The Criciúma vs Avaí prediction 2025 promises a thrilling clash in Brazil’s Série B, as these two Santa Catarina rivals face off in a highly anticipated derby. With both teams vying for promotion, this match carries significant weight, blending local pride with crucial league points.
The match is scheduled for June 27, 2025, at 23:30 GMT+0 at Estádio Heriberto Hülse in Criciúma, with a capacity of 19,300. The referee for this Série B 14th-round encounter is Bruno Arleu de Araujo from Rio de Janeiro, assisted by Gizeli Casaril and Tiaggo Americano Labes, with Wagner Reway overseeing VAR.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Our Criciúma vs Avaí betting tips focus on key trends and statistics to guide your wagers. The Criciúma vs Avaí prediction today highlights the importance of recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical setups. Both teams have shown inconsistent results, making this derby unpredictable. Historical data suggests low-scoring games, especially at Criciúma’s home ground. Expect a tactical battle with high stakes for local bragging rights.
Criciúma Results
Criciúma, known as “The Tigre,” have had a mixed start to their Série B campaign after relegation from Série A in 2024. Under coach Baptista, they’ve focused on stabilizing their defense, though their attack has struggled for consistency. Their recent matches reflect a team capable of grinding out results but vulnerable to lapses.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 21/06/2025 | Série B | América MG vs Criciúma | 1-1 | D |
| 16/06/2025 | Série B | Criciúma vs Amazonas | 3-2 | W |
| 10/06/2025 | Série B | Criciúma vs Vila Nova | 1-0 | W |
| 03/06/2025 | Série B | Paysandu vs Criciúma | 0-1 | W |
| 27/05/2025 | Série B | Criciúma vs Coritiba | 0-1 | L |
Criciúma’s recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, indicating a solid run. Their home victories against Amazonas and Vila Nova highlight their resilience at Estádio Heriberto Hülse. The draw against América MG suggests they can compete with stronger sides but struggle to convert chances. Their defense has improved, keeping clean sheets in two of the last four games. However, their loss to Coritiba exposed vulnerabilities against teams with sharp counterattacks.
Avaí Results
Avaí, nicknamed “Leão da Ilha,” are pushing for a top-four finish to secure promotion. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, with a mix of narrow wins and frustrating losses. The return of key players could bolster their chances in this derby.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 21/06/2025 | Série B | Avaí vs Athletico-PR | 1-2 | L |
| 18/06/2025 | Série B | Volta Redonda vs Avaí | 1-1 | D |
| 08/06/2025 | Série B | Avaí vs CRB | 1-0 | W |
| 31/05/2025 | Série B | Coritiba vs Avaí | 2-1 | L |
| 25/05/2025 | Série B | Avaí vs Chapecoense | 2-1 | W |
Avaí’s form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, reflecting their inconsistency. Their home win against CRB demonstrates their ability to grind out results, but the loss to Athletico-PR exposed defensive frailties. The draw against Volta Redonda on the road suggests resilience but a lack of cutting edge. Their attack, led by Cléber de Jesus, has been potent at times, but they’ve struggled to score consistently away. The narrow loss to Coritiba highlights their difficulty against well-organized defenses.
Criciúma vs Avaí Head-to-Head Results
The Criciúma vs Avaí rivalry, known as the Clássico Catarinense, is steeped in history, with 203 meetings since 1959. Criciúma hold a slight edge with 87 wins to Avaí’s 64, scoring 275 goals to Avaí’s 229. Recent encounters have been tightly contested, often decided by narrow margins.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 22/02/2025 | Catarinense | Avaí vs Criciúma | 0-3 |
| 13/02/2024 | Catarinense | Avaí vs Criciúma | 2-3 |
| 05/08/2023 | Série B | Avaí vs Criciúma | 1-0 |
| 29/04/2023 | Série B | Criciúma vs Avaí | 1-0 |
| 22/03/2023 | Catarinense | Criciúma vs Avaí | 1-0 |
Criciúma have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning four of the last five matches, including a 3-0 thrashing in February 2025. Avaí’s sole victory came in 2023, a 1-0 win at home. Most games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 13 of Criciúma’s last 14 home games against Avaí, suggesting a cautious approach from both sides.
Criciúma Possible Starting Lineup
Criciúma are expected to deploy their preferred 4-4-2 formation, balancing defensive solidity with wing-back support:
Alisson (GK), Marcinho (DF), Castan (DF), Rodrigo (DF), Henrique (DF), Robert (MF), Gabriel (MF), Trindade (MF), Lobo (MF), Nicolas (FW), Goncalves (FW).
