Get ready for an intense clash as Ceará takes on Sport Recife in the Brazil Serie A Betano! Our Ceará vs Sport Recife prediction 2025 dives into the stats, form, and key factors to help you make smart betting choices. This match promises action, and I’m here to break it down with clear insights and practical tips
The game kicks off on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at 19:00 GMT+0 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, known as Castelão, in Fortaleza, with a capacity of 64,846. Referee G. Bauermann will oversee this Serie A regular-season match, where Ceará aims to leverage their home advantage against a struggling Sport Recife side.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Let’s set the stage for our Ceará vs Sport Recife betting tips. The Ceará vs Sport Recife prediction today hinges on recent performances and head-to-head history. Both teams have shown distinct trends in their last five matches, with Ceará looking stronger at home. Sport Recife’s struggles, especially away, make this a compelling matchup. We’ll unpack their form and past encounters to guide your bets.
Ceará Results
Ceará has been a tough nut to crack at home, making them favorites in this clash. Their recent games show a mix of grit and attacking flair, particularly at Castelão. Let’s look at their last five matches to see what’s clicking.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 13/05/25 | Serie A | Santos vs Ceará | 0-0 | D |
| 04/05/25 | Serie A | Ceará vs Vitória | 1-0 | W |
| 01/05/25 | Copa | Ceará vs Palmeiras | 0-1 | L |
| 27/04/25 | Serie A | Ceará vs São Paulo | 1-1 | D |
| 22/04/25 | Serie A | Bahia vs Ceará | 1-0 | L |
Ceará’s home form is their backbone, with an unbeaten run in their last three home games. The 1-0 win over Vitória highlights their ability to grind out results. However, their away struggles, like the loss to Bahia, show they rely heavily on Castelão’s energy. Pedro Raul’s goals have been crucial, but they need sharper finishing to dominate. Defensive solidity, conceding just 0.88 goals per game in Serie A, gives them an edge.
Sport Recife Results
Sport Recife is in a rough patch, winless in Serie A this season. Their attack has fizzled, and defensive lapses are costing them dearly. Let’s check their last five games to understand their slump.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11/05/25 | Serie A | Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro | 0-4 | L |
| 04/05/25 | Serie A | Fluminense vs Sport Recife | 2-1 | L |
| 27/04/25 | Serie A | Sport Recife vs Fortaleza | 0-0 | D |
| 19/04/25 | Serie A | Corinthians vs Sport Recife | 2-1 | L |
| 17/04/25 | Serie A | Sport Recife vs Bragantino | 0-1 | L |
Sport Recife’s inability to win is glaring, with no victories in eight Serie A games. The 0-4 thrashing by Cruzeiro exposed their defensive frailties, conceding 1.75 goals per game. Their attack, averaging just 0.5 goals in the league, lacks punch. The draw against Fortaleza shows some resilience, but away losses pile pressure. They need a miracle to turn things around at Castelão.
Ceará vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
Past clashes between Ceará and Sport Recife often spark drama. Their head-to-head record leans slightly toward Sport Recife, but Ceará’s home edge could shift the tide. Let’s review their last five encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 08/10/24 | Serie B | Sport Recife vs Ceará | 2-1 |
| 21/06/24 | Serie B | Ceará vs Sport Recife | 0-0 |
| 11/04/24 | Copa | Sport Recife vs Ceará | 2-1 |
| 28/10/23 | Serie B | Ceará vs Sport Recife | 2-1 |
| 03/07/23 | Serie B | Sport Recife vs Ceará | 2-0 |
Sport Recife has won three of the last five, but Ceará’s 2-1 home win in 2023 shows they can hold their own. The 0-0 draw last year suggests tight contests are possible. Ceará’s home crowd could make the difference this time.
Predicted Lineups for Ceará vs Sport Recife
Get a sneak peek at the likely starting elevens for the Ceará vs Sport Recife clash on May 17, 2025, in Brazil Serie A Betano. These predicted lineups, based on current form, injuries, and tactical setups, give you a clear picture of how both teams might approach this crucial match at Castelão. Below, we break down the expected players for each side, position by position, to help you understand the potential on-field dynamics.
Ceará Predicted Lineup
Ceará is expected to field a strong side, leaning on their key performers like Pedro Raul and Lucas Mugni to dominate at home.
