Get ready for a thrilling showdown as AEK Larnaca takes on Pafos FC in the Cyprus Cup final! I’m diving into the details to give you the best insights for this high-stakes clash, so let’s break it down with facts, stats, and a touch of football intuition.
This match kicks off at 17:00 GMT+0 on May 24, 2025, at the Neo GSP Stadium in Nicosia, which holds 22,859 fans. It’s the Cyprus Cup final, the pinnacle of the tournament, and while referee details are yet to be confirmed, expect a top official given the stakes.
Pafos FC has been on a tear lately, but AEK Larnaca’s home form at this neutral venue could make things spicy. With the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC match prediction leaning toward a tight battle, let’s unpack the form, head-to-head stats, and key factors to watch.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To nail your AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC prediction today, you need to know where both teams stand. Recent performances tell us a lot about their momentum going into this final. Head-to-head clashes add another layer, showing how these sides match up tactically. I’ll lay out the stats below to set the stage. Let’s dive into the numbers and see what’s cooking for this Cyprus Cup showdown.
AEK Larnaca Results
AEK Larnaca has been a force in recent weeks, showing grit and flair. Their mix of solid defense and sharp attacking play makes them a tough nut to crack. Let’s check their last five matches to see what they bring to this final.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18/05/25 | CY1 | Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca | 2-0 | L |
| 12/05/25 | CY1 | AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol | 3-0 | W |
| 07/05/25 | CYC | AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia | 2-1 | W |
| 04/05/25 | CY1 | AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia | 3-0 | W |
| 30/04/25 | CYC | Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca | 0-0 | D |
AEK Larnaca’s three wins in their last five show they’re in strong form, especially at home, where they’ve smashed Apollon and Apoel 3-0. Their loss to Pafos FC last week stings, but it was away, and they’ve since tightened up defensively. The draw against Omonia in the cup proves they can grind out results. Their attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game in these matches, looks potent. Expect them to lean on home crowd energy to push forward.
Pafos FC Results
Pafos FC is riding a wave of confidence, with their attacking firepower turning heads. They’ve been relentless, especially in the cup, and their recent results scream ambition. Here’s how they’ve fared in their last five games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18/05/25 | CY1 | Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca | 2-0 | W |
| 12/05/25 | CY1 | Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos FC | 1-1 | D |
| 07/05/25 | CYC | Apollon Limassol vs Pafos FC | 0-2 | W |
| 04/05/25 | CY1 | Pafos FC vs Aris Limassol | 4-0 | W |
| 30/04/25 | CYC | Pafos FC vs Apollon Limassol | 4-2 | W |
Pafos FC is unbeaten in their last five, with four wins showcasing their dominance. Their 2-0 win over AEK Larnaca proves they can handle this opponent. Scoring 13 goals in these games, they’re lethal up top, but the draw against Apoel hints at vulnerability on the road. Their cup form is flawless, with two clean sheets in a row. Pafos looks like a team ready to lift silverware.
AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Head-to-Head Results
Past clashes between AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC have been tight, with both sides trading blows. These matches often hinge on small moments, making the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC betting tips tricky to pin down. Let’s look at their last five encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 18/05/25 | CY1 | Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca | 2-0 |
| 13/04/25 | CY1 | AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC | 2-2 |
| 22/12/24 | CY1 | Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca | 0-1 |
| 01/09/24 | CY1 | AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC | 0-2 |
| 06/04/24 | CY1 | AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC | 3-0 |
Pafos FC has won two of the last five, but AEK Larnaca’s 3-0 rout in 2024 shows they can dominate at home. The recent 2-2 draw suggests neither side gives up easily. Both teams have scored in two of these games, hinting at attacking intent. Pafos’s edge in recent meetings gives them a slight mental boost. Still, AEK’s home record could level the playing field.
Predicted Football Lineups for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC
Wondering who’ll take the pitch for the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC showdown? Below are the predicted starting lineups for both teams in the Cyprus Cup final, based on recent performances and available players. These selections reflect each side’s likely approach to this high-stakes clash.
AEK Larnaca Lineup
AEK Larnaca is expected to field a balanced side, leaning on their key players to control the game.
Alomerovic (GK), Ekpolo (DF), Danny Henriques (DF), Cabrera (DF), Gnali (DF), Ledes (MF), Rohden (MF), Milicevic (MF), Faraj (FW), Chacon (FW), Naoum (FW).
Pafos FC Lineup
Pafos FC should go with their in-form attackers and a solid defensive core to counter AEK’s home push.
Papadoudis (GK), Goldar (DF), Luckassen (DF), Sarlija (DF), Sunjic (DF), Pepe (MF), Silva (MF), Tankovic (MF), Orsic (FW), Jairo (FW), Jaja (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
To make a solid AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC prediction 2025, you’ve got to zoom in on the details. Injuries, form, and off-field drama can swing a cup final. Here’s what I’m keeping an eye on for this clash.
- AEK Larnaca’s home form: Three straight home wins in the league, scoring 8 goals;
- Pafos FC’s attack: 13 goals in their last five games, with strikers in top shape;
- Injuries: AEK’s key midfielder reportedly doubtful, Pafos’s left-back nursing a knock;
- Cup mentality: Pafos has won their last two cup games convincingly;
- AEK’s defense: Conceded only 5 goals in their last five, but shaky against Pafos;
- Recent loss: AEK’s 2-0 defeat to Pafos could dent confidence;
- Player form: Pafos’s top scorer has 3 goals in 2 cup games;
- No scandals: Both teams are focused, with no reported drama.
Free Tips on AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC
Want to make a smart bet on the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC clash? This section breaks down key insights from past stats and team encounters to guide your AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC betting tips. Here are five practical tips to boost your chances in this Cyprus Cup final.
- Check head-to-head trends: Pafos FC won two of the last five meetings, but AEK Larnaca’s 3-0 home win in 2024 shows they can dominate; study these results to gauge who might have the upper hand.
- Factor in referee tendencies: The appointed referee’s card and penalty habits could sway bets on fouls or bookings; a strict official might favor disciplined teams like Pafos.
- Consider pitch and weather: Neo GSP’s natural grass pitch, if wet from rain, could slow play, suiting AEK’s controlled passing over Pafos’s fast breaks.
- Assess fixture fatigue: Pafos’s packed schedule, with three games in 10 days, might tire their squad, while AEK has had a lighter run.
- Look at betting odds value: Pafos’s 1.97 odds seem tempting, but AEK’s 3.30 as underdogs could offer better value if they leverage home support.
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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Match Prediction 2025
For the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC odds, Pafos FC sits as the slight favorite at 1.97, with AEK Larnaca at 3.30 and a draw at 3.20. I’m leaning toward Pafos FC to nick this one, and here’s why. Their recent 2-0 win over AEK shows they’ve cracked the code against this opponent. Pafos’s attack is firing on all cylinders, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five, while AEK’s defense has looked wobbly against top sides. The neutral venue levels things slightly, but Pafos’s cup form—two straight wins without conceding—gives them the edge. AEK’s home prowess is real, but their possible midfield injury could disrupt their rhythm. Pafos’s high press should exploit AEK’s slower build-up play. I also expect a low-scoring game, as both teams tighten up in finals. My call is a 1-0 Pafos win, with their star striker likely to make the difference. The AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC match prediction hinges on Pafos’s momentum carrying them to glory.
Our Prediction: AEK Larnaca 0-1 Pafos FC
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Pafos FC Win | 2.1 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.76 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.61 |
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