Australia face Japan in a pivotal AFC World Cup Qualification match, with the Socceroos aiming to secure their spot at the 2026 World Cup. A win in Perth could virtually guarantee their qualification, while Japan, already qualified, look to maintain their unbeaten streak.
The match kicks off at 11:10 PM GMT+0 on June 5, 2025, at Optus Stadium in Perth, with a capacity of 65,000. This third-round Group C clash sees Australia chasing second place behind Japan, with no specific referee information available for this fixture.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This Australia vs Japan prediction today sets the stage for a detailed look at both teams’ recent performances and historical encounters. The Socceroos are under new management with Tony Popovic, who remains unbeaten, while Japan’s squad features fresh faces. Recent form, head-to-head results, and key player availability will shape the outcome. Both teams have shown resilience, but Japan’s superior goal-scoring record could be decisive. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed betting decisions.
Australia Results
Australia have shown solid form under Tony Popovic, with back-to-back wins in March boosting their qualification hopes. A draw against Japan in their last meeting highlights their competitiveness. The Socceroos’ home advantage at Optus Stadium could play a significant role.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 25/03/25 | WC | China vs Australia | 0-2 | W |
| 20/03/25 | WC | Australia vs Indonesia | 5-1 | W |
| 19/11/24 | WC | Bahrain vs Australia | 2-2 | D |
| 14/11/24 | WC | Australia vs Saudi Arabia | 0-0 | D |
| 15/10/24 | WC | Japan vs Australia | 1-1 | D |
Australia’s recent results reflect a strong attacking output, scoring seven goals in their last two matches. Their unbeaten run over five games shows consistency, though draws against Bahrain and Saudi Arabia suggest defensive vulnerabilities. Home form remains a strength, with a 5-1 thrashing of Indonesia. The 1-1 draw in Japan proves they can hold their own against top sides. Popovic’s tactical discipline has improved their structure, particularly in midfield.
Japan Results
Japan have dominated Group C, securing qualification with an unbeaten record. Their attacking prowess, averaging three goals per game, makes them formidable. However, a rotated squad for this match may impact their usual fluency.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 25/03/25 | WC | Japan vs Saudi Arabia | 0-0 | D |
| 20/03/25 | WC | Japan vs Bahrain | 2-0 | W |
| 19/11/24 | WC | China vs Japan | 1-3 | W |
| 15/11/24 | WC | Indonesia vs Japan | 0-4 | W |
| 15/10/24 | WC | Japan vs Australia | 1-1 | D |
Japan’s results underline their dominance, with three wins and two draws in their last five games. Their 4-0 rout of Indonesia and 3-1 win in China showcase their attacking depth. The 0-0 draw against Saudi Arabia exposed rare defensive caution. A depleted squad may temper their aggression in Perth. Still, their defensive record, conceding just two goals in eight games, remains a key asset.
Australia vs Japan Head-to-Head Results
Historical clashes between Australia and Japan have been tightly contested, with Japan holding the upper hand in recent years. Their last meeting ended in a draw, showing Australia’s growing resilience. These results provide context for the upcoming battle.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 15/10/24 | WC | Japan vs Australia | 1-1 |
| 24/03/22 | WC | Australia vs Japan | 0-2 |
| 12/10/21 | WC | Japan vs Australia | 2-1 |
| 31/08/17 | WC | Japan vs Australia | 2-0 |
| 11/10/16 | WC | Australia vs Japan | 1-1 |
Japan have won three of the last five meetings, but two draws indicate Australia’s ability to compete. The Socceroos have struggled to convert chances against Japan’s disciplined defense. Home advantage could shift the balance slightly in Australia’s favor.
Australia Predicted Lineup
Australia’s lineup is expected to leverage their home advantage with a strong attacking setup: Ryan (GK), Geria (DF), Burgess (DF), Degenek (DF), Miller (DF), Teague (MF), O’Neill (MF), Behich (MF), McGree (MF), Boyle (FW), Borrello (FW).
