Istanbul erupts as Besiktas hosts Fenerbahce in the eternal derby, third against fourth with five points separating the fierce rivals after 10 rounds of Turkey Super Lig action. The Black Eagles seek redemption at Tupras after a wasteful draw, while the Yellow Canaries ride a six-game unbeaten streak, hunting their first away derby win in four years. Expect chaos, cards, and goals in a clash where history, form, and fire collide.
The battle commences at 17:00 GMT+0 on November 2, 2025, at Tupras Stadium in Istanbul, capacity 42,590, where Besiktas boasts 3W, 5D, 1L in nine home derbies since 2016. Referee Yilmaz A. officiates, averaging 4.5 cards per match with a 52% home decision lean. This Turkey Super Lig round 11 fixture pits Besiktas (18 points) against Fenerbahce (20 points), both chasing the summit amid European commitments. Mild 18°C with clouds favors the slick pitch.
Betting Tips and Match Insights for Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
Crafting a sharp Besiktas vs Fenerbahce prediction today requires dissecting home fortress stats against road resilience to spot overpriced markets. Besiktas’ derby discipline woes meet Fenerbahce’s clean-sheet run, flagging card and goal totals. Head-to-head trends scream parity, guiding handicap plays. These elements build Besiktas vs Fenerbahce betting tips rooted in xG and foul data. Prepare for breakdowns revealing where lines undervalue intensity.
Besiktas Results
Besiktas oscillates with one back-to-back league win this term, averaging 1.7 goals scored from 5.1 shots on target across 10 matches. Home xG hits 1.9, fueled by Under’s width, but concessions average 1.2. Sergen Yalcin demands focus amid fan pressure.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Besiktas |
| 26/10/2025 | Super Lig | Kasimpasa vs Besiktas | 1-1 | D |
| 22/10/2025 | Super Lig | Konyaspor vs Besiktas | 0-2 | W |
| 18/10/2025 | Super Lig | Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi | 1-2 | L |
| 04/10/2025 | Super Lig | Galatasaray vs Besiktas | 1-1 | D |
| 29/09/2025 | Super Lig | Besiktas vs Kocaelispor | 3-1 | W |
Besiktas claims two wins in five, both away, netting via transitions and set pieces. The Kasimpasa draw wasted Abraham’s penalty, xG at 1.4. Home loss to Genclerbirligi exposed 1.8 xGA, but Kocaelispor romp hit 2.1. Under’s goal paces threats, yet 22 reds in 50 derbies flag risks. Patterns favor BTTS, hitting 60%.
Fenerbahce Results
Fenerbahce thrives unbeaten in six (4W, 2D), averaging 1.8 goals from 5.8 shots on target, with four clean sheets. Road xG sits 1.6, powered by En-Nesyri-Talisca duo. Domenico Tedesco instills steel.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Fenerbahce |
| 27/10/2025 | Super Lig | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce | 0-4 | W |
| 23/10/2025 | Europa League | Fenerbahce vs Stuttgart | 1-0 | W |
| 19/10/2025 | Super Lig | Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk | 2-1 | W |
| 05/10/2025 | Super Lig | Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce | 0-0 | D |
| 02/10/2025 | Europa League | Fenerbahce vs Nice | 2-1 | W |
Fenerbahce’s Gaziantep thrashing yielded 2.3 xG, En-Nesyri-Talisca bagging braces. Stuttgart shutout showcased 1.0 xGA defense. Road draws like Samsunspor underline grit, 55% duels won. Talisca’s four goals drive 70% overs. Streak suits clean-sheet props.
Head-to-Head Between Besiktas and Fenerbahce
Derbies between Besiktas and Fenerbahce pulse with goals, averaging 2.8, though recent home ties favor the Eagles (2W, 2D, 1L). First scorers win 90% since 2015. Tupras splits 3-5-1 for hosts.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 04/05/2025 | Super Lig | Fenerbahce vs Besiktas | 0-1 |
| 07/12/2024 | Super Lig | Besiktas vs Fenerbahce | 1-0 |
| 27/04/2024 | Super Lig | Fenerbahce vs Besiktas | 2-1 |
| 09/12/2023 | Super Lig | Besiktas vs Fenerbahce | 1-3 |
| 02/04/2023 | Super Lig | Fenerbahce vs Besiktas | 2-4 |
Besiktas’ May upset broke Fener’s home run, xG 1.1 each. Tupras wins hit via counters, but 34 reds (22 Besiktas) spike cards. Totals over 2.5 in 60%.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
Lineups hinge on final fitness reports and tactical calls, but these projected sides align with recent Super Lig selections, integrate recoveries like Rafa Silva, and account for confirmed absences.
