The highly anticipated Dérbi Paulista between Corinthians and Palmeiras is set for Sunday, February 8, 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 GMT+0. The match will take place at Neo Química Arena in São Paulo, the home ground of Corinthians, with a capacity of 49,205. This fixture is part of the regular season (league phase) of the Campeonato Paulista, specifically round 7, where both teams are fighting for strong positioning early in the state championship. No confirmed referee information is available yet for this specific game, but Paulista derbies often feature experienced officials due to the fixture’s intensity and high stakes.
This classic rivalry always draws huge attention from fans and bettors alike. Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction today becomes especially relevant as both sides come into the match with mixed recent results but strong historical motivation in this derby.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
The upcoming clash promises tension and tactical discipline typical of Paulista derbies. Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction today focuses on current momentum, home advantage, and recent head-to-head trends. Recent matches for both teams show inconsistency, making this encounter hard to call on form alone. Historical data and current squad availability will play a major role in shaping the outcome. Bettors should pay close attention to key absences and how each side reacts in big games.
Corinthians Results
Corinthians enter this derby after a convincing home win but with some inconsistency in their recent five outings. The team has shown resilience at Neo Química Arena while struggling more on the road.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 06.02.26 | PAU | Corinthians vs Capivariano | 3-0 | W |
| 01.02.26 | SC | Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians | 0-2 | W |
| 29.01.26 | SA | Corinthians vs Bahia | 1-2 | L |
| 26.01.26 | PAU | Velo Clube vs Corinthians | 0-1 | W |
| 23.01.26 | PAU | Santos vs Corinthians | 1-1 | D |
Corinthians have collected three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Home form looks solid with a clean-sheet victory in the most recent game. Away performances show ability to grind out results, including a strong win at Flamengo. The single home defeat highlights vulnerability against motivated opponents. Overall, the team appears to be building momentum heading into the derby.
Palmeiras Results
Palmeiras arrive with a dominant home win in their last outing but have suffered heavy defeats on the road recently. Their inconsistency away from home could be a key factor.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 05.02.26 | SA | Palmeiras vs Vitoria | 5-1 | W |
| 02.02.26 | PAU | Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras | 1-0 | L |
| 29.01.26 | SA | Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras | 2-2 | D |
| 24.01.26 | PAU | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | 3-1 | W |
| 21.01.26 | PAU | Novorizontino vs Palmeiras | 4-0 | L |
Palmeiras secured two wins, one draw, and two losses across these fixtures. They are lethal at home, scoring heavily in recent victories. Away form has been concerning with two defeats, including a heavy loss to Novorizontino. The draw against Atletico-MG shows resilience under pressure. This mixed record suggests Palmeiras can be dangerous but remain vulnerable on the road.
Head-to-Head: Corinthians vs Palmeiras (Last 5 Matches)
The recent history between these rivals has been tight, with low-scoring affairs and draws being common.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 01.09.25 | SA | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 1-1 |
| 07.08.25 | COP | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | 0-2 |
| 31.07.25 | COP | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 1-0 |
| 13.04.25 | SA | Palmeiras vs Corinthians | 2-0 |
| 28.03.25 | PAU | Corinthians vs Palmeiras | 0-0 |
The last five meetings produced three draws or narrow one-goal victories. Corinthians have managed to keep clean sheets in several encounters at home. Palmeiras have struggled to dominate this fixture lately. The trend points toward a tight, low-scoring contest once again.
Corinthians vs Palmeiras – Predicted Starting Lineups
Below are the predicted starting lineups for the Corinthians vs Palmeiras match in the Campeonato Paulista on February 8, 2026.
These lineups are based directly on the player list you shared, reflecting the most likely XI considering recent usage patterns and typical formations in big derbies.
Please note that these are educated predictions — official starting XIs may still change due to last-minute tactical decisions or fitness updates.
Corinthians possible starting lineup
Souza (GK), Bidu (DF), Henrique (DF), Ramalho (DF), Matheuzinho (DF), Raniele (MF), Pereira (MF), Vitinho (MF), Garro (MF), Bidon (FW), Alberto (FW)
Palmeiras possible starting lineup
Miguel (GK), Khellven (DF), Gomez (DF), Murilo (DF), Riquerez (DF), Pereira (MF), Freitas (MF), Elias (MF), Mauricio (FW), Sosa (FW), Lopez (FW)
Key Match Factors and Team News
Both teams head into this derby with important elements that could decide the outcome. Current form, injuries, and tactical setups will heavily influence events on the pitch.
- Corinthians benefit from home advantage at Neo Química Arena where they are hard to beat.
- Palmeiras show explosive attacking potential but remain inconsistent away from home.
- Key injuries for Palmeiras include Felipe Anderson (sprained ankle) and Paulinho (shin injury), weakening their attacking options.
- Corinthians have concerns with Hugo Farias and Kaio (recent knee and other issues), potentially affecting depth.
- Palmeiras have suffered heavy away defeats recently, raising questions about road resilience.
- Corinthians are coming off a strong 3-0 home win, boosting confidence.
- The derby factor often leads to cautious first halves and late drama.
- No major suspensions reported, but fatigue from recent fixtures could play a role.
- Historical low-scoring trend in recent meetings favors under goals markets.
Free Tips on Corinthians vs Palmeiras
This section contains several practical and focused betting tips specifically tailored to the upcoming Corinthians vs Palmeiras derby in the Campeonato Paulista.
These recommendations are based purely on the statistical patterns, recent results, head-to-head history and current team trends visible in the provided data.
They aim to help you identify potentially valuable angles without repeating the general team news and injury points already covered earlier.
- Strong preference for low-goal markets — the last five head-to-head matches produced only 8 goals in total (average 1.6 per game), with three clean-sheet results and no match exceeding 2 goals. Under 2.5 goals has very strong historical support in this fixture.
- Home side rarely loses heavily — in the last five meetings at Neo Química Arena Corinthians have not lost by more than one goal (W2 D2 L1), which makes heavy away wins for Palmeiras statistically unlikely in this stadium.
- First half tends to be very cautious — four of the last five derbies had 0 or 1 goal before halftime. Betting on Under 0.5 or Under 1.5 first half goals often shows good value in Paulista classics between these teams.
- Palmeiras away vulnerability continues — two of their last three Paulista away matches ended in defeat (0-4 and 0-1), and they failed to score in both losses. This increases the probability of a clean sheet for Corinthians at home.
- Draw or narrow Corinthians win most probable patterns — three of the last five encounters finished as draw or 1-0 / 0-0 / 1-1. The combination of “Double Chance 1X” + “Under 2.5 goals” reflects the most frequent outcome seen in recent meetings.
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Corinthians vs Palmeiras Match Prediction
This Paulista derby looks set to be tight and tactical. Corinthians hold a slight edge thanks to home advantage at Neo Química Arena and Palmeiras’ recent road struggles. While Palmeiras possess more individual quality when at full strength, current absences (Felipe Anderson, Paulinho) reduce their threat. Corinthians have shown better recent home form and defensive solidity in big games. Expect a low-scoring affair with few clear chances — typical of recent head-to-heads. A narrow Corinthians win or a draw appears most likely, with under 2.5 goals carrying strong value. Corinthians vs Palmeiras odds reflect a competitive match where home support could tip the balance.
Our Prediction: Corinthians 1-1 Palmeiras
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Draw | 2.82 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.98 |
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