Criciuma vs Sao Paulo (1:1): Serie A 27/10/2024

October 27, 2024
Status: Finished
1-1
Serie A
Criciuma
Sao Paulo
match decor

The Brazilian Serie A showdown between Criciuma and Sao Paulo is set for October 27, 2024, at Estádio Heriberto Hülse in Criciuma. Kicking off at 00:00 local time, this Round 31 clash will be officiated by referee Klein R., setting the stage for an intense evening. Criciuma, known for their strong home record, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue as Sao Paulo, a top-tier team, comes off a significant recent victory.

This match is crucial for both teams’ standings in the Serie A, especially as Sao Paulo battles with injuries that may impact their lineup strength. Criciuma, on a consistent unbeaten run at home, has a solid opportunity to defend against Sao Paulo’s recent offensive performances. The game promises a balance between Criciuma’s steady defense and Sao Paulo’s tactical approach, making it an intriguing fixture for predictions and betting opportunities.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

In our Criciuma vs Sao Paulo prediction today, we anticipate a low-scoring, defense-oriented match. Both teams have shown patterns of restraint, rarely crossing the 2.5 goals mark in recent games. Criciuma is unbeaten in their last three home matches, while Sao Paulo struggles with away victories. Given their defensive stats and home-ground advantage, Criciuma may find ways to hold Sao Paulo back. Look for Sao Paulo’s lineup changes due to injuries, which could shift the odds in Criciuma’s favor if Sao Paulo’s attack falters.

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Criciuma Results

Criciuma’s recent matches demonstrate their resilience, particularly in home games. Below is a summary of their latest five fixtures, highlighting their competitive edge in the Serie A.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
18.10.24Serie ABotafogo RJ vs Criciuma1-1D
03.10.24Serie ACriciuma vs Atletico GO2-0W
29.09.24Serie ABahia vs Criciuma1-0L
25.09.24Serie AGremio vs Criciuma1-2W
22.09.24Serie ACriciuma vs Athletico-PR0-0D

Criciuma has shown strength at home, with recent wins against Atletico GO and Gremio, indicating their defensive reliability and ability to seize critical scoring opportunities. They average below one goal per match, underscoring their defensive approach, which could limit scoring against stronger teams like Sao Paulo. Their current form suggests Criciuma will be a tough opponent in this fixture.

Sao Paulo Results

Sao Paulo’s last five games depict a fluctuating form, with several significant home wins but persistent away struggles.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
17.10.24Serie ASao Paulo vs Vasco3-0W
05.10.24Serie ACuiaba vs Sao Paulo2-0L
29.09.24Serie ASao Paulo vs Corinthians3-1W
26.09.24CopaSao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ1-1D
22.09.24Serie ASao Paulo vs Internacional1-3L

While Sao Paulo showcases strength in home fixtures, their away form remains inconsistent, with just one draw and two defeats. Their recent match against Vasco (3-0) highlights their offensive capabilities when they have possession control, but their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in away matches against teams like Cuiaba and Internacional.

Criciuma vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head Matches

Historically, Sao Paulo has held an advantage in head-to-head matchups, although Criciuma’s recent defensive form could challenge Sao Paulo’s dominance.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
27.06.24Serie ASao Paulo vs Criciuma2-1
02.11.14Serie ACriciuma vs Sao Paulo1-2
04.09.14CopaSao Paulo vs Criciuma2-0
28.08.14CopaCriciuma vs Sao Paulo2-1
02.08.14Serie ASao Paulo vs Criciuma1-1

Sao Paulo’s consistent goal-scoring against Criciuma in past meetings suggests they can find the net, but Criciuma’s resilience at home makes this matchup less predictable. Criciuma may benefit from their defensive form, particularly as Sao Paulo has struggled with away performances this season.

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Criciuma vs Sao Paulo: Predicted Lineups

For the upcoming Serie A match between Criciuma and Sao Paulo, both teams are expected to field competitive lineups despite some injury challenges. Below are the predicted starting players for each side, with formations adjusted to optimize current team form and strategy.

Criciúma (predicted lineup) 

Gustavo (GK), Claudinho (DF), Rodrigo Fagundes (DF), Tobias Figueiredo (DF), Miguel Trauco (DF), Fellipe Mateus (MF), Newton Araujo (MF), Patrick de Paula (MF), Marcelo Hermes (MF), Yannick Bolasie (FW), Arthur Caíke (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Criciuma in the Brazilian Serie A match.

São Paulo (predicted lineup)

Rafael (GK), Igor Vinícius (DF), Alan Franco (DF), Robert Arboleda (DF), Jamal Lewis (DF), Damián Bobadilla (MF), Luiz Gustavo (MF), Lucas Moura (MF), Luciano (FW), Aldemir Ferreira (FW), Jonathan Calleri (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Sao Paulo in the Brazilian Serie A match.

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries and suspensions will impact the depth of both teams, as several key players from Sao Paulo are unavailable for selection, while Criciuma has a few questionable participants. Here’s the latest injury report:

TeamPlayerStatus
CriciumaAngel W.Injury
CriciumaDuduQuestionable
CriciumaSerginhoQuestionable
Sao PauloAlissonInjury
Sao PauloMichel AraujoInjury
Sao PauloBobadilla D.Injury
Sao PauloFerraresi N.Injury
Sao PauloLewis J.Injury
Sao PauloPablo MaiaInjury
Sao PauloPatryckInjury

This updated injury list highlights key absences, especially in Sao Paulo’s midfield and defensive lines, which could influence tactical adjustments in the upcoming match.

Key Factors to Consider

With injuries affecting key players, team form, and recent home/away records, the following are essential factors:

  • Criciuma’s unbeaten streak at home in the last three Serie A games;
  • Sao Paulo’s injury list, impacting their offensive depth, with notable absentees like Alisson and Pablo Maia;
  • Scoring stats, with Criciuma averaging under 1 goal per game in their last six, suggesting a likely low-scoring match;
  • Sao Paulo’s away form, having won only once in their previous 11 away fixtures
  • Defensive resilience of Criciuma, particularly at home, likely to focus on a conservative strategy;
  • Sao Paulo’s offensive capabilities from recent home performances, contrasting with their weaker away results;
  • Head-to-head advantage traditionally held by Sao Paulo, despite Criciuma’s current defensive improvement;
  • Referee influence, with Klein R. known for allowing physical play, which could benefit Criciuma’s defensive tactics.
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Free Tips on Criciuma vs Sao Paulo

Analyzing the match between Criciuma and Sao Paulo involves more than just reviewing the current standings or recent wins. Key elements such as historical head-to-head stats, player form, and external conditions all contribute to understanding potential outcomes. Here’s a list of four essential factors to consider when approaching this matchup, each grounded in reliable data and Criciuma’s and Sao Paulo’s unique characteristics.

  • Head-to-Head Performance: Historical statistics reveal that Sao Paulo has held an advantage over Criciuma in previous matchups, which may give them a psychological edge. Reviewing past encounters can provide valuable context on how the teams match up tactically, especially when Criciuma is at home.
  • Current Team Form: Criciuma’s unbeaten home record in recent games contrasts with Sao Paulo’s inconsistent away performance. Teams in stronger form, particularly when defending home ground, often enter the match with higher confidence, which can influence both tempo and outcome.
  • Injury and Suspension Impact: Sao Paulo enters this match missing several key players due to injury, including playmakers like Alisson and Pablo Maia. Absences in critical positions often shift team dynamics and strategies, making it essential to monitor the latest team news for last-minute lineup changes.
  • Home and Away Performance: Criciuma’s defensive stability at home has been a significant asset, particularly against higher-ranked teams, while Sao Paulo has struggled to secure wins on the road. Home teams often exhibit stronger defensive tactics, capitalizing on crowd support, making the venue a substantial factor.
  • Tactical Play Styles: Criciuma tends to focus on a defensive approach, especially against aggressive attacking teams. In contrast, Sao Paulo’s lineup changes and need to compensate for absent players could shift their strategy, likely leaning on a possession-based game to control tempo.

These insights offer a more in-depth view into Criciuma vs Sao Paulo, ensuring you approach betting with a well-rounded understanding.

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Criciuma vs Sao Paulo Match Prediction 2024

Given both teams’ form and Sao Paulo’s challenges on the road, a draw or a narrow win for either side seems plausible. Criciuma vs Sao Paulo odds favor a low-scoring game, particularly with Criciuma’s reliable defense at home and Sao Paulo’s injury issues. Our prediction leans towards Under 2.5 goals as both teams are likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

Our Prediction: Criciuma 1-1 Sao Paulo

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultDraw3.15
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.63

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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