Zambia vs Morocco (0:3): Africa Cup of Nations 29/12/2025

December 29, 2025

Status: Finished

0-3

Zambia vs Morocco (0:3): Africa Cup of Nations 29/12/2025

Zambia

Morocco

Hosts Morocco can secure top spot in Group A with a victory over Zambia in this final group stage clash at the Africa Cup of Nations. A draw would also suffice for the Atlas Lions to advance to the knockout rounds for a fifth consecutive tournament.

The match kicks off at 19:00 GMT on Monday, December 29, 2025, at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdellah in Rabat, Morocco – a venue with a capacity of 69,500 that has already hosted key Group A fixtures. No official referee appointment has been confirmed yet for this encounter. This decisive Group A fixture could see Zambia fight for a best third-placed spot, while Morocco aim to build momentum as pre-tournament favourites.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Morocco enter this Zambia vs Morocco prediction today as overwhelming favourites, backed by their superior squad depth and dominant head-to-head record. The Atlas Lions have controlled possession in both group games and created higher-quality chances, even if their 1-1 draw with Mali exposed some vulnerabilities in transition. Zambia, meanwhile, have relied on resilience but struggled severely in attack, failing to register a single shot on target against Comoros. With Morocco unbeaten in their last six AFCON group finales and desperate to send a statement ahead of the knockouts, expect a controlled performance from the hosts. Value lies in a Morocco win combined with a clean sheet, given Zambia’s blunt forward line.

Zambia Results

Zambia have shown defensive solidity in this tournament but remain winless in their last six matches across all competitions, with their attacking output a major concern. The Copper Bullets salvaged late points against Mali but looked toothless against Comoros.

Three recent results highlight their struggles to convert draws into wins, especially in the final third.

Zambia have kept things tight in the tournament proper, conceding just once in 180 minutes, but their inability to create clear chances is alarming – zero shots on target against Comoros underlines the issue. Patson Daka’s late equaliser against Mali remains their only goal in recent months. The three consecutive friendly defeats prior to AFCON highlight a broader dip in form. Defensively resilient under pressure, they have avoided heavy losses, yet this bluntness up front makes progression unlikely against stronger sides. Goal difference could still play a role if they sneak a point here.

Morocco Results

Morocco have lived up to their billing as hosts and favourites, collecting four points from two games while maintaining an unbeaten run stretching back months. Their attacking talent shone against Comoros, though the draw with Mali showed they can be frustrated.

The Atlas Lions have been clinical in patches and strong in the latter stages of matches.

Morocco dominated Comoros with ease and showed character to salvage a point against Mali via a late penalty. Five of their last six goals have come after the 40th minute, highlighting strong conditioning and mentality. Pre-tournament friendlies were comfortable wins with clean sheets in three. The draw with Mali was their first dropped points in ages, but it prevented early group confirmation. Overall, the hosts look sharp and motivated on home soil.

Who will win Monday’s Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zambia and Morocco?

Zambia > Draw > Morocco >

Zambia

8%

Draw

20%

Morocco

72%

Zambia vs Morocco Head-to-Head

Morocco have completely dominated this fixture in recent years, winning each of the last five encounters across competitions – including two World Cup qualifiers earlier in 2025. Zambia’s last competitive win over the Atlas Lions dates back over three decades.

Morocco have scored at least twice in four of these five wins, often controlling proceedings. Zambia have managed just three goals total in this run. The psychological edge is firmly with the Atlas Lions, who treat this as a “bogey” fixture they routinely win.

Zambia vs Morocco Predicted Starting Lineups

Lineups are based on recent performances, team news, and reliable previews ahead of this crucial Group A decider. Official confirmations typically come an hour before kick-off, but these are the most likely starting XIs with no major new injuries reported for either side – though Morocco continue to manage Achraf Hakimi’s return cautiously.

Zambia possible starting lineup

Mwanza (GK); M Banda (DF), B Sakala (DF), Chanda (DF), Musonda (DF); Tembo (MF), Simukonda (MF), Kangwa (MF); L Banda (MF), Daka (FW), F Sakala (FW)

Morocco possible starting lineup

Bono (GK); Mazraoui (DF), El Yamiq (DF), Aguerd (DF), Salah-Eddine (DF); El Aynaoui (MF); Díaz (MF), Ben Seghir (MF), Ounahi (FW), El Khannouss (FW); En-Nesyri (FW)

Key Match Insights and Factors

Several critical elements point towards a comfortable Morocco performance, with Zambia’s attacking woes and Morocco’s home advantage key.

Recent team news and trends will heavily influence the outcome.

• Zambia have no fresh injury concerns and boast a fully fit squad focused on defensive resilience.
• Morocco continue to monitor Achraf Hakimi’s fitness; the star full-back has yet to feature but could make the bench.
• Zambia’s Lameck Banda has failed to score in his last ten international appearances.
• Brahim Díaz has netted in both of Morocco’s group games, emerging as a key threat.
• None of Zambia’s last six AFCON matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Morocco are unbeaten in their final AFCON group game since 2010 (W4, D2).
• Just one of Zambia’s last six competitive internationals saw both teams score.
• Hosts Morocco benefit from home support and superior individual quality across the pitch.

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Free Tips on Zambia vs Morocco

For bettors eyeing the Zambia vs Morocco clash in the final Group A matchday, these free tips draw directly from historical statistics, recent performances, and external factors that often influence outcomes in African football’s biggest stage. Analyzing past encounters and team data reveals clear patterns, while contextual elements like venue and conditions add extra layers for smarter decisions.

Here are five targeted tips to consider:

• Home Advantage and Fan Support: Playing at Stade Prince Moulay Abdellah in Rabat, Morocco benefit immensely from a passionate home crowd of up to 69,500 – acting as a true ’12th man’ that boosts energy and pressures opponents, especially in decisive group games where hosts rarely slip up.
• Team Motivation Levels: Morocco are chasing top spot to build momentum as pre-tournament favourites and send a statement, while Zambia may prioritise damage limitation for goal difference to sneak through as a best third-placed side – high stakes often lead to a controlled, low-scoring affair from the hosts.
• Pitch Surface and Conditions: The stadium features a high-quality hybrid natural grass pitch, ideal for Morocco’s technical, possession-based style, allowing smoother passing and control compared to teams less accustomed to such surfaces in international play.
• Recent Fixture Congestion: Both sides have navigated a tight group schedule without major fatigue issues so far, but Morocco’s superior squad depth means they handle rotation better, maintaining sharpness in the latter stages where they’ve scored five of their last six goals after the 40th minute.
• Weather on Match Day: Expect mild winter conditions in Rabat around late December, with no extreme rain or wind forecast to disrupt play – favouring a fluent, attacking display from the technically superior home side rather than a scrappy, disrupted contest.

Zambia vs Morocco Match Prediction

Morocco are rightful heavy favourites in this Zambia vs Morocco odds context, with bookmakers pricing them around 1.20-1.25 for the win – reflecting an implied probability exceeding 80%. Zambia’s lack of cutting edge (one goal in two group games) and Morocco’s dominance in recent H2H make a home victory highly likely. The Atlas Lions have scored late in recent outings and should exploit Zambia’s conservative approach. Expect Morocco to control possession, create multiple chances, and secure a clean-sheet win – potentially 2-0 or 3-0. Zambia may frustrate early but lack the firepower to punish any lapses. Back Morocco -1 handicap for value, but the straight win offers safety. Zambia vs Morocco prediction 2025: Morocco to win comfortably and top the group.

Our Prediction: Zambia 0-2 Morocco

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