Richard (GK), Aderlan (DF), Gabriel Lacerda (DF), David Ricardo (DF), Matheus Felipe (DF), Lucas Mugni (MF), Andrey (MF), Erick Pulga (MF), Saulo Mineiro (FW), Pedro Raul (FW), Vitor Gabriel (FW)
Sport Recife Predicted Lineup
Sport Recife will likely rely on their available players, with Caique França in goal and Pablo leading the attack, despite their ongoing struggles.
Caique França (GK), Matheus Alexandre (DF), Silva J. (DF), Chico (DF), Igor Carius (DF), Du Queiroz (MF), Rivera C. (MF), Oliveira S. (MF), Chrystian Barletta (FW), Pablo (FW), Carlos Alberto (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
To nail your Ceará vs Sport Recife match prediction, focus on the details that shape the game. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses, and external factors like injuries or form can tip the scales. Here’s what matters most.
- Ceará’s home form: Unbeaten in their last three home games, averaging 2.5 points per game;
- Sport Recife’s away struggles: No wins in Serie A away matches, conceding 1.75 goals per game;
- Pedro Raul’s impact: Ceará’s top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for their attack;
- Sport Recife’s blunt attack: Only 4 goals in 8 Serie A games, averaging 0.5 per match;
- Defensive contrast: Ceará concedes 0.88 goals per game in Serie A, Sport Recife 1.75;
- Injury concerns: No major injuries reported for Ceará, but Sport Recife’s Igor Aquino is doubtful;
- Recent momentum: Ceará’s 1-0 win over Vitória boosts confidence, while Sport Recife’s 0-4 loss to Cruzeiro dents morale;
- Referee factor: G. Bauermann’s strict style could favor Ceará’s disciplined play.
Free Tips on Ceará vs Sport Recife
To make the most of your betting on the Ceará vs Sport Recife clash, you need sharp insights tailored to this match. This list of free tips, grounded in team stats and head-to-head data, highlights critical factors that could sway the outcome on May 17, 2025, at Castelão. Let’s dive into practical advice to boost your betting edge.
- Track Recent Team Form: Ceará’s three-game unbeaten home streak shows confidence, while Sport Recife’s winless run in eight Serie A matches signals low morale, likely impacting their performance in Fortaleza.
- Study Head-to-Head Trends: Sport Recife won three of the last five meetings, but Ceará’s 2-1 home victory in 2023 suggests they can exploit Castelão’s advantage to shift the tide.
- Check Home vs. Away Splits: Ceará averages 2.5 points per game at home compared to 0.5 away, while Sport Recife’s away form is dire, with no wins and 1.75 goals conceded per Serie A match.
- Consider Stadium Atmosphere: Castelão’s 64,846-capacity crowd acts as Ceará’s 12th man, potentially overwhelming Sport Recife, who struggle under pressure away from home.
- Account for Pitch and Weather: Fortaleza’s typically warm May weather and Castelão’s natural grass pitch favor Ceará’s controlled style, while rain could slow play, suiting their defensive setup.
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Ceará vs Sport Recife Prediction 2025
Our Ceará vs Sport Recife prediction 2025 points to a Ceará victory, and here’s why. Ceará’s rock-solid home form, averaging 2.5 points per game at Castelão, gives them a clear edge. They’ve conceded just 7 goals in 8 Serie A matches, thanks to a tight defense led by Lucas Mugni’s playmaking. Pedro Raul’s 4 goals make their attack a threat, especially against Sport Recife’s leaky backline, which allows 1.75 goals per game. Sport Recife’s winless run in Serie A, paired with a measly 0.5 goals per match, screams trouble. Their recent 0-4 loss to Cruzeiro shows they crumble under pressure, and facing a roaring Fortaleza crowd won’t help. The Ceará vs Sport Recife odds reflect this, with bookmakers favoring the hosts. Historical data adds weight: Ceará’s 2-1 home win over Sport Recife in 2023 proves they can deliver. While Sport Recife might nick a goal, their overall form suggests they’re outmatched. Expect Ceará to control the game, likely winning 2-0 or 2-1, as their attack capitalizes on Sport Recife’s defensive gaps.
Our Prediction: Ceará 2-0 Sport Recife
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Ceará Win | 1.91 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.61 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.5 |
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