Japan Predicted Lineup
Japan’s rotated squad, missing several Europe-based stars, will rely on veterans and debutants: Z. Suzuki (GK), Seko (DF), Machida (DF), Takai (DF), Morishita (DF), Fujita (MF), Endo (MF), Nakamura (MF), Kubo (MF), Kamada (FW), Machino (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Player availability is a critical factor for the Australia vs Japan match, with both teams dealing with absences that could influence their strategies. Australia benefit from key players returning from injury, while Japan’s squad is notably depleted due to rested stars and minor injuries. The table below details confirmed and potential absences.
| Team | Player | Status/Injury |
| Australia | Jackson Irvine | Foot surgery (confirmed absence) |
| Australia | Alessandro Circati | ACL recovery (questionable, recently returned) |
| Australia | Riley McGree | Recent injury recovery (questionable) |
| Japan | Kaoru Mitoma | Rested (not called up) |
| Japan | Ao Tanaka | Rested (not called up) |
| Japan | Ko Itakura | Rested (not called up) |
| Japan | Ayase Ueda | Rested (not called up) |
| Japan | Hidemasa Morita | Rested (not called up) |
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams bring distinct strengths to this Australia vs Japan match prediction. Injuries, form, and tactical adjustments will shape the outcome. Here are the critical elements to consider:
- Australia’s Home Form: Undefeated in recent home qualifiers, with a 5-1 win over Indonesia;
- Japan’s Depleted Squad: Missing stars like Mitoma and Ueda, relying on debutants;
- Australia’s Injury Recoveries: Alessandro Circati and Riley McGree return, bolstering defense and midfield;
- Japan’s Defensive Record: Conceded only two goals in eight qualifying matches;
- Australia’s Attacking Options: Borrello, Duke, and Taggart compete for the starting striker role;
- Japan’s Experience: Veterans Nagatomo and Endo provide leadership despite new faces;
- Recent Form: Australia’s two wins contrast with Japan’s three wins and two draws;
- Historical Struggles: Australia haven’t beaten Japan in 16 years, adding pressure.
Free Tips on Australia vs Japan
For the Australia vs Japan match on June 5, 2025, understanding specific statistical and contextual factors can enhance your betting decisions. This list highlights key insights derived from team and player data, focusing on elements that could influence the outcome in Perth. These tips are tailored to provide a strategic edge for this AFC World Cup Qualification clash.
- Pitch Surface and Condition: Optus Stadium’s natural grass pitch is typically well-maintained, favoring Australia’s quick passing game. Japan, accustomed to varied surfaces, may adapt well, but any rain could slow the pitch, impacting their high-tempo style. Check weather updates closer to match day to gauge potential effects.
- Player Form: Australia’s attacking options, like Mitch Duke, are in strong form, with Duke scoring twice in recent qualifiers. Japan’s rotated squad lacks regular starters, potentially reducing their attacking threat. Focus on Australia’s key forwards for goal-scoring potential.
- Referee Tendencies: The appointed referee’s card and penalty history could influence the game’s flow. A strict official might disrupt Japan’s debutants, who may lack discipline. Research the referee’s stats on platforms like SofaScore for betting on cards.
- Stadium and Fan Influence: The 65,000-capacity Optus Stadium will be a cauldron of support for Australia, boosting their morale. Japan, playing away, may face pressure from the hostile crowd. Expect Australia to leverage this “12th man” for added intensity.
- Recent Schedule Fatigue: Australia’s lighter schedule, with a training camp in the UAE, ensures freshness. Japan, after extensive travel and a congested qualifying campaign, might show signs of fatigue. This could favor Australia in the latter stages.
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Australia vs Japan Match Prediction 2025
This Australia vs Japan prediction 2025 hinges on Australia’s home advantage and Japan’s rotated squad. The Socceroos are in fine form, with seven goals in their last two games, and Popovic’s pragmatic approach suits high-stakes matches. Japan, despite their unbeaten run, may lack cohesion with seven debutants and key absences like Mitoma. Their defensive solidity (two goals conceded in eight games) remains a challenge, but Australia’s attacking trio of Borrello, Duke, or Taggart can exploit gaps. The 1-1 draw in their last meeting suggests a tight contest. Australia’s home crowd and Japan’s reduced attacking threat tilt the balance slightly. The Australia vs Japan odds reflect a close game, with Australia as slight underdogs. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Australia, driven by a set-piece or counter-attack. Their recent scoring form and Japan’s experimental lineup support this outcome. A low-scoring game is likely, given Japan’s defensive record and Australia’s occasional struggles to break down elite defenses.
Our Prediction: Australia 1-0 Japan
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Australia to Win | 2.6 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.58 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.81 |
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