Avaí Possible Starting Lineup
Avaí are likely to opt for a 4-4-2 setup, aiming to exploit counterattacks led by Cléber:
Bohn (GK), Sergio (DF), Casta (DF), Pedrao (DF), Railan (DF), Negueba (MF), Mendes (MF), Gabriel (MF), Vitor (MF), Barreto (FW), Cleber (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries and suspensions can significantly impact the outcome of the Criciúma vs Avaí match, affecting team strategies and performance. The table below lists players who are confirmed injured or doubtful for the game, based on the latest team updates. This information is critical for understanding potential weaknesses in each squad.
| Team | Player | Injury/Status |
| Criciúma | Fellipe Mateus | Hamstring (Injured) |
| Criciúma | Eder | Ankle (Questionable) |
| Avaí | Giovanni | Knee (Injured) |
| Avaí | Hygor | Thigh (Questionable) |
Key Factors to Watch
To craft an accurate Criciúma vs Avaí match prediction, several elements demand attention. Both teams bring unique strengths and weaknesses to this derby, influenced by form, injuries, and external factors. Below are the critical aspects that could shape the outcome.
- Criciúma’s Home Form: Criciúma have won three of their last four home games, leveraging the passionate support at Estádio Heriberto Hülse;
- Avaí’s Away Struggles: Avaí have failed to win in eight of their last nine away matches, often conceding late goals;
- Injuries: Criciúma welcome back a key midfielder from injury, boosting their midfield control;
- Avaí’s Key Player: Cléber de Jesus, Avaí’s top scorer with three goals, is a constant threat and could exploit Criciúma’s defense;
- Defensive Trends: Criciúma’s improved defense has kept clean sheets in two of their last four games, while Avaí have conceded in seven of their last eight away matches;
- Tactical Setup: Criciúma’s 3-5-2 formation, as confirmed in recent training, prioritizes defensive stability but may limit attacking flair;
- Referee Influence: Bruno Arleu de Araujo’s strict style could lead to cards, with both teams averaging over 2.3 cards per game;
- Motivation: The Clássico Catarinense adds extra intensity, with both teams desperate to claim local supremacy and boost their promotion hopes.
Free Tips on Criciúma vs Avaí
For the Criciúma vs Avaí match, leveraging statistical insights can enhance your betting strategy. This section offers key tips based on historical data and team dynamics, tailored to this specific derby. These pointers aim to help you make informed decisions without overlapping with previously discussed factors.
- Historical Scoring Trends: Criciúma and Avaí matches at Estádio Heriberto Hülse average 1.8 goals, with 70% of their last 10 encounters ending under 2.5 goals, favoring bets on low-scoring outcomes.
- Player Form Impact: Avaí’s Cléber de Jesus has scored in two of his last three matches, making him a likely candidate to influence the scoreline, especially on counterattacks.
- Pitch Conditions: The natural grass at Heriberto Hülse, known for its good maintenance, supports Criciúma’s controlled passing game, potentially giving them an edge in possession.
- Weather Considerations: June weather in Criciúma is typically mild, but potential rain could slow the game, benefiting Criciúma’s compact defensive setup over Avaí’s attacking transitions.
- Fan Influence: The passionate Criciúma home crowd, filling the 19,300-capacity stadium, often boosts the hosts’ intensity, increasing their chances of avoiding defeat.
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Criciúma vs Avaí Match Prediction 2025
The Criciúma vs Avaí prediction 2025 leans toward a tightly contested, low-scoring affair, given the historical trends and current form. Criciúma’s strong home record and Avaí’s poor away form make the hosts slight favorite. The Criciúma vs Avaí odds reflect this, with bookmakers pricing Criciúma at +105 and Avaí at +260, suggesting a 49% chance of a home win. However, Avaí’s resilience, as shown in their draw against Volta Redonda, indicates they won’t roll over easily. Criciúma’s defensive improvements, with clean sheets in recent games, give them an edge, but their lack of attacking potency could keep the scoreline tight. Avaí’s Cléber de Jesus remains a wildcard, capable of punishing any defensive lapses. Historical data supports under 2.5 goals, as 13 of the last 14 home games between these teams have seen fewer than three goals. The passionate derby atmosphere and tactical caution from both coaches suggest a draw or a narrow Criciúma win. We predict a 1-0 victory for Criciúma, driven by their home advantage and defensive solidity.
Our Prediction: Criciúma 1-0 Avaí
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Criciúma to Win | 2.12 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.51 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.67 |
Place your bet with confidence, as this clash promises to be a tactical battle with high stakes. Stake your bet on the match – Criciúma vs Avaí you can make at bc.game, where competitive odds and a seamless betting experience await.
