelihood of tactical fouls to stop Michael Olise or Karim Adeyemi increases, making the “Over” on total cards a strong statistical possibility.
• Consider the Motivation of the “12th Man”: The influence of the 81,000-strong crowd at Signal Iduna Park cannot be overstated, as Dortmund’s home defensive record (only 8 goals conceded) is a direct result of this atmosphere. Even against a dominant Bayern, the stadium’s energy often pushes Dortmund to exceed their xG (Expected Goals), suggesting that even if Bayern are favorites, a blowout victory for the visitors is statistically unlikely in this venue.

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Match Prediction

The tactical setup for this match suggests a high-intensity battle where both teams will prioritize offensive transitions. While Dortmund’s 16-game unbeaten league run is impressive, the psychological weight of their midweek Champions League exit and the suspension of Ryerson creates a vulnerability that Bayern is perfectly equipped to exploit. Bayern Munich’s away form is historically good, and with Harry Kane and Michael Olise in peak condition, they possess the firepower to breach the league’s stingiest home defense. However, the Signal Iduna Park atmosphere often acts as a leveler, and Dortmund has shown they can find the net against Bayern even when under pressure.

Taking into account that the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich odds reflect an extremely tight contest, the most likely outcome is a high-scoring draw or a very narrow away win. Considering both teams have scored in every league game this year, the “Both Teams to Score” market is nearly a certainty. However, given Bayern’s extra rest and tactical depth, we expect them to dictate the tempo.

Our Prediction: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern Munich

You can bet on the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich match at bc.game.