Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – A-League 06/02/2026

A-League

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Fri, 6 Feb 2026 – 06:00

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3.15

Home

3.75

Draw

2.02

Away

The Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory clash is scheduled for Friday, February 6, 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 GMT+0. The match will take place at Sky Stadium in Wellington, New Zealand, the Phoenix’s home ground with a capacity of 34,500. This fixture is part of the regular season in the Isuzu UTE A-League Men 2025/26. No specific referee information has been confirmed yet for this Round 16 encounter, but the game promises intensity given both sides’ mid-table positioning and recent competitive meetings.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

This Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction today dives into current momentum, historical context and tactical edges ahead of what should be a tight contest. Recent performances show both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable defensively at times. The head-to-head record adds extra spice, with Melbourne Victory holding a strong historical advantage. Key patterns from the last few rounds will help identify value in the markets. Expect a match influenced by home support and the visitors’ counter-attacking threat.

Wellington Phoenix Results

Wellington Phoenix have shown mixed results recently, balancing solid home displays with inconsistency away. They remain competitive at Sky Stadium but have struggled to convert chances consistently against stronger opponents. The side has drawn several games while showing flashes of attacking quality.

The table highlights a pattern of draws at home and stronger away wins against weaker sides. Phoenix have been hard to break down in Wellington but have conceded heavily on the road. Their scoring has been steady, with at least one goal in most recent outings, yet defensive lapses have cost points against top-half teams.

Melbourne Victory Results

Melbourne Victory have been inconsistent, mixing dominant home wins with disappointing away losses. Their attacking output remains dangerous, particularly when they control possession. Recent defeats have exposed vulnerabilities on the road.

Victory show strong home scoring form but struggle significantly away from AAMI Park. They have leaked goals in recent road games while failing to convert chances consistently. The contrast between home dominance and away fragility is clear.

Who will win Friday’s A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?

Wellington Phoenix > Draw > Melbourne Victory >

Wellington Phoenix

25%

Draw

20%

Melbourne Victory

55%

Head-to-Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry has been competitive, though Melbourne Victory have edge recent encounters. High-scoring games have been common in this fixture.

Victory have won three of the last five meetings, often capitalizing on counter-attacks. Phoenix have struggled to keep clean sheets against them recently, especially away, but home games have been closer.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory – Predicted Lineups

Below are the predicted starting lineups for the upcoming A-League match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory on February 6, 2026. These lineups are based on the most recent team selections, reported training participation, injury/suspension status and typical tactical setups used by both coaches in similar fixtures. Please note that final confirmed lineups are usually released about one hour before kick-off and may change due to last-minute decisions, tactical adjustments or fitness updates.

Wellington Phoenix possible starting lineup

Eamonn McCarron (GK), Tim Payne (DF), Manjrekar James (DF), Isaac Hughes (DF), Corban Piper (MF), Alex Rufer (MF), Kazuki Nagasawa (MF), Matthew Sheridan (MF), Paulo Retre (MF), Ifeanyi Eze (FW), Carlo Armiento (FW)

Melbourne Victory possible starting lineup

Jack Warshawsky (GK), Lachlan Jackson (DF), Sebastian Esposito (DF), Joshua Inserra (DF), Adama Traoré (DF), Louis D’Arrigo (MF), Denis Genreau (MF), Juan Mata (MF), Keegan Jelacic (FW), Clarismario Santos Rodrigues (FW), Matthew Grimaldi (FW)

Key Match Factors and Team News

Several elements could shape the outcome of this Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory clash. Form, injuries and tactical setups will play major roles.

• Wellington Phoenix remain unbeaten in several recent home games but have drawn too many.
• Melbourne Victory boast a potent attack at home but have been poor travellers lately.
• Phoenix have scored in most recent matches, showing attacking consistency.
• Victory’s recent heavy win over Phoenix (5-1 in December) boosts confidence.
• Possible absences in both squads due to minor knocks after congested fixtures.
• Home advantage at Sky Stadium gives Phoenix a slight edge in intensity.
• Victory’s counter-attacking style could exploit Phoenix transitions.
• No major reported long-term injuries for key players on either side at this stage.

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Free Tips on Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Here are some practical, match-specific betting tips that can help you approach the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory encounter on February 6, 2026 with more clarity. These suggestions are drawn directly from the teams’ recent form, head-to-head trends and venue-specific patterns observed in the provided statistics. They aim to highlight angles you might consider when evaluating the game beyond the obvious favourites and underdogs.

• Consider backing ‘Both Teams To Score’ – four of the last five head-to-head matches between these sides produced at least two goals, and both teams have scored in 3 of Wellington’s last 5 home games while Melbourne Victory have failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
• Look at ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ as a realistic option – the December 2025 reverse fixture ended 5-1, two of the previous three meetings at Sky Stadium went over 2.5, and both sides have averaged close to 3 goals per game in their most recent five outings combined.
• Home win or draw (Double Chance 1X) offers safer value – Wellington Phoenix are unbeaten in their last three home league matches (2W 1D), while Melbourne Victory have lost 3 of their last 4 away games and struggle to convert chances on the road.
• Pay attention to late goals – ‘Goal after 60 minutes’ or ‘Over 0.5 second half goals’ can be interesting – Phoenix have scored or conceded in the final 25 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Victory’s away defeats often feature goals after the hour mark due to defensive fatigue.
• Avoid expecting a low-scoring cagey affair – only one of the last five meetings finished with under 2 goals total; given Sky Stadium’s relatively open style of play and both teams’ recent tendency to concede, a tight 0-0 or 1-0 looks less probable than a game with at least a couple of goals.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Match Prediction

This Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory odds market suggests a close contest, with home advantage and recent scoring form tilting slightly toward the Phoenix. Wellington have been resilient at Sky Stadium, finding the net regularly while Melbourne Victory have faltered on the road in several recent outings. The visitors’ attacking threat remains real, especially after their dominant December win in the reverse fixture, but defensive issues away from home make them vulnerable. Phoenix’s ability to grind out results at home combined with Victory’s inconsistent travel form points toward a narrow home success or a high-scoring draw. Expect goals given both sides’ recent trends and historical head-to-heads often producing action. A 1-2 or 1-1 outcome feels realistic.

Our Prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Melbourne Victory

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