The UEFA Champions League qualification play-off second leg between Benfica and Fenerbahce is set to take place on August 27, 2025, at 19:00 GMT+0 at the iconic Estádio da Luz in Lisbon, with a capacity of 68,100. Slovenian referee Vincic S. will oversee this crucial match, where both teams aim to secure a spot in the competition’s league phase after a goalless first leg in Istanbul.
Benfica, a Portuguese powerhouse with a strong Champions League pedigree, are under pressure to overturn their recent scoring struggles, while Fenerbahce, led by experienced manager José Mourinho, seek their first main draw appearance in 17 years. With both teams showing resilience in recent domestic outings, this Benfica vs Fenerbahce match prediction promises a tightly contested battle where tactical discipline and key individual performances will likely decide the outcome.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section prepares readers for a detailed look at the form and historical context shaping the Benfica vs Fenerbahce prediction today. Both teams have shown mixed results in recent matches, with Benfica maintaining a robust defensive record and Fenerbahce finding their scoring touch. The head-to-head history leans slightly in Benfica’s favor, setting the stage for a competitive encounter. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed betting decisions. Here, we break down the key factors influencing the Benfica vs Fenerbahce betting tips.
Benfica Results
Benfica’s recent performances reflect a team with strong defensive solidity but occasional struggles in attack. Their goalless draw in the first leg against Fenerbahce marked a rare failure to score, ending a 24-match streak with at least one goal. A subsequent 3-0 league win over Tondela suggests they are regaining their rhythm ahead of this pivotal home match.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23/08/25 | Primeira Liga | Benfica vs Tondela | 3-0 | W |
| 20/08/25 | Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Benfica | 0-0 | D |
| 16/08/25 | Primeira Liga | Estrela vs Benfica | 0-1 | W |
| 12/08/25 | Champions League | Benfica vs Nice | 2-0 | W |
| 06/08/25 | Champions League | Nice vs Benfica | 0-2 | W |
Benfica’s six consecutive clean sheets across all competitions highlight their defensive strength, particularly at home. Their ability to score at least twice in seven of their last eight home games underscores their attacking potential at Estádio da Luz. The goalless draw against Fenerbahce was an anomaly, as Benfica typically dominate at home. Their recent 3-0 win over Tondela suggests confidence is high. However, they must convert chances to avoid extra time or penalties in this tie.
Fenerbahce Results
Fenerbahce, under José Mourinho’s guidance, have shown resilience despite inconsistent European away form. Their 3-1 victory over Kocaelispor broke a run of two goalless draws, indicating a potential return to scoring form. This match will test their ability to perform on the road against a formidable opponent.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23/08/25 | Super Lig | Fenerbahce vs Kocaelispor | 3-1 | W |
| 20/08/25 | Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Benfica | 0-0 | D |
| 16/08/25 | Super Lig | Goztepe vs Fenerbahce | 0-0 | D |
| 12/08/25 | Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord | 5-2 | W |
| 06/08/25 | Champions League | Feyenoord vs Fenerbahce | 2-1 | L |
Fenerbahce’s recent form shows a mix of offensive firepower and defensive lapses, particularly away from home. Their 3-1 win over Kocaelispor indicates improved attacking output, but only two wins in eight European away games under Mourinho suggest challenges in Lisbon. Both teams scored in six of their last seven away matches, pointing to defensive vulnerabilities. The high card count in their recent games, including a red card in the first leg, reflects their physical approach. Fenerbahce will need to balance aggression with discipline to compete.
Benfica vs Fenerbahce Head-to-Head
The head-to-head record between Benfica and Fenerbahce provides critical context for this match. Benfica have remained unbeaten in their last four competitive meetings, giving them a psychological edge. However, Fenerbahce’s resilience under Mourinho could make this encounter closer than past results suggest.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 20/08/25 | Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Benfica | 0-0 |
| 26/07/25 | Club Friendly | Benfica vs Fenerbahce | 3-2 |
| 14/08/18 | Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Benfica | 1-1 |
| 07/08/18 | Champions League | Benfica vs Fenerbahce | 1-0 |
| 02/05/13 | Europa League | Benfica vs Fenerbahce | 3-1 |
Benfica’s unbeaten run in the last four meetings (W2, D2) and their overall edge (W3, D2, L2) suggest a slight advantage. Their home victories in 2018 and 2013 highlight their strength at Estádio da Luz. Fenerbahce’s inability to win in recent head-to-heads, combined with their inconsistent away form, puts them at a disadvantage, though the goalless first leg keeps the tie open.
Benfica Possible Starting Lineup
Benfica is likely to deploy a 4-3-3 formation, leveraging their home strength and attacking depth to secure a crucial victory.
Trubin (GK), Dedic (DF), Silva (DF), Otamendi (DF), Dahl (DF), Rios (MF), Barrenechea (MF), Barreiro (MF), Aursnes (FW), Pavlidis (FW), Akturkoglu (FW)
Fenerbahce Possible Starting Lineup
Fenerbahce, under José Mourinho, is expected to opt for a 4-3-3 setup, aiming to balance defensive solidity with counter-attacking threats.
Egribayat (GK), Muldur (DF), Skirniar (DF), Oosterwolde (DF), Brown (DF), Semedo (MF), Amrabat (MF), Fred (MF), Szymanski (FW), Duran (FW), En-Nesyri (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements will shape the outcome of this crucial Champions League qualifier. Both teams bring distinct strengths and vulnerabilities to the pitch, influenced by recent form, player availability, and tactical approaches. Below are the critical points to monitor for the Benfica vs Fenerbahce prediction 2025.
- Benfica’s defensive streak: Six consecutive clean sheets across all competitions highlight their backline’s reliability;
- Fenerbahce’s away struggles: Only two wins in their last eight European away games suggest vulnerability on the road;
- Benfica’s home scoring form: Scoring at least twice in seven of their last eight home matches makes them dangerous at Estádio da Luz;
- Fenerbahce’s physicality: Four red cards in their last seven matches indicate a risk of disciplinary issues;
- Franjo Ivanović’s impact: Benfica’s new signing has scored five of his last six club goals before half-time, posing an early threat;
- Archie Brown’s contributions: Fenerbahce’s defender has four goal involvements in his last four games, adding an attacking dimension;
- No major injuries: Both teams report no fresh injury concerns, ensuring near-full-strength squads;
- Mourinho’s experience: His six wins in ten managerial meetings against Benfica could inspire a tactical masterclass.
Free Tips on Benfica vs Fenerbahce
To make informed betting decisions for the Benfica vs Fenerbahce match, leveraging statistical insights and contextual factors is essential. This section provides practical tips derived from the teams’ recent performances and historical data. These pointers focus on unique aspects not covered in the key factors, offering additional angles for the Benfica vs Fenerbahce betting tips.
- Referee tendencies: Slovenian referee Vincic S. oversaw a first leg with ten cards, including one red, suggesting a high likelihood of over 4.5 cards in this match due to his strict approach.
- Pitch conditions at Estádio da Luz: The well-maintained natural grass pitch favors Benfica’s possession-based style, potentially giving them an edge in controlling the game’s tempo.
- Fan influence: The passionate 68,100-strong crowd at Estádio da Luz often acts as a ‘12th man,’ boosting Benfica’s performance in high-stakes home games.
- Fenerbahce’s congested schedule: Playing three matches in ten days may lead to fatigue, potentially impacting their intensity against a fresher Benfica side.
- Weather impact: Lisbon’s forecast for August 27, 2025, suggests clear conditions, ensuring smooth ball movement and favoring Benfica’s technical play.
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Benfica vs Fenerbahce Match Prediction
The Benfica vs Fenerbahce prediction today leans toward a narrow home victory, driven by Benfica’s formidable home record and defensive solidity. Their six clean sheets in a row and consistent scoring at Estádio da Luz (at least two goals in seven of eight recent home games) make them favorites. Fenerbahce’s recent 3-1 win shows attacking potential, but their poor European away form (two wins in eight) and disciplinary issues (four red cards in seven games) could hinder them. José Mourinho’s tactical acumen and historical success against Benfica (six wins in ten) keep the tie competitive, but Benfica’s home advantage and attacking consistency should prevail. The Benfica vs Fenerbahce odds reflect this, with Benfica likely favored to win within 90 minutes. A low-scoring game is probable, given the first leg’s goalless draw and Benfica’s defensive form, but Fenerbahce’s tendency for both teams to score in away games suggests they could find the net. A 2-1 Benfica win feels realistic, balancing their home strength with Fenerbahce’s attacking threat.
Our Prediction: Benfica 2-1 Fenerbahce
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Benfica to Win | 1.6 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.76 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.82 |
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