Besiktas :
Gunok (GK), Sazdagi (DF), Djalo (DF), Topcu (DF), Yilmaz (DF), Ndidi (MF), Kokcu (MF), Cerny (AM), Yilmaz (AM), Toure (AM), Abraham (FW)
Fenerbahce :
Ederson (GK), Semedo (DF), Skriniar (DF), Oosterwolde (DF), Brown (DF), Alvarez (MF), Nene (MF), Asensio (AM), Yuksek (AM), Akturkoglu (AM), En Nesyri (FW)
Injured and Questionable Players
Absences force adjustments, with Besiktas light in midfield and Fenerbahce missing proven finishers.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Besiktas | Ege Tiknaz | Knee Injury |
| Besiktas | Rafa Silva | Inactive |
| Fenerbahce | Irfan Can Kahveci | Ankle Injury |
| Fenerbahce | Cenk Tosun | Inactive |
| Fenerbahce | Mert Hakan Yandas | Lacking Match Fitness |
Key Factors to Watch in Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
Diverse inputs fuel this Istanbul inferno, from bonuses to disciplinary demons in a packed Tupras. Besiktas’ home pride meets Fenerbahce’s streak, with player outputs and ref lean pivotal. Rivalry amplifies every moment.
- Besiktas’ 3W, 5D, 1L in nine Tupras derbies, averaging 1.8 goals;
- Fenerbahce’s six unbeaten (4W, 2D), four clean sheets;
- Rafa Silva returns for Besiktas, boosting 1.9 xG home;
- Ege Tiknaz out knee, weakening Besiktas midfield;
- Fenerbahce misses Tosun, Kahveci, Yandas; Duran benches;
- En-Nesyri-Talisca’s 11 goals exploit Besiktas’ 1.2 xGA flanks;
- Yilmaz A.’s 4.5 cards, 52% home bias in derbies;
- First goal wins 90% in 41 clashes, Besiktas leads 16 home;
- Board bonus motivates Besiktas, fan pressure mounts;
- 18°C clouds suit Fenerbahce’s press, PPDA 9.8.
Free Tips on Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
These concise pointers drill into shot volumes, equalizer patterns, and derby foul trends for the Besiktas vs Fenerbahce showdown, where Besiktas averages 5.1 shots on target home and Fenerbahce concedes 4.8 away in league play. With first scorers winning 90% of the last 41 derbies and 60% over 2.5 goals in H2H, the focus locks on timing and dead-ball edges. Each tip ties to xG splits from recent fixtures and Tupras data for calculated plays.
- Besiktas registers 11.4 attempts per home match with 5.1 on target, while Fenerbahce allows 4.8 shots on goal road, so over 9.5 total shots lands in 70% of similar high-stakes ties;
- Teams trailing in derbies equalize 65% post-60 minutes across 50 meetings, favoring late draw coverage or second-half goals over 1.0 given 55% post-interval strikes;
- Referee Yilmaz A. issues 4.5 cards with 52% home decisions, spiking to 5.8 in derbies, making over 5.5 cards a staple as Besiktas commits 12.2 fouls per game;
- Tupras derbies average 10.8 corners since 2016, Besiktas forcing 6.2 home and Fenerbahce 5.1 away, positioning over 10.5 corners at value in 65% hit rate;
- Youssef En-Nesyri scores 40% from headers in league, exploiting Besiktas’ 1.2 xGA aerial, so anytime scorer for the Moroccan carries edge in set-piece heavy clashes.
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Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Match Prediction 2025
We foresee a 2-2 thriller in this Besiktas vs Fenerbahce prediction 2025, capturing Tupras magic where hosts score 1.8 but concede on counters, matching Fenerbahce’s 1.6 xG road against leaky flanks. Abraham rebounds from penalty miss, exploiting Skriniar’s 48% aerials, while En-Nesyri-Talisca (11 goals) punish transitions, xGA 1.2 each. Silva’s return lifts Besiktas’ 55% possession, but 22 reds in 50 derbies invite chaos under Yilmaz’s 4.5 cards. Besiktas vs Fenerbahce odds price draw at 3.60, implying 27.8% yet models hit 35% with 60% over 2.5 H2H; Asian 0 at evens hedges. Expect 11.2 corners, cards over 5.5 at 1.90, BTTS yes at 1.70 as first scorers win 90%. Bonus spurs Besiktas, streak steels Fener post-Gaziantep. This mirrors December’s 1-0 but explodes post-interval in shared spoils.
Our Prediction: Besiktas 2-2 Fenerbahce
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.54 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.64